Discover and read the best of Twitter Threads about #BondYield

Most recents (6)

On Monday $ fell to its lowest level in a basket of currencies bucking its recent trend as investors have grown nervous ahead of US inflation data with other Central Banks like ECB/ BOE etc adopting a more hawkish stand. This will determine the extent of the next Fed rate hike.
So far the US economy exhibiting resilience with multiple data points pointing towards a probable softer landing than a recession has helped the dollar index strengthen.
India has been bucking the trend with the Rupee depreciating against the dollar on account of global sentiments but strengthening against other currencies. The rupee’s ability to stem the fall with RBI looking at holding the figure of 80 seems to be paying off along with other
Read 20 tweets
A Thread 🧵 on Yield Spread.


The U.S. Treasury yield spread is the difference between the Fed's short-term borrowing rate and the rate on longer-term U.S. Treasury notes.

The width of the yield spread helps to predict the state of the economy over the course of the next year.

Investors analyze the shape of the yield curve and the changes to its shape to gain a sense of economic expectations.

Read 22 tweets
A Thread 🧵on how bond yields impact stock market ?

Must read for beginners in #StockMarket.

(RT to maximize reach.)

#Bonds #BondYields #StockMarket #Investing
What is #bond ?

Bonds are issued by governments and corporations when they want to raise money. By buying a bond, investor is giving the issuer a loan, and issuer agrees to pay the investor back the face value of the loan on a specific date, and to pay periodic interest as well.
What is bond yield ?

Bond yield, on the other hand, is the return that an investor gets on that bond or on a particular government security.

#Investing #StockMarket #Bonds
Read 8 tweets
#RBIPolicy at 12pm today,is likely to keep status quo on #REPO rate, which was last lowered by 40bps in May 2020,to 4%

In 2020,REPO cut by a total of 115bps

In 2019 REPO cut by 135bps

What may weigh on #MPC's mind is #Inflation,which was 6.09% in June 2020 Vs 5.84%,in March'20
Some like #ICRA predicting 25bps REPO cut,saying #RBI may want to be ahead of the curve,despite build up of inflationary pressures

Well,10 Yr #BondYield was 5.83% y'day

Today 10 Yr@5.84%--Bond markets are clearly not expecting rate cut

#REPO at 4%,is already lowest in 20yrs
As expected, #RBIPolicy leaves #REPO& Reverse REPO unchanged

Right thing to do,as further reduction in rates at this stage, would have distorted #YieldCurve

Already,3 month #MCLR of #SBI is 6.65%& 1 yr at 7%

#MonetaryTransmission is happening,so more cuts not needed currently
Read 5 tweets
Left& @RahulGandhi went berserk when #Moodys downgraded India

Well,besides #Fitch,which projects 9.5% growth for India in FY22,S&P has retained BBB minus,but with #StableOutlook

S&P has praised India's sound net external position&closing of fiscal gap under @narendramodi govt💪
S&P forecasts #GDP growth of 8.5% for India in FY22

S&P's #StableOutlook has been received pretty well by Bond markets with 2029 bonds trading at #Yield of 5.98%&2030@ #BondYield of 5.77%

Global markets will seek cues from #FOMC,as it concludes its 2 day meet today
Well,well--#Fed decides to keep rates at #zero,till 2022!In other words,for next 18 months,expect global asset markets to be driven #northwards, by the big #LiquidityTap-Yes #QEInfinity is here

Fed will buy $80billion of treasuries &$40bn of #MBS each month-HUGE

Read 3 tweets
#US #InvertedYieldCurve & panic
On wed, #DowJones, #nasdaq & #SP500 saw more than 3% fall, highest in year so far
Reason? #10YearTreasuryYield < #2YearTreasuryYield, #spread being 0.04%, lowest since 2007
- Treasury notes are #USGovernment securities issued for 2, 3, 5 & 10 year
Starting with basics first.
1. #InterestRate & #BondPrices have #InverseRelationship, meaning if interest rises bond prices fall & vice versa
Why? eg. if currently #Coupon rate on a bond is 6% & int rate is also 6% & face value of bond is rs. 100. Meaning buyer of bond is willing to pay more or less complete face value of rs. 100
Read 19 tweets

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