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Seth Abramson @SethAbramson
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Like many Trump-Russia watchers, I agreed to go with the "negotiations until June '16" line because that's what federal filings said. But the sanctions negotiations went through Election Day, so most thought Trump Tower Moscow talks did too.

And they did. thehill.com/homenews/sunda…
2/ BTW, I'm only speaking of the Trump-Rozov deal. I've long argued the Trump-Agalarov Trump Tower Moscow deal went through February 2017, as I located a statement by Agalarov on a Russian construction website that said the deal only ended in February 2017 (which was also a lie).
3/ What Proof of Collusion establishes is that the "Trump-Agalarov" deal was active through July 2017 *at the earliest*, which is one reason I always found it preposterous that we were expected to believe that the "Trump-Rozov" deal ended in *June 2016*. Why would/should it have?
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(THREAD) A couple days ago, MSNBC's @maddow presented compelling preliminary evidence that Trump gets intelligence and propaganda from Kremlin sources. Tonight I'll add to her report in a significant way by discussing the meeting pictured below. I hope you'll read on and retweet.
1/ VANITY FAIR has credited this feed with being the first to recognize the significance of the March 31, 2016 meeting Trump convened—at the Trump International Hotel DC—of his "National Security Advisory Committee." I can tell you @NatashaBertrand deserves a lot of credit, too.
2/ It was a single line from an article (below) Bertrand published on March 3, 2017 that caused me to spend hundreds of tweets dissecting all aspects of a meeting media had previously thought unimportant.

It turns out it could be more key than I realized. businessinsider.com/jd-gordon-trum…
Read 51 tweets
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Trump juxtaposing the shutdown and impeachment is no accident. True or not, it is likely he thinks that the longer the government isn't functioning properly, the longer it takes Democrat-led House committees to do the Trump-Russia investigative work the Republicans refused to do.
2/ Make no mistake: Trump's ambition is to forestall the impeachment question just long enough to have the Republican and Democratic primary processes start in earnest. At that point, he and his lawyers will say that *voters* should be allowed to decide Trump's fate—not Congress.
3/ Trump will only have to convince 34 Senate Republicans to vote against his conviction, so developing a rhetorical argument that says impeachment must not interfere with the right of voters to choose their leaders is incredibly important for Trump. And this argument could work.
Read 3 tweets
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I haven't written on the shutdown because in the years I spent negotiating on a daily basis as a defense lawyer, one thing I learned was you can't analyze a negotiation strategy effectively if your negotiating partner is irrational. Trump's shutdown can't be competently analyzed.
2/ In other words, the only analysis of the shutdown worth a damn is an analysis that says Trump's mental and emotional pathologies are dangerous and mean the shutdown could last a few more hours or many months. That's been my perspective from the moment the government shut down.
3/ Trump's shutdown will therefore end whenever his dangerous mental and emotional pathologies permit it to—an unknowable in the equation—or Democrats decide to cave to Trump's instability, which would be just as dangerous a precedent as that instability is in the first instance.
Read 4 tweets

Related threads

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Trump: "Russia used to be the Soviet Union. Afghanistan made it Russia because they went bankrupt fighting in Afghanistan." 🤦‍♀️
#Russia's state media: "The USSR sent troops to Afghanistan in 1979. The last units of the Soviet troops left in 1989. The USSR ceased to exist in 1991."
Source: ria.ru/20190102/15490…
cc: @PaulaChertok
Read 3 tweets
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THREAD! 1-A number of experts are saying the recent @nytimes @ScottShaneNYT @MarkMazzettiNYT BIG #Trump-#Russia piece is one of the best pieces of journalism in recent years, and IT SURE IS. I had three levels of reaction to this as someone who has closely analyzed this topic.
2-1st, I was OVERJOYED that 1 of the best newspapers FINALLY gave 2 of their best journalists go-ahead & space to cover the #Trump-#Russia the only way it can be properly understood: a deep-dive detailed look at big, overall picture over time. Our society is better off for it!
3-2nd, I was SUPER frustrated generally cuz, 2+ years after topic should've obvi been covered this way only @NYTimes among biggest outlets has done this. W/ smaller respected outlets. Even 1 year into it only @aminterest/@submergingmkt, @newrepublic/@craigunger had. Circa 0 since
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THREAD

#Trump #Russia #HumanTrafficking #Prostitution #Conspiracy
1.A not revealed story pertaining to the @Comey letter is that public evidence prove that #Prince #Giuliani and #Trump conspired to "Lean" on #Comey to reopen the investigation into Hillary

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2.#Prince, #Giuliani, and #Trump conspired to lean and intimidate @Comey

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Read 72 tweets
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#THREAD

#Trump #Russia #SovietUnion #Treason
1. In 1987 it is believed that #Trump was recruited by #SovietUnion, specifically recruited by Kryuchkov head of First Chief Directorate, a division within the #KGB who's primary responsibility was to gather foreign intelligence

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Read 47 tweets
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MEGA THREAD

#Trump #Russia #Putin #RussianMob #Mogilevich
1. It all started not surprisingly with #RogerStone, #Stone worked with Arthur #Finkelstein and Lee #Atwater in the 1970´s

#Trump #Russia #Putin #RussianMob #Mogilevich

nytimes.com/1989/04/30/mag…
2.#Finkelstein was very involved in #Trump´s campaign in 2016, but is hardly mentioned in the press, why?

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THREAD

#Trump #Russia #MoneyLaundering #Mogilevich #RussianMafia
1 .In 1981, David #Bogatin arrived in #NewYorkCity, #Bogatin was a former pilot in the #Soviet Army, and shot down #USA planes during the #VietnamWar, he arrived in #NewYorkCity broke.
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