So far, there are polls on Kavanaugh from YouGov, Ipsos and Change Research. Plus those Upshot/Siena district polls have been in the field. It's a little early to draw conclusions but main themes so far seem to be... (continued...)
1. Overall views on confirmation aren't that much changed, but perhaps a bit worse than Kavanaugh than before (and they weren't too good before)
2. Ford seen as more believable by pluralities of voters.
3. Quite a few undecided voters; people don't have their minds fully made up.
2. Ford seen as more believable by pluralities of voters.
3. Quite a few undecided voters; people don't have their minds fully made up.
4. Partisans on both sides have much stronger feelings than independents, but some evidence that Democrats rather than Republicans are actually the most activated and have the most intense feelings.
Of these themes, No. 3 is the most overlooked. While partisans have very intense feelings on Kavanaugh, quite a few people in the middle don't know what to make of it all. Not my job to give advice but the parties should probably think about what they sound like to swing voters.
