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I'm in Exeter, New Hampshire where it's a very steady stream of cars and voters at this hour
This is a town that voted for Trump in the 2016 primary, while Sanders won over Clinton on the Democratic side
I don't see any Sanders signs at this hour. Instead there are Pete, Amy, and Warren signs mainly. Plus Trump and Weld.
One voter says to another as they arrive to vote, "I think I'm about to make a snap decision when I see the names." Very brisk pace right now of people arriving to vote.
One dad with his two kids in tow. "I'm not a Democrat or a Republican. On the voter rolls I'm undeclared."
The weather today has been wet, foggy, chilly and crummy. 36 degrees here. Really surprised by the number of voters. It hasn't slowed down in the time I've been here.
The cars keep arriving at this polling place like it's almost time for kickoff. We'll see in a few hours what it all means.
Just drove over to the town of Stratham. Busy here too. Sign holders for Pete, Amy, and Warren mainly. Just like in Exeter, no one for Sanders.
Just a reminder that as the votes come in tonight from New Hampshire, we still do not have official results from the Iowa Caucuses, which took place 8 days ago.
If you're just tuning in, you won't see Joe Biden in New Hampshire tonight - because he's already flown down to South Carolina, which votes on February 29

daytondailynews.com/blog/jamie-dup…
I think we will see much of this in the numbers tonight:

Certainly Sanders is not going to repeat the 60 percent he got against Hillary Clinton in 2016. But it's still an interesting comparison to make tonight.
Remember as you watch the votes come in tonight, the cut off point for delegates is a 15% threshold
What's the better bet tonight?
Again - Sanders was very strong in 2016 vs Hillary. But now in 2020, watch where the votes go - like this town.

Biden needs a gigantic change in fortune, or he's going to be in single digits and in fifth place tonight
Concord is all in. Sanders-Klobuchar is the exacta. Not many people had that ticket.
Warren only gets 10.6 percent in Concord. This state is basically her home turf. It's her back yard. And it's not happening tonight for her.
Portsmouth is all reporting. Sanders wins, with Pete & Amy close for second.
MANCHESTER, N.H. (AP) -- President Donald Trump wins New Hampshire Republican primary against minimal opposition
MANCHESTER, N.H. (AP) -- Democrat Andrew Yang, whose buzzy 2020 campaign promoted a freedom dividend of $1,000 a month for all adults, ends bid.
If the numbers stay like they are so far, a fourth place finish and no delegates for Warren will raise major questions.

32 of 301 precincts - 11 percent

Bernie Sanders, 8,761 - 28 percent

Pete Buttigieg, 7,076 - 23 percent

Amy Klobuchar, 6,255 - 20 percent

Elizabeth Warren, 3,804 - 12 percent

Joe Biden, 2,521 - 8 percent
Remember, the delegate cutoff is 15 percent
Klobuchar campaign going up with 'seven figure' ad buy in Nevada
NH Primary headlines so far:
+ Sanders leading, Buttigieg second
+ Klobuchar running a strong third
+ Warren back in fourth below delegate cutoff
+ Biden in single digits in fifth, already in South Carolina
The fact that Warren is already addressing supporters is a very bad sign for her tonight.
Warren to supporters: "I also want to congratulate my friend and colleague Amy Klobuchar, for showing just how wrong the pundits can be when they count a woman out"
AP: Colorado Sen. Michael Bennet is ending his bid for the Democratic presidential nomination
There now seems to be a chance that both Warren and Biden could be in single digits tonight in New Hampshire
In the Republican Primary, Bill Weld is now above 10 percent, which is the threshold for getting delegates. Trump at 83.5% which is about normal for an incumbent President
It seems likely that Warren and Biden will get ZERO delegates from New Hampshire. Warren won 8 in Iowa. Biden won 6.
Step back and think about Warren being shutout in New Hampshire. It's her back yard. She had a good organization on the ground. She spent a lot of time here. And she will come away with ZERO delegates.
9pm ET Update:
+ Sanders leads over Buttigieg and Klobuchar
+ Both Warren and Biden in single digits, won't get delegates
+ Warren has already spoken to supporters. A major setback for her in a state that's in her back yard.
Meanwhile, from Columbia, South Carolina
Evidence of Warren's problems - she's running fourth in a series of towns over toward the coast: Hampton Falls, East Kingston, Brentwood, Portsmouth, Dover, Somersworth.
New Hampshire delegates (24) right now:
Sanders - 9
Buttigieg - 9
Klobuchar - 6

That could well be the final result no matter what the vote numbers turn out to be tonight.
Biden in South Carolina says only two states have voted:

"That's the opening bell not the closing bell....the fight to end Donald Trump's presidency is just beginning"
CNN dumps out of Biden after 4 minutes.
Amy Klobuchar on her New Hampshire finish: "We have beaten the odds every step of the way"
If you had Klobuchar getting more votes than Warren and Biden combined, please step forward and cash your ticket.
Sanders won Exeter in 2016. But not in 2020.
10 pm update:
+ Still waiting for Sanders & Buttigieg to speak
+ Sanders leads but seems like there's room for Buttigieg to edge closer
+ Delegates will likely be 9-9 with 6 for Klobuchar
+ Warren & Biden in single digits with no delegates
One more on the lower tier should be gone soon

The three polling places that I visited late today - Exeter, Stratham, and North Hampton - all went Buttigieg-Klobuchar-Sanders.

Sanders won all three of those in 2016 by 53-47 type margins.
We are seeing a Buttigieg advantage (yellow) in this arc of towns from Nashua to Dover which are closer to the Massachusetts border. (Sanders in Blue) NYT map
As for the polls, let's look at the Real Clear polling average and compare to the current numbers

Sanders is under the average by 2.6
Buttigieg is over by 2.8
Klobuchar is over by 8+
Warren is under by <2
Biden is under by <3
The fact that the polls missed so big on Klobuchar may also be more because there were no late polls which could have captured her rise over the weekend.
Buttigieg doesn't exactly concede as he congratulates Bernie Sanders on his "strong showing tonight"
The delegates remain
Sanders - 9
Buttigieg - 9
Klobuchar - 6

That would leave the overall delegate total after Iowa & NH:

Buttigieg - 23
Sanders - 21
Warren - 8
Klobuchar - 7
Biden - 6
Bernie Sanders thanks New Hampshire "for a great victory tonight"
Sanders thanks his top four competitors by name, preaches unity no matter who wins, and then turns to Trump.

"We are going to unite together and defeat the most dangerous President in the modern history of this country"
Turnout is bigger than 2016 for the Democrats

WASHINGTON (AP) -- Bernie Sanders wins New Hampshire Democratic primary, narrowly edging Pete Buttigieg.
Sanders wins New Hampshire over Buttigieg as the Democratic race moves to Nevada and South Carolina with some new questions for some of the 2020 hopefuls. ajc.com/blog/jamie-dup…
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