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BREAKING: The US is failing to produce even small number of testing kits for COVID-19 extraction despite Trump & Pence statements.

Labs and states are worried. Expect next to no availability to continue for weeks. It is vital to self-quarantine.
Story last night by @politico where the CDC admitted it was out of the kits needed to extract the RNA samples.

The commercial labs & states are now saying the same. Even the small number of tests being produced are not increasing or grinding to a halt.

politico.com/news/2020/03/1…
I’m going to try to explain what is happening but I’m NOT very science-y.

It’s not the testing ability but the SUPPLY CHAIN of all the things you need to extract the RNA sample (who you know if someone has tested positive) through something called PCR.
This extraction process is where (RNA kits) are on back order everywhere. Not just CDC but universities and commercial labs.

The leading supplier is a company called Qiagen. I have not talked to them but am hearing it will be weeks.

My guess as to why & what’s next...
1- Trump Admin downplayed & didn’t plan. During the China outbreak I suspect every country took care of this but us
2- The insufficient number being produced are likely being hoarded.
3- People are trying to find other ways or suppliers but are not getting CDC help.

More...
4- These things are solvable but are harder at scale & in a crisis.
5- There are other things likely in right supply that we don’t know yet: equipment, re-agents. So this won’t be solved by fixing one issue.
The best thing that can happen is hopefully today the universities, lab cos, and CDC will come public & initiate a plan, including rationing where those kits go in the short term to frontline workers who need them.
In the meantime, if you think you MIGHT have the virus, assume you have it and self-quarantine.

In the meantime, take all measures to prevent spread— social distancing in particular.

More if I learn more. Sorry for the length.
10:30 Central— I’m hearing several reports that areas are running out of nasal swabs/can’t get from suppliers.

I’m NOT first to know these things. But if there are people with excess, someone needs to coordinate to high priority areas. Maybe the role of a functioning fed govt?
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