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Ive been asked to comment on why @UKLabour was defeated in the #UKelection2019 & so many working class people voted for right wing #Tories. Outsider humility dictates caution in responding, but I have collated some articles containing incisive analyses.They suggest some answers👇
@OwenJones84 argues #Labours loss was combination of mishandling of #Brexit & Corbyns leadership, but that the policies were right.
theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
This survey👇shows Labours policies in fact do have majority support:
But "Labour did not succeed in turning the big manifesto offer into a short, sharp set of priorities that showed that they would make you ...directly better off" mirror.co.uk/news/politics/…
.@OpiniumResearch
on why people didn't vote #Labour:

The leadership (43%), their stance on #Brexit (17%) and their economic policies (12%).

Among Labour defectors since 2017: the leadership (37%), their stance on Brexit (21%) and their economic policies (6%).
Younger voters (18-44) support Labour over Tories by 52% to 25%
The fact that #Labour got more votes in 2019 than in 2005 under Blair👇 is small consolation- Labour lost 2,6 million votes from 2017-2019
Here👇 a substantial and interesting take by #LeeJones in @BRAVENEWEUROPE1 on why the alienation of working class voters from #Labour is a long term trend which started in the 1980's
braveneweurope.com/lee-jones-labo…
And here is an inside take on why #Labour has been losing support over a long period of time amongst some working class regions
@freedaaron says lack of Proportional Representation is a key issue in the UK and USA, & 52% of the popular vote went to remain or 2nd referendum parties
prospect.org/world/first-pa…
This sobering article in the @nytimes argues that #BorisJohnson now has the power to remake Britain:
nytimes.com/2019/12/13/opi…
@GeorgeMonbiot calls for the building of progressive alliances and strategies to fight back against #Tory attacks on public services
theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
Finally a note of optimism from @lhfang :
"The left isn’t losing everywhere. Lib-left coalitions have won recent elections and now govern in Denmark, Portugal, Spain. Worth exploring why."
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#UKelection2019 #Tories #Labours #Brexit #Labour #LeeJones #BorisJohnson #Tory

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Neil Coleman
@NeilColemanSA
Some people have asked for our comment on the #Treasury #EconomicStrategy document
There are two major issues: process and content.
I deal with these in turn.Note: these are not the official views of the @IEJ_SA 👇
Firstly on *process*
National Treasury has gone rogue...again
They have unilaterally published a policy document without engaging
👉government structures
👉ANC structures or
👉civil society (unless you count financial sector economists present at their colloquia).
Given that we are in a deep economic crisis, this Treasury unilateralism is highly irresponsible, as broad engagement on the *nature of the problem* is critical to coming up with *appropriate solutions*. But it now emerges that such engagement was totally absent.
Read 18 tweets
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Neil Coleman
@NeilColemanSA
Is the #NationalMinimumWage which comes into effect on 1 January a victory or a defeat for workers? I try to answer this question in the thread below
@Cosatu @Zwelinzima1 @CyrilRamaphosa @GiladIsaacs @iValodia @Dennis_G1 @SAFTU_media
How many workers will benefit from the #NMW? According to research by @SA_NMW around *4 million workers* are earning <R20 p/h. This is a significant no. - over one third of the formal workforce. The widely quoted figure of 6,4 million isn't accurate, & reflects 2016 estimates.
Nevertheless a high proportion of workers in SA will benefit from the #NationalMinimumWage by international standards. According to the @SA_NMW the following fell below the NMW: in 16 Latin American countries most were below 15%. In the UK, 5%. Germany, 7% Malaysia, 15%.
Read 11 tweets
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Neil Coleman
@NeilColemanSA
A widespread perception around #MTBPS2018 today is that there are too many public servants, who're paid too much, & that we can only afford to expand services/investment if these costs are cut back. But check this 👇 thread, & see whether this is in fact correct @Zwelinzima1
Despite having to extend services to a large population historically excluded from many services, the numbers employed by government (local provincial & national) compared to the numbers employed under apartheid has not significantly increased as a share of total employment.
There was a reduction of 203 000 public service jobs between 1995-99. While those cutbacks were subsequently reversed, this was not done on a scale which kept pace with the growth in the economy, the population, or service delivery requirements.
Read 24 tweets

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Gayle Letherby 🌹 #VoteLabour
@gletherby
After yesterday's #channel4news I've been trying to think why some might see Johnson as a 'lovable baffoon':

- his premiership (and personal life) is based on lies & lying is his default position.

- he has made it clear, again & again, that he sides with the richest...1/4
...& the bankers at the expense of us all.

- his intense dislike and distain for women, for working class people & his racism, his homophibia are clear for all to see.

- he has failed again and again in parliament, is generally ill-prepared & is often hardly coherent. 2/4
- he avoids tough questions - from voters, from the media, from colleagues - whenever he can.

So, nasty, incompetent coward seems a far better description.

We can blame long-believed historical ideology that the #Tories are born to rule & voting for them shows our...
Read 5 tweets
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Mike Cernovich
@Cernovich
If Trump hadn’t won who would conservatives have run - Jeb Bush!

I won’t pander. Others will because they need the clicks and listens.

I am an economic populist. I care about people making $12 to $15 an hour, not the big donors.

If you don’t like working people, unfollow.
Have you ever detassled corn? De-rimmed a tire to sell the rim for scrap value?

I don’t care what some preppy conservatives claim is “appropriate.”

I grew up working hard, on farms and junkyards.

Not by sucking up to the rich elite.
How many conservatives or liberals could tell you what a smelter is?

Or that people drive around to find old appliances to sell for scrap value?

Working class people on “the right” will be running.

Not fake soft handed socialists.

We must get rid of spoiled conservatives.
Read 5 tweets
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John O'Connell
@jdpoc
#Tories Election Cock-Up Chaos so far - a continuing series :

01 - #Tories admit and apologise for a doctored, misrepresentative video of Kier Starmer. Tory MPs like @JohnnyMercerUK leave it on their feed and actively continue to spread.
@JohnnyMercerUK #Tories Election Cock-Up Chaos so far - a continuing series :

02 - #Tories Boris #Johnson gets booed out of Addenbrooke Hospital by staff and patients alike, unmentioned by #BBC, who were right there.
@JohnnyMercerUK #Tories Election Cock-Up Chaos so far - a continuing series :

03 - #Tories MP Jacob Rees Mogg blames #Grenfell victims for their own deaths. It takes him four days before he's forced to retract and apologise.
Read 61 tweets
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Vincent Bevins
@Vinncent
Here's a thread of one of the prosecutors on the Marielle Franco case, one of those that told press yesterday the doorman was mistaken about the alleged killer calling Bolsonaro to get into his compound to meet the other alleged killer.
Now, this doesn't mean she's necessarily wrong about that specific claim. But by her uh, very enthusiastic social media output (and fashion choices), it seems she may have a dog in this fight
This is likely the most troubling photo. Here she is posing with the man who famously ripped apart the "Marielle Franco" street sign put up after her death
Read 7 tweets
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Pat Condell
@patcondell
A vote for the #Tories in this election is a surrender vote, a vote to stay under #EU control. #Johnson’s insistence on pushing his #FakeBrexit shows he has no intention of delivering independence. He won’t even try. The #BrexitParty is the only vote if we want #Brexit delivered.
#Johnson has broken trust with the people. He could have been a national hero, but has stayed loyal to his own tribe. He’s hoping we’re so worn out by 3 years of lies and obstruction we’ll settle for anything. His #FakeBrexit is an establishment trap to keep us under #EU control.
#BorisJohnson has a large majority in the palm of his hand if he makes a ‘no deal’ pact with #Farage and the #BrexitParty, but he refuses to do it because, like most #Tories, he doesn’t want the #UK to be independent.
Read 9 tweets

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