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Pakistan Army has been trying to invade Indian Kashmir by hook or crook for the last 70 years. Since 1947, when it managed to occupy a part of Jammu and Kashmir & Gilgit-Baltistan, it has tried three additional conventional wars and one protracted proxy/sub-conventional war.1/n
Cross-border terror helped Pakistan to establish a small but highly disruptive constituency in Kashmir. With removal of all constitutional ambiguity about Kashmir’s integration with the rest of India, Pak Army’s hope that it can wrest Kashmir from India has gone for a toss. 2/n
Given its dire situation economically, diplomatic isolation over its jihadi terrorism & inability to go to war with India, Pakistan Army & its civilian mask Imran Khan has only one option now. It can ask India to hold a plebiscite in Jammu & Kashmir at the United Nations GA. 3/n
The condition for plebiscite is that Islamabad withdraws its forces from Pakistan Occupied Jammu Kashmir (PoJK) first. Also, in the last 70 years, Pak has changed the demography of PoJK. It abolished the state subject law of Gilgit Baltistan in 1984 & settled Pakis in PoJK.4/n
Not only has Pakistan changed the demographics, it has ruled PoJK as if it were its fiefdom. Although Pakistan calls PoJK, Azad, according to Freedom House, PoJK is ‘Not Free’ on any of the parameters related to political, economic & social rights. 5/n
Pakistan has deliberately kept Occupied Jammu Kashmir backward, illiterate & poor so that people don’t even know what their rights are. Over 40 per cent people in PoJK are illiterate and 87 per cent people live in rural areas. 6/n
The status of religious, sectarian & gender minorities in Pak occupied Jammu Kashmir is as pathetic as it is in the rest of Pakistan. The constitution of PoJK, as directed by Islamabad, has banned all expressions & activity that questions Pakistan’s sovereignty over PoJK. 7/n
In 2018, Pakistan issued an order claiming indisputable sovereignty over Gilgit-Baltistan, a step in the direction to make the northern region its fifth province. 8/n
So Islamabad will have to first remove all its forces & illegal settlements from PoJK, compensate for thousands of innocent Kashmiri Muslims, Pandits, Sikhs, its jihadi terrorists killed & displaced in Indian Kashmir in the last 30 years & then seek a plebiscite. N/n
