This is a very lucid explanation of what we currently know about coronavirus spread: medium.com/@tomaspueyo/co…
The graph you should be most concerned about is the one that demonstrates that, at the point you know coronavirus has taken root in your area, it is *very* widespread.
The graph you should be most concerned about is the one that demonstrates that, at the point you know coronavirus has taken root in your area, it is *very* widespread.
If you are cognizant of there being 100 people infected in your area, it is because there were ~2k people infected severe enough to require medical attention *that day*. They will present to emergency room in 2 weeks of further exponential growth.
There is no hospital system on the planet that has burst capacity for these graphs. It cannot be done.
The article then lays out what medical professionals are saying: when you go over capacity, doctors have to start triaging patients who otherwise would have made it.
The article then lays out what medical professionals are saying: when you go over capacity, doctors have to start triaging patients who otherwise would have made it.
Somebody mentioned to me that they think I have updated on this issue in the last few weeks. That rounds to accurate; the thing that did it was understanding that non-linearity of supply chains also applies to medical beds.
We have existence proofs now. We will, sadly, get more.
We have existence proofs now. We will, sadly, get more.
