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Well, that was a stunner! - #RemainAlliance beats the split Tory & Brexit Party votes in Brecon & Radnorshire.
This is also an area that voted 52% Leave in 2016... and is now in pro-EU Lib Dem hands. Amazing stuff.
This is also an area that voted 52% Leave in 2016... and is now in pro-EU Lib Dem hands. Amazing stuff.
There are several fascinating lessons from the Brecon & Radnorshire result:
1- Like with Peterborough, the Tory Party & Brexit Party again split the vote with each other, both losing out.
2- This will cause resentment of BP by the Tory Party... making it harder to work together
1- Like with Peterborough, the Tory Party & Brexit Party again split the vote with each other, both losing out.
2- This will cause resentment of BP by the Tory Party... making it harder to work together
3- Farage will point to this as the need for Tory-BP pacts, thus trying to ramp up his influence, causing more tensions in Tory Party.
4- This is humiliation for Johnson, whose “bounce” didn’t convince BP and couldn’t beat Lib Dems/ #RemainAlliance
4- This is humiliation for Johnson, whose “bounce” didn’t convince BP and couldn’t beat Lib Dems/ #RemainAlliance
5- This all ramps up Johnson’s need for a GE... but makes that GE (with a spoiler Brexit Party) look highly risky. Catch-22
6- Labour vote dropped 70%! (And no - not to BP - as BP-Tory adds up to prev Tory total). #RemainAlliance are strong tactical voters across all parties.
6- Labour vote dropped 70%! (And no - not to BP - as BP-Tory adds up to prev Tory total). #RemainAlliance are strong tactical voters across all parties.
