Tim White Profile picture
14 Mar, 28 tweets, 18 min read
Sunday's #Coronavirus megathread will, as always, be updated throughout the day with news, data and analysis.

Few paid attention while we warned of rising #Covid19 cases in the Balkans then central Europe. Now everyone's concerned as big nations suffer.

Come inside folks!
And I'll start with Europe's biggest nation (in population), #Germany

A further 27% rise in #Covid19 cases confirmed overnight with 10,572 new infections for Saturday vs 8,311 the week before.
#Brazil's been the focus of much attention of late as deaths soar.

The number of people who were reported to have died of #Covid19 yesterday actually dipped, but only because it's the weekend. In fact 1,940 deaths is 30% higher than last Saturday's 1,498

New cases: 70,934 (+5%)
This time yesterday there were worrying data from #USA
Today the news is much better.

#Covid19 cases are back down by around 10%, but as usual on weekends, nine states have not updated their totals.

On Saturday the U.S. passed 30 million confirmed cases
A rise of 29% in new cases for #Belgium today as #Covid19's variants tighten their grip.

3,598 more infections, up 800 from a week ago.
The 7-day rate now is 240 AD/M
#Ireland's National Immunisation Advisory Committee has recommended immediately stopping use of the AstraZeneca #Covid19 vaccine
#Ukraine's infection rate jumps from 188 to 194 AD/M today, but watch it balloon upwards in the next few days to well over 250, nearer 300 by next weekend.

9,012 new #Covid19 cases today, a 25% rise from last Sunday.
#Czechia's data are better today
Cases of #Covid19 are well down, and deaths too.

6,914 new infections, down from 9,066, and 143 more deaths.

@tvuck pointed out to me that mass testing is taking place in workplaces likely leading to higher cases weekdays.
#Hungary reports its worst ever Sunday figures as #Covid19 cases leap another 43%

8,863 new cases and 162 new deaths.
The infection rate's gone from 707 to 747 in a single day.

The death rate's rising and every chance the record daily death toll of 193 could be broken this week
Major relief for #Estonia with a big fall in new cases of #Covid19

935 is still extremely high for the small Baltic nation, but well down on last Sunday's 1,321.
However testing was down and the positive test rate remains 8.2%
#Poland's cases of #Covid19 are up 27% again today.
21,049 is today's figure, compared with 17,259 last Sunday.

The all time daily record in Poland is 27,875 and I project they'll get close to that in 4 days time and the record is on course to be broken on, or about, 25 March.
After a week of stability, a big leap in new #Covid19 infections in #Finland today.

863 new cases represents a 69% rise on last Sunday.
No indication yet if there are backlogged cases in that surprisingly large total. The effects of lockdown should see cases fall now.
#Norway has seen its highest daily intake of #Covid19 patients into hospital for 11 months.

200 more people have been admitted throughout the country, 23 more than the previous day.

The Nordic nation looks certain to break its national record for new cases soon.
A swift answer for #Finland's case rise.

(Contributions always welcome to try to keep this thread as informative and accurate as possible.)

Staggering numbers emerging from #Bosnia & Herzegovina today.

Sundays, as elsewhere, usually bring lower case numbers.
But today new #Covid19 infections are up over 150%

1,025 more infections vs 400 a week ago.
The 7 day rate is 320 AD/M and doubling in 13.5 days
Big problems in #Philippines right now.

Today new #Covid19 cases up 50%.
The % increase is getting bigger each day

Yesterday the daily figure was virtually 5,000 which is the highest since August, and the 7-day infection rate's already at its highest for 6 months.

Thx @ngyojiw
#Serbia completes a whole week of case numbers between 4000-4700.

Today's total of new #Covid19 infections is 4,226. That's 39% higher than last Sunday.

This week the 5,000 mark will be hit for the first time in 2021.
There are big anti-lockdown protests in various cities across #Netherlands today. Yellow umbrellas to the fore ahead of local elections.

Many peaceful like here, but there have been quite a lot of violent clashes and bloodshed elsewhere.

The situation's getting even worse in #Greece
1,616 new cases of #Covid19, a 42% hike on last Sunday

564 patients are currently in intensive care in Greece.
#UK data is released. 4,618 new cases of #Covid19 down 560 from last Sunday.

52 more deaths down from 82 the week before.
Only a small rise for #Italy today on the eve of lockdown.

21.315 cases of #Covid19, just 2.6% higher than last Sunday. 264 more deaths today too.

Meanwhile one region in Italy has joined the growing list of areas and countries which have stopped using of AstraZeneca vaccine.
#Ireland sees cases of #Covid19 fall today after two successive daily rises.

384 new infections today, that's 27% down on last Sunday
#Netherlands, as the trouble flared around the country, reports another big increase as the #ThirdWave takes a real hold on the nation.

Today 5,974 new infections, up 32% compared with seven days ago.

The 7 day infection rate goes back above 300 AD/M.
The situation in #France is getting worse every day.

New cases of #Covid19 up 21% to 26,343
The 7 day infection rate's now 366 AD/M, the highest rate since 21 November.
Europe's lowest #Covid19 infection rates
Norway out, Spain in

1 #Iceland 5.4
2 #Portugal 58.3
3 #Russia 66.4*
4 #Liechtenstein 82.3
5 #UK 84.0
6 #Ireland 102
7 #Belarus 103*
8 #Germany 116
9 #Spain 122
10 #Finland 124
*=made up data

#AstraZeneca has issued a statement in response to various countries suspending use of its #Covid19 vaccine.

There still appears to be no evidence of increased risk of blood clots or any other serious side effects

Highest increase so far for #Germany in the #ThirdWave

8,941 new cases of #Covid19 today which is 35% up on last Sunday. There's also likely to be a few more added to the total in the morning as some areas have not yet updated their figures.
#Cyprus struggling too...

374 new #Covid19 cases, up 24%.
The 7-day infection rate is still climbing steeply, now at 452 AD/M.

But always worth repeating the Cypriots are mass testing and positive test rate remains under 1%.

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More from @TWMCLtd

15 Mar
Which countries are the worst liars when it comes to #Covid19 deaths (and which are the most honest)?

There's no definitive way of stating, but analysis of excess deaths is a guide to the real extent of #Coronavirus

I've worked out official deaths as a % of excess deaths..
This is the best way to expose clear cheating.
But it's not perfect

Many nations suspected of underplaying #Covid19 deaths don't declare mortality data, notably India, Indonesia and Turkey, though for the latter two stats are available for the biggest cities Jakarta/Istanbul
Data are the latest available for each country but e.g. while Peru, Spain, UK are right up to date, others are >6 months old.

Some nations have negative excess deaths, e.g. Taiwan, New Zealand, Thailand, Australia, Japan, Iceland, Norway.
Having lockdowns, mask wearing etc
Read 10 tweets
13 Mar
The daily #Coronavirus thread is underway.

If Friday turned out to be fearful, we can only hope it's not a shocking Saturday.

More and more countries and regions heading back into lockdown as #Covid19 spreads quicker then the vaccines.

And already today new record - read on..
The first record to report is from crisis-torn #Brazil

For the 3rd successive day over 2,000 deaths.
But it's new #Covid19 cases rewriting the record books today with 84,047 positive tests, that's 12% more than the week before

2,152 more deaths takes total fatalities over 275k
Almost a record for #Norway too tonight.

905 new #Covid19 infections diagnosed in the last 24 hours, just 25 below the national record. Today's total is 31% up on the previous week.

Over 300 more Covid patients have been admitted to hospital in the last 2 days alone.
Read 42 tweets
1 Dec 20
#Coronavirus thread for Tuesday as #Croatia, #Finland #Slovakia face new problems and #Russia has the blackest day so far in the pandemic.

But #Poland and #USA have better days

All the #Covid19 news and analysis throughout the day is here...
Let's start with #Russia, which earlier today registered it's 40,000th death from #Covid19 related problems.

Today's death toll of 569 is by far the highest so far admitted to by the Kremlin, beating the old record by 45

New cases remain fairly stable at 26,402
#Hungary looked to be heading for a 3rd #Coronavirus peak, but slightly more encouraging news today

The daily total of 3951 new cases of #Covid19 is only 22 up on last Tuesday, but I suspect more problems ahead; Thursday will be crucial

Also today, 2nd highest death toll of 154
Read 29 tweets
30 Nov 20
Later than usual let me bring you up to date with Monday's #Coronavirus news in the daily thread.

In the #UK, the devolved Welsh government has tightened restrictions just as England prepares to come out of lockdown.

Plenty of warning signs of a #Covid19 resurgence in Europe
I wait with interest data from #USA today after the holiday weekend.

We've had 4 days of significantly lower new cases of #Covid19 infections and no one really knows how things will be as things settle down.
Warnings from Europe come from #Germany & #Belgium

Germany's falls have slowed; they could be in danger of seeing cases rise again this week

Brussels has already announced a 2nd successive daily rise: 2,151 new #Covid19 cases today, the infection rate is up from 210 to 220 AD/M
Read 21 tweets
29 Nov 20
Across #Belarus another Sunday protest march, and more inhumane actions from the regime. Here a guy, seemingly unconscious is hauled away, his head almost on the snowy ground, to be dumped next to an unmarked police van
Security forces in #Belarus firing shots, but people are brave and don't flee this time.
Once again Lukashenko's muppets seem out of control in #Minsk
#Belarus protests continue as the snow falls.

credit: @Belsat_TV
Read 9 tweets
29 Nov 20
Sunday's #Coronavrus thread starts with developments in the #USA

Fewer testing centres open, fewer labs analysing results and fewer people wanting to be tested over the long holiday weekend, so as expected the drop in #Covid19 infections continues.

143,373 new cases, down 32k
There were signs the #Covid19 case load in #USA was about to naturally lower before Thanksgiving, so whether infections bounce back to previous levels remains to be seen.

Now a new worry as another mink outbreak is discovered in #Oregon

#Bulgaria and #Czechia continue to see case numbers fall

Bulgaria's finally getting good downward momentum with just 1,792 new #Covid19 infections overnight, down almost 500.

Czech Republic's fall is lower than of late, with 2,665 cases which is 522 fewer than last Sunday
Read 21 tweets

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