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Comparing the rather heroic Brexit timetables pushed by both main parties for #BBCnewsTen - from marginal Bedford last week. Also 51.8% Leave/ 48.2% Remain, as some of you asked for it...
The comparative Brexit 2020 calendars for Conservative and Labour plans... put on the side of a Bedford flower bed, naturally.

...a bit like an advent calendar but in reverse....
...one of UK foremost experts on Trade Policy, Alan Winters of @UK_TPO says that promising the above timetables in the public only really possible if Conservatives or Labour basically just accept what’s on offer from EU.. otherwise v ambitious to implement, no time to consult etc
Among yesterday’s news, were a couple of interesting statements on Brexit from Johnson and Corbyn... Labour leader sent out this tweet, explicitly making argument that quick negotiation possible because trade relationship “not being ripped up... ( remaining same? exactly? EEA?)
And also yday, when asked about Nissan plant in Sunderland, PM talked about “complete equivalence” on standards, and completely protecting supply chains/car industry...
Seemed to suggest high alignment Brexit, when he negotiated option of low alignment..

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Faisal Islam
@faisalislam
French finance minister Bruno Le Maire announces that after meeting with Mnuchin and OECD again this morning they have an agreement to delay digital tax payments/ US tariff retaliation
We now have a global agreement
- France accepts postponing payments of digital tax from April 15 to end of 2020
- US suspends sanctions 301
- agreed text for OECD negotiations, after withdrawing the words “optional taxation”
I suggest to Lemaire that France has simply acquiesced to aggressive US tariff threats... he responds for France that “we have been tough” in pushing ahead with the first digital tax in the first place and this has pushed negotiations for a global solution
Read 4 tweets
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Faisal Islam
@faisalislam
Just hearing from Treasury Secretary @stevenmnuchin1 and Commerce Secretary @SecretaryRoss here at Davos:

TS says re Huawei, he will talk with chancellor in London this week. re climate: Greta should go and study economics in college... and on trade...
NEW: On a UK-US trade deal:

US Treasury Sec Mnuchin says: UK wants to “accomplish both [EU & US] deals in 2020 obviously an aggressive timetable... we expect to complete that [ie UK-US] within this year”.

Ross: “far fewer issues between UK & US than between either of us and EU”
So - according to members of President Trump’s Cabinet, both sides of UK-US deal expect it to be done THIS year.
Read 6 tweets
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Faisal Islam
@faisalislam
Just interviewed the European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen here in Davos, 1st UK TV

- Govt “has to choose” whether it wants “good access to the single market” in next few weeks so that both sides can find “what the room for negotiation is”. “We’ll see” on end 2020
EU’s VDL also responded positively to UK Chancellor Sajid Javid saying that the EU trade deal was the priority ahead of a US one: “It’s good that they assign a lot of resources to these negotiations”.
VDL also said that the UK should not feel it has to choose between trade links with the USA and the EU. “it’s in our common interest for all three of us the UK, EU and US that we will work as close as possible together... both can go in parallel”.
Read 4 tweets

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tony nog #Revoker
@tony_nog
Twitter break, quick thread
1) need to take a break from Twitter for real life stuff, and this seems as good a time as any

FWIW I think we are in a better place than we were a few weeks ago, even with the parliament shut down,so here's some thoughts before I go
#Brexit
2) Johnson's efforts to bounce us out on no deal have been well and truly blocked. The snap GE isn't going to happen, he's been embarrassed, and despite his bluster he will be forced to obey the law.

There is growing disquiet in the Tory ranks (though shockingly, not enough)
3) ...and in fact the number of 1 nation Tories prepared to keep their heads down is frankly disgusting, but there you go, perhaps there's a plan for tactical resignations
Read 19 tweets
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Andrew Wainwright
@wainwra
Have you heard of #Hotelling’s Law? In a two party system, it says that you get most votes by minimising the political distance between the parties. It’s worked well in the past, but it’s about to bring an end to both #Labour and the #Tory party. 1/n
uk.mobile.reuters.com/article/amp/id…
Hotelling’s law worked really well for Tony #Blair. #Thatcher had moved the Tory party to the right, so #NewLabour had an opportunity to increase its vote share by also moving rightwards. 2/n
Politics had shifted. Both parties held broadly similar policies. Blair’s political stance, although to the left of Thatcher’s, was much further right than any Labour leader previously (or since). Labour was able to capture ground that the Tories had left unguarded. 3/n
Read 12 tweets
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Ben Bradley MP
@bbradleymp
A #brexit thread 👇

1. In 2017 we were invited to #No10 to talk to Gavin Barwell about our thoughts on things. I had a conversation with him on #Brexit that rings absolutely true now and is more relevant than ever - so I thought I'd share:
2. I said to him that #Brexit had redrawn 'party lines' - that right/left was now less relevant that #leave/#remain and we had to examine our 'core vote' on that basis. We had done well in the #Mansfield-esque seats and lost the Croydons, we needed to think about why.
3. I said to Barwell that there was no compromise that would keep both #remainers and #leavers happy. That we could not keep both audiences on board in the context of #Brexit and we should not try - it's impossible. We had to leave first, and then we could rebuild the coalition.
Read 8 tweets
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Sunny Singh
@sunnysingh_n6
So it is just few weeks to #Brexit and few in UK care or want to know how potentially awful it may be.

But I grew up in the Cold War, in the former colonies.

So let me tell you what it triggers!

THREAD
It triggers little bits of knowledge that few people in UK want to think of: as in fucking stockpiling tampons and napkins.

Oh and cotton wool. And suddenly beginning to save the old clothing that is actually absorbant
It means stockpiling painkillers. And anti-allergic medication. And antacids.

And this is for people who DO NOT NEED TO FUCKING STOCKPILE life saving medications
Read 19 tweets
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tony nog #FBPE
@tony_nog
1) "Parliament follows" - a #Brexit story
Been engaged in a long thread with @0Calamity and others with the common Corbynite theme:
"But what can Corbyn do? He's not in power"
For a "popular movement" there seems to be a lack of awareness of how they work.
So, what *can* he do?
2) well firstly we need to recognize two fairly obvious things.
a) unfortunately, 80% of our current MPs are, well, sheep. They follow, especially public opinion, they don't lead
b) the prerequisite for stopping Brexit is public opinion. This *must* be shifted or it won't stick
3) this is when Corbynistas chime in & say "look at the polls,enough people haven't shifted, if Corbyn opposed Brexit it would be political suicide"

Putting to one side the "party before country" bias which is obvious to any non Labour supporter, isn't this what Labour is about?
Read 11 tweets
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Chuka Umunna
@ChukaUmunna
THREAD: Today's events in Westminster - which relate to the process and not the substance of Brexit - do not change the fundamental mess and chaos of Brexit. The UK is heading for a bad Brexit deal but its not a done deal - a lot will happen between now and the Autumn. /1
Its disappointing the so called "Grieve 2" amendment did not pass this afternoon (I,of course, voted for it) but significant that Ministers were forced to climb down and issue a statement acknowledging Parliament's vital role at the end of the process. /2
There are still 5 #Brexit related Bills still to make their way through Parliament which are legally binding and amendable: Customs Bill; Trade Bill; Fisheries Bill; Agriculture Bill; and, Immigration Bill. There will also be a huge number of statutory instruments to pass too. /3
Read 10 tweets

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