Those 3 sides have a lot to gain from this narrative, while Iraq and the US are the ones left scrambling. [3]
Ensuing narratives:
Israel = “No limits to what is on the table. Ready to escalate.”
Iran = “Iraq can’t sit this war out. Joining the Resistance is the only option.”
Arabs = “This is what happens when you side with Iran.” [4]
Anything is possible with Trump in office, but the Pentagon risking Hashd retaliation against the thousands of US troops housed in bases across Iraq is an almighty gamble. [5]
However, the Iranians/Arabs are happy to pin it on Tel Aviv and the Israelis are happy to silently take credit for the blasts. This is Middle East political manoeuvring at its finest. [7]
Even if there were no Israeli strikes & this has just been the perfect storm in a teacup, if sensibilities are abandoned then the wider implications could be catastrophic. [8]