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⚠️Awful. Official Public Health document predicts 80% in the UK "are expected" to be infected with #coronavirus in the next 12 months, and up to 15% (7.9 million) may need hospitalization.

If the CFR = 1%, 531,000 are predicted to die.

h/t @thespybrief
theguardian.com/world/2020/mar…
CFR = case-fatality rate (number of deaths / number infected).
To put these estimates in perspective, @thespybrief just reminded me: 450,000 Britons (military and civilian) died in World War 2.

Please note that these are still only estimates, but the situations in #China, #Italy and elsewhere are not reassuring.

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More from @DrDenaGrayson see all

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Dr. Dena Grayson
@DrDenaGrayson
🎥Friends, I will be on @BBCNews TV tonight at 10 pm ET to discuss the latest on #coronavirus.

Please tune in!

#CoronavirusOutbreak #COVID19 #CoronavirusPandemic
Will appear within the next 5-10 min...
Will post video tomorrow...many thanks to the BBC for the intelligent discussion!🤗
Read 3 tweets
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Dr. Dena Grayson
@DrDenaGrayson
🚨BREAKING: Mayor London Breed to lockdown #SanFrancisco. Residents may not leave their homes except to meet basic needs including visiting the doctor, or buying groceries or medicine, until at least April 7.

#coronavirus #CoronavirusOutbreak #COVID19
sfexaminer.com/news/in-defini…
“Residents will still be allowed to take a walk, exercise or take a pet out to use the bathroom as long as people remain at least 6-feet away from others who are not a member of their own household.”

#coronavirus #COVID19 #CoronavirusPandemic
Expect other major US cities with significant #coronavirus spread to follow soon...

Read 3 tweets
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Dr. Dena Grayson
@DrDenaGrayson
⚠️@BilldeBlasio's decision to keep #NYC schools open is "incredibly foolish. The #coronavirus will spread like wildfire among the children. They get infected, and they can spread that virus easily to older people who are at a MUCH higher risk." ~me

nytimes.com/aponline/2020/…
It's extremely important that these kids have food security, and their working parents will need financial and other support, once the schools close. But keeping schools open in the face of this deadly #pandemic is truly foolish.

#coronavirus #COVID19
Kids from families without homes get assistance (in addition to meals) from schools and will need substantial support. I urge NYC to do the right thing, close the schools, and support these kids and their families.
Read 3 tweets

Related threads

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André Picard
@picardonhealth
In today's column, I tried to answer the question: "How much worse can the #coronavirus pandemic get?" So, for data geeks like me, I'm going to post a thread of stories and graphs with projections. theglobeandmail.com/canada/article…
How Much Worse the #Coronavirus Could Get - features some great interactive charts and examines how long the #pandemic could last nytimes.com/interactive/20… via @nytimes
Unsurprisingly, Our World In Data has some of the best data on #coronavirus, like this chart that shows how long it took for cases numbers to double. (in Canada it's four days) ourworldindata.org/coronavirus
Read 15 tweets
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Kaiser Family Foundation
@KFF
JUST RELEASED: 41% of adults ages 18+ in the U.S. – 105.5M -- have a higher risk of developing more serious illness if they become infected with the virus that causes #COVID19.

This estimate is based on their age (60+) or underlying health conditions. kff.org/global-health-…
Of those 105M adults at higher risk of serious illness, if infected with #coronavirus:

Most, or 3 in 4, are age 60+

About 29 million are ages 18-59 and at higher risk due to medical conditions, e.g. heart disease, cancer, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease or diabetes.
The share of adults at higher risk of serious illness if infected with #coronavirus varies across the country, ranging from 31% in Washington D.C. to 51% in West Virginia. kff.org/global-health-…
Read 4 tweets
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Tyler Young
@tylerisyoung
CORONAVIRUS (COVID-19)
This is a roundup of what I found to be the most interesting & helpful sources on my journey into the void. #Coronavirus #Pandemic #Misinformation #CDC #CPP #WHO
This is for friends & family, but also to raise concern over media censorship & begin a discussion of what are best practices for both traditional & decentralized media outlets. This is a collection of sources to tell a larger story and spark interest.
Very few sources peer reviewed. Some behind paywalls. Some mainstream news. Some International News. Some in other languages (Use chrome). Some Harvard medical Journals. Some unverified. Some factually incorrect. Have some salt with your rice & beans.
Read 132 tweets
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IndoPacific News
@IndoPac_Info
#coronavirus:

THREAD: How #Beijing kept the world in the dark as coronavirus spread

The govt's initial handling allowed the virus to gain a tenacious hold. Officials chose to put secrecy ahead of confronting the crisis to avoid political embarrassment
smh.com.au/world/asia/bei…
The government's initial handling of the epidemic allowed the virus to gain a tenacious hold. At critical moments, officials chose to put secrecy and order ahead of openly confronting the growing crisis to avoid public alarm and political embarrassment
Authorities silenced doctors for raising red flags. They played down the dangers to the public, leaving the city's 11 million residents unaware they should protect themselves. They closed a food market where the virus may have started, but told the public it was for renovations.
Read 13 tweets
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Scott Gottlieb, MD
@ScottGottliebMD
THREAD: A brief review of Catch-22 when it comes to #Coronavirus and need for more diagnostic screening capability. Hospitals can roll out RT-PCR based test CDC developed. They all have Roche systems to run these tests. The technology is fairly straightforward. Here’s the rub 1/9
Hospitals could advance these tests as Laboratory Developed Tests or LDTs, meaning they develop them in house. But since HHS declared a public health emergency related to #Coronavirus, hospitals are now expected to get FDA permission to use their own tests fda.gov/emergency-prep…
Following the public health emergency declaration, HHS is expected to issue a declaration justifying Emergency Use Authorization (EUA) to facilitate the development of diagnostics and therapeutics for #Coronavirus medtechdive.com/news/amid-coro…
Read 10 tweets
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Karen Pauls
@karenpaulscbc
THREAD: Some of my stories about Canada’s National Microbiology Lab (NML) have been distorted to create a #coronavirus conspiracy theory. One of the 1st mentions was Saturday on Twitter. Businessman Kyle Bass claimed this involved “a husband and wife Chinese spy team”: (1/11)
In the tweet, which was shared over 12,000 times, he linked to a story I broke in July 2019, revealing that a researcher, her husband, and some of their graduate students, were escorted out of the NML in Winnipeg amid an RCMP investigation. cbc.ca/1.5211567 (2/11)
CBC reporting never claimed the two scientists were spies, or that they brought any version of the #coronavirus to the lab in Wuhan. But the story has spread. One blog post was shared more than 6,000 times on Facebook. The story even made its way onto TikTok. (3/11)
Read 14 tweets

Trending hashtags

#Madrid #Coronavirus #Kanagawa #Toronto #UnitedStates #COVID19 #新型肺炎 #Wuhan #CoronaOutbreak #coronavirusuk #breakthrough #coronavirus #vaccine #CoronavirusOutbreak #troublebreathing #우한 #HerdImmunity #Australia #NHS #CoronavirusSeattle #COVD19 #ChinaCoronaVirus #medprofessionals #coronaravirus #AbbVie

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