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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
Too many Brexit inaccuracies this morning. To tackle a handful:-

1/ The EU could reopen the Withdrawal Agreement if the UK indicates a clear preference for the future relationship, like EEA.
2/ No UK-wide Free Trade Agreement is on offer without an Irish backstop...
3/ Extending Article 50 is possible, but the Member States of the EU must agree
4/ The Meaningful Vote would not have been won had ERG MPs voted with the Government, it would have been closer
5/ It is not the job of the EU to decide what is acceptable to the UK Parliament
Sorry to be unclear, these are of course the correct statements, not the inaccuracies to which they respond
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More from @DavidHenigUK see all

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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
I agree with those who say that the Government should rule out a no-deal Brexit. It would remove much of the business and citizen uncertainty, allow Government to do its job better, and not hinder the UK negotiating approach ...1/
There has always been an argument that the UK needs to show the EU we would leave without a deal to get a better deal. It is based on the idea of BATNA (Best Alternative to a Negotiated Agreement) but with one fatal flaw - it probably isn't the UK's best alternative... 2/
Simply, the EU has never believed the UK would leave without a deal, and won't be convinced by some half hearted preparation. They can count MPs as well as anyone. And there are alternative BATNAs if someone wants to go into that... 3/
Read 11 tweets
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
This probably isn't a time for serious analysis of the UK's options, but given how many people idly talk of EEA, EFTA or Customs Union as options, just a quick overview that you can pretend you knew already.... 1/
European Economic Area = single market, open to members of EU or EFTA - European Free Trade Association. Part of single market, established consultation mechanism, trade agreements through EFTA or independently... 2/
EFTA/EEA (cont)... but Freedom of Movement, helps but may not fully solve Ireland border question, outside of political union. UK was a founder member of EFTA 3/
Read 8 tweets
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David Henig
@DavidHenigUK
To understand where we go from here in Brexit we need to understand where we are. It isn't a pretty picture - thread... 1/
The PM believed she could find a deal that all of her party could support. As per Chequers this was the soft Brexit for frictionless trade combined with the hard Brexit for an independent trade policy. Such a deal almost certainly cannot exist 2/
What we therefore ended up with was neither hard or soft Brexit - but instead put all of the PMs aspirations into the Political Declaration, a document which the EU could only agree to because it was aspirational. The PM sold it as done deal. 3/
Read 19 tweets

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Alliance of British Entrepreneurs #GOWTO
@AllianceBE
Feeling dejected about #Brexit? Well don't!

The UK still holds all the cards. They just need to be played correctly.

A short #Thread from Leave colleagues from the far south to the distant north of our wonderful island. With thanks to @ScotsForLeaveEU

[THREAD]
1/ The EU & Irish govt have said that there will be no hard border with NI in the event of “no deal” at UK exit. But this means that the EU has also accepted that the EU is bound to do a ‘zero-for-zero’ deal with no tariff barriers with the UK.
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Peter Foster
@pmdfoster
So @DominicRaab and Brexiteers think a defeat for @theresa_may
on Dec 11 will allow the UK to renegotiate the Irish backstop, specifically the right to leave unilaterally.

Here's why, after chats with both sides, that ain't happening IMO. 1/thread

telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/…
@DominicRaab @theresa_may First Raab thinks a PM that shows some "will and resolve" can get the EU to change its mind.

But his own experience must tell him different. Remember his own failed tilt at @simoncoveney demanding three-month exit clause? Fail. /2

telegraph.co.uk/politics/2018/…
@DominicRaab @theresa_may @simoncoveney But even allowing for disingenuousness, there are 3 reasons why the EU is not bluffing when it says it won't renegotiate the backstop to give the UK a unilateral walkout clause.

1. They actually want to avoid a hard border
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katya adler
@BBCkatyaadler
1) On talk of Theresa May coming to Brussels to see Jean Claude Juncker this week, the Commission says this will be when concrete progress has been made on content of political declaration on future relationship between EU and U.K.
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Peter Foster
@pmdfoster
The #Brexit tunnellers are tunnelling in pursuit of that elusive crock of gold - a deal.

What are they trying to finesse? How are they trying to close a deal? Here's what I know after chats with both sides. 1/Thread
As we all know, "it's the backstop, stupid" that is the problem.

But more specifically, how long the backstop lasts, and whether the UK can ever leave it.

This is the crux of the matter. /2
Last week was a big step forward, with the EU tentatively agreeing to write an all-UK customs arrangement *into* the Withdrawal Agreement.

So not a promise to do this in the future, but an operable text that requires no subsequent additions to function. /3
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Jonathan Mills
@Muinchille
Reading and tweeting HMG's White Paper.
assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
Starting with the conclusions (always the best bit)
1 Principled and practical are TM's new adjectves for #Brexit, which sounds conciliatory and is the sort of thing the EU do want to hear.
2
a Frictionless trade at the border (specific border not stated)
b UK out CAP & Fisheries, but in on crime & terror & shared prosperity fund
c No hard Border between NI & I, but protect the Union
d End of CJEU in UK, return "accountability" to the various elected assemblies
Read 59 tweets
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Peter Foster
@pmdfoster
As we warned a week ago #Brexit talks are deadlocked.

But Barnier and Davis hinted at progress in Dec

Why? 1/

telegraph.co.uk/news/2017/10/0…
First, where we are at: UK made big concessions in Florence on $$$ and agreeing to put A50 Withdrawal agreement direct into UK law /2
The UK is frustrated by EU27 response.

Feels Florence deserved better and won't move again until has something to show for it. /3
Read 20 tweets

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