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Ahmed Quraishi Profile picture
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9 Feb, 7 tweets, 10 min read
"We welcome #India's emergence as a leading global power and its role as a net security provider in the region."

#US returns to #Obama era's tight embrace of #India. Under #Trump, US tempered tech-related Indian immigration, and twisted India's arm on unfair trade practices.
Resumption of close #US-#India ties under #Biden administration means the #Pakistan-#America relationship will undergo a readjustment. #Afghanistan will anchor ties. But long-term outlook is up in the air, again. /1

#Pakistan failed to deal with #Trump admin which came close to Pakistani position on #Afghanistan; engaged it on #Kashmir. Under PM #ImranKhan govt, Pak showed reticence in engaging the US beyond Afghan peace process. Pak analysts routinely framed #CPEC as part of anti-#US bloc/2
Imran Khan govt is trying recently to change this misconception. NSA @YusufMoeed has invited the #US to engage #Pakistan on #CPEC projects and participate in #Islamabad's ideas on economic diplomacy. /3
Both #US & #Pakistan need a new narrative. Pak needs a foreign policy rethink, with better clarity on wider security issues in the #Gulf, #Mideast #IndoPacific to multiply impact.

Here's ex-US envoy to Pak Richard Olson giving a two-sided version. /4

A welcome statement from USG on internet freedom in #Kashmir. Wording is too cautious; seems to recognize #India's decision to end region's autonomy [but doesn't]. #Trump WH implicitly recognized region's disputed status by offering mediation w/ #Pakistan
After Daniel Pearl case, #Kashmir is becoming an issue b/w #Pakistan and #Biden admin. @ForeignOfficePk corrects @State_SCA/@StateDept on a recent statement on Kashmir internet censorship that appeared to endorse Indian legal steps in the disputed region:

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More from @_AhmedQuraishi

Ahmed Quraishi Profile picture
12 Feb
#Turkey, #Pakistan: Inside the Ankara-Islamabad axis. By @jonathan_spyer.

Thoughts:
#Erdogan forced #Pakistan to abandon policy neutrality to condemn #Assad attack that killed #Turkish soldiers.

And asked Islamabad to act against #Iran's #Zeynabioun /1

flip.it/69ylSq
#Turkish & #Pakistani elites+militaries generally are pro-West liberals. This has changed with distinct religious nationalism of #Erdogan+#ImranKhan. Top #Lebanon analyst Hazem Saghieh feels both endangered Muslims in Europe last year. /2
@jonathan_spyer
english.alarabiya.net/en/in-translat…
Are #Erdogan & #ImranKhan forcing a permanent Islamist nationalist tilt in Ankara & Islamabad and reducing their militaries' political roles that helped balance policies?

Two trends to watch. @jonathan_spyer's analysis is an excellent curtain raiser.

Read 5 tweets
Ahmed Quraishi Profile picture
30 Jan
#China wants its National People's Congress #NPC members to help #Pakistan provide "effective oversight" of #CPEC projects by creating a joint parliamentary committee. This will be in addition to the oversight by the @CPECAuthority. /1

tribune.com.pk/story/2281663/…
This is the 1st time #China engages #Pakistan parliament in a joint oversight idea for #CPEC. Proposal was floated by #NPC Chairman Li. The official handle of Pak Parliament confirmed this. The Chinese emb tweet of the event where idea was discussed /2
During the virtual meeting, and aside from a new role for #NPC in #CPEC oversight, Chairman Li Zhanshu of National People's Congress also received assurances from his #Pakistan counterpart re security provided to #China personnel. /3

Read 5 tweets
Ahmed Quraishi Profile picture
29 Jan
#DanielPearl murder is linked to several debates inside #Pakistan: from safety of journalists to the murky story of the former War on Terror & the intelligence #USPakistan tug of war under #Obama admin, to #FATF antiterror steps. And how this will impact relations under #Biden WH
#US embassy in #Pakistan releases a statement quoting @SecBlinken on #DanielPearl case, recognizes past #Pakistani actions on terrorist Omar Sheikh, notes Attorney General's positive statement to recall release order & offers to prosecute him in #America:

pk.usembassy.gov/seeking-justic…
As a #Pakistani journalist, we stand by @yudapearl & #DanielPearl's family in their quest for justice. #Islamabad's commitment to recall the decision to release his killer is commendable, must be ensured. Good work by Pakistani journalists & @arabnewspk:
Read 4 tweets
Ahmed Quraishi Profile picture
27 Jan
Peace with #Israel is a strategic decision for #UAE; reversal unlikely, but dependence on Israel will be limited. Israel has its own delicate calculations. The UAE still needs to build up indigenous military capacity to confront #Iran.

@LahavHarkov
A pithy and positive reaction by the #UAE to news of halt to F-35 sale pending a review.

Makes a strong case:

The deal means sharing the burden on Gulf security; better interoperability b/w UAE-#USA militaries; & freeing #US assets for other missions.

The F-35/#UAE review is imp bcz it reopens old wounds. Gulf/Arab states were wary that #Obama WH used Arab Spring to ally with Islamist groups to topple Arab govts. The #JCPOA reinforced the idea that #US would ally with #Iran+Islamists to redraw borders/2
Read 4 tweets
Ahmed Quraishi Profile picture
26 Jan
#Biden administration allows #Houthis to conduct international financial transactions for one month (until Feb. 26). A temporary relief from terror designation, and likely a goodwill gesture toward #Iran./1

#HouthiTerrorismInYemen

Without a political or military settlement, #Houthi takeover of #Yemen will continue to be seen in the region as a first step toward destabilizing #Gulf states, & a threat to energy+economic security, linked to the larger debate on future peace vision vs. extremism in Mideast /2
For all the operational mistakes of the #Yemen govt in exile & its #Gulf backers, #Iran's role in prolonging the war by supporting a proxy is the key. It's not dissimilar to how Tehran prolonged the #Afghanistan civil war in 1990s. /3
Read 5 tweets
Ahmed Quraishi Profile picture
25 Jan
Well articulated by @YusufMoeed but #Pakistan's foreign policy falls short of this vision; more rhetoric, no action. Govt failed to exploit the Trump/USA opening in 2019, stayed away from peace+economic vision in Mideast; too eager to tilt at windmills (Islamophobia/TV/France).
Many members of Pakistani policy+natsec communities (some w/ gov/official links) regularly frame #CPEC in the media in terms of #Pakistan creating a bloc to challenge #US/West/#Israel. Such radicalism doesn't help. 'Prism confusion' is internal @YusufMoeed
Policy mindset forces others to see #Pakistan through #Afghanistan/#India prisms only. We won't take part in shaping anything else. Timid/cautious policies even toward own interests. We demonize our closest trading partners #US/#UAE/#EU. @YusufMoeed

Read 5 tweets

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