The deaths seem to start around the 12th, with a definite spike on the 17th.. so there's a mode at day 9 from infection.
This is amazing data!
I hope someone smarter than me does something with it. You can map out the pandemic so clearly from it.
This is amazing data!
I hope someone smarter than me does something with it. You can map out the pandemic so clearly from it.
The 191 deaths on the 17th map pretty much directly to the 2000 new cases on the 9th. This puts the fatality rate in the range of 10%. And these are not seniors, as they were well enough to be at a march.
I'm guessing there are more women fatalities in Spain than normal
I'm guessing there are more women fatalities in Spain than normal
Portugal, Spain's neighbor, has a clear spike on the 18th. This could align with people getting infected on the 13th as they were perhaps in contact with the 1st wave infects from Spain's first spike.
France, Spain's other neighbor has a clear spike on the 19th.
Germany has a spike on the 20th.
I think there's a series of spikes throughout Europe, as infected people bumped into each other on trains and buses, on their way to and from the women's march
Germany has a spike on the 20th.
I think there's a series of spikes throughout Europe, as infected people bumped into each other on trains and buses, on their way to and from the women's march
This women's march clearly had international impact.
With 2000 new infects, and doubling every 4 days, there are 320K cases of coronavirus that we can link pretty much directly to the women's march.
With 2000 new infects, and doubling every 4 days, there are 320K cases of coronavirus that we can link pretty much directly to the women's march.
Sweden has a wave of cases from March 11-14th, with a spike on the 12th.
And another spike on the 20th. I think the 20th is from travel around the 14th-15th.
And another spike on the 20th. I think the 20th is from travel around the 14th-15th.
The spike on the 20th in Sweden would be people coming home from out of town. If it was local spread, it would be a wave. These were people who were in a high concentration area, like a single event, and they left the place on the same day, showing up as cases 5 days later
In Spain and Italy, the death rate of 10% is actually seeming reasonable. I had thought they were miscoding them.
What we're seeing is the dramatically higher death rate when hospitals, staff, supplies and equipment are overwhelmed. People don't get effective care and die
What we're seeing is the dramatically higher death rate when hospitals, staff, supplies and equipment are overwhelmed. People don't get effective care and die
90-99% of Spain coronavirus cases and deaths stem from the women's march.
This means the march has led to about 6500 deaths so far, and counting.
This means the march has led to about 6500 deaths so far, and counting.
