#ThinkSlow #ActFast
“I worry that we won't politically accept extreme confinement measures until we've hit a terrifying number of serious cases & deaths
Perhaps once 100,000 people have died…”
@ProfSteveKeen #COVID19 #Exponential #Contagion #Pandemic
patreon.com/posts/34547040
“I worry that we won't politically accept extreme confinement measures until we've hit a terrifying number of serious cases & deaths
Perhaps once 100,000 people have died…”
@ProfSteveKeen #COVID19 #Exponential #Contagion #Pandemic
patreon.com/posts/34547040
“as many as eight in 10 Britons could become infected and the virus could kill around one percent of those infected”
Conclusion: friends are going to die; people will be angry; ministers may fall
#EndOfDays
@10DowningStreet @NHSuk @MattHancock
express.co.uk/news/world/125…
Conclusion: friends are going to die; people will be angry; ministers may fall
#EndOfDays
@10DowningStreet @NHSuk @MattHancock
express.co.uk/news/world/125…
If you have some time for calm consideration…
…then these briefing videos are very good
HT @CarolineYorston // @ACJYorston
rcplondon.ac.uk/news/covid-19-…
…then these briefing videos are very good
HT @CarolineYorston // @ACJYorston
rcplondon.ac.uk/news/covid-19-…
Remember when your Mother told you not to talk to strangers?
This was why.
Go home. Close the doors. Work remotely.
#COVID19
thesun.co.uk/news/11043648/…
This was why.
Go home. Close the doors. Work remotely.
#COVID19
thesun.co.uk/news/11043648/…
“What the #Health and #SocialCare system across the UK has done to tackle the #Coronavirus (#COVID19) outbreak, and what it plans to do next.”
Published 3 March 2020, @DHSCgovuk
gov.uk/government/pub…
Published 3 March 2020, @DHSCgovuk
gov.uk/government/pub…
The #Coronavirus action plan does not "set out what we will do, but sets out what action we could take at the right time and on the basis of scientific advice"
says @BorisJohnson
says @BorisJohnson
So it turns out that if you don’t treat staff well prior to their retirement (or indeed, look after them thereafter) then they won’t be willing to return and help you out in a crisis.
Who knew?
#NHS #Coronavirus #COVID19 #Health @DHSCgovuk
theguardian.com/world/2020/mar…
Who knew?
#NHS #Coronavirus #COVID19 #Health @DHSCgovuk
theguardian.com/world/2020/mar…
https://t.co/Xs2JIP59fw
“Spring break, which was due to begin on March 29, will instead begin on March 8 and last two weeks
Distance learning will be introduced during the remaining two weeks
Government schools will run a home-teaching programme called Learn from Afar”
thenational.ae/uae/education/…
Distance learning will be introduced during the remaining two weeks
Government schools will run a home-teaching programme called Learn from Afar”
thenational.ae/uae/education/…
If you’re looking for the lighter side of #COVID19 then I can recommend this thread
// HT @actioncookbook
// HT @actioncookbook
“A large wave of #COVID19 would prove fundamentally challenging to the #NHS
The crunch would come during the peak weeks; half of the total number of cases could all come within a fortnight
It could take two or three months to reach that point”
bbc.co.uk/news/health-51…
The crunch would come during the peak weeks; half of the total number of cases could all come within a fortnight
It could take two or three months to reach that point”
bbc.co.uk/news/health-51…
#COVID19 #Coronavirus
This graph… // @CarolineYorston @ACJYorston
Huge thanks to @behrooz_hm for all the heavy-lifting on this data
His thread offers further detail.
This graph… // @CarolineYorston @ACJYorston
Huge thanks to @behrooz_hm for all the heavy-lifting on this data
His thread offers further detail.
All secondary schools need to get onto this…
HT @foldingathome
@RadleyBiology @_grice_ @BitbyBot @RadleyPhysics #CrowdSourcing #COVID19 @ISC_Digital @ty_goddard
HT @foldingathome
@RadleyBiology @_grice_ @BitbyBot @RadleyPhysics #CrowdSourcing #COVID19 @ISC_Digital @ty_goddard
You may recall that Chris Whitty (UK Chief Medical Officer) suggested:
“For a very short period of time the NHS may look quite different from the NHS we're used to…”
This thread is a hard read reflecting on what #COVID19 looks like when things get bad…
“For a very short period of time the NHS may look quite different from the NHS we're used to…”
This thread is a hard read reflecting on what #COVID19 looks like when things get bad…
This, from Singapore
https://t.co/UwSSkx2xm5
https://t.co/UwSSkx2xm5
If the *peak* is expected from the end of next week then it strikes me as entirely possible that the UK will shut down from next Monday.
With a government announcement timed for this Friday
Happy to be wrong.
With a government announcement timed for this Friday
Happy to be wrong.
This is why we need to put #COVID19 restrictions in place - and this is the driver for the timing of such restrictions
#FlattenTheCurve
#FlattenTheCurve
This is the data that suggests how likely UK timings compare to other countries
One really interesting aspect to all this is that the USA may have to move faster than the UK - which will bring its own political pressures to bear on the UK
#COVID19
One really interesting aspect to all this is that the USA may have to move faster than the UK - which will bring its own political pressures to bear on the UK
#COVID19
#COVID19
Dashboard of reported cases of #Coronavirus in the UK, including new cases, by local authority, together with number of deaths
Currently very much in “alpha”
Not yet great on mobile, but useable if you turn your phone sideways…
HT @DHSCgovuk
arcgis.com/apps/opsdashbo…
Dashboard of reported cases of #Coronavirus in the UK, including new cases, by local authority, together with number of deaths
Currently very much in “alpha”
Not yet great on mobile, but useable if you turn your phone sideways…
HT @DHSCgovuk
arcgis.com/apps/opsdashbo…
Good work on #Coronavirus tracking now coming out of @DHSCgovuk
“This will be updated daily with new figures and geographic splits by local authority. We're currently working on a mobile-optimised version.”
via @hadleybeeman and @elainewalton
See also:
wired.com/story/a-diseas…
“This will be updated daily with new figures and geographic splits by local authority. We're currently working on a mobile-optimised version.”
via @hadleybeeman and @elainewalton
See also:
wired.com/story/a-diseas…
“All the numbers on the Track #Coronavirus dashboard are also available as machine readable data
That was a priority for launch”
- @hadleybeeman
gov.uk/government/pub…
That was a priority for launch”
- @hadleybeeman
gov.uk/government/pub…
Lessons from History.
Data from 43 US cities during the 1918 Influenza pandemic
“The earlier that schools were closed the lower the number of excess deaths…
The longer that schools were closed, the lower the number of excess deaths…”
@RadleyHistory #COVID19 #Coronavirus
Data from 43 US cities during the 1918 Influenza pandemic
“The earlier that schools were closed the lower the number of excess deaths…
The longer that schools were closed, the lower the number of excess deaths…”
@RadleyHistory #COVID19 #Coronavirus
“On the London Underground, where there is an extremely high density of people crowded into each carriage, previous research has suggested a link between commuting and the likelihood of catching respiratory illnesses.”
#Coronavirus #COVID19
bbc.co.uk/news/health-51…
#Coronavirus #COVID19
bbc.co.uk/news/health-51…
@threadreaderapp Unroll
