"The greatest danger for the United States in this competition is the erosion of conventional deterrence..Absent a convincing deterrent, the [PRC] will be emboldened to take action to undermine the rules-based international order"
"In September 2020, #Cambodia razed a #US-built facility on #Ream Naval Base that served as the headquarters for the National Committee on Maritime Security, reportedly in order to make way for a #PRC#naval#base."
"The #PRC represents our greatest strategic threat. ..Beijing is growing increasingly confident & PRC leaders have demonstrated a willingness to accept friction to pursue a more expansive set of political, economic & security..particularly acute concerning #sovereignty#disputes"
The #PLAN commissioned more than 25 major #ships in 2020 alone, including combatants, amphibious warfare ships, and two nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarines."
"PRC is pursuing a range of advanced weaponry, including electromagnetic railguns, hypersonic glide vehicles & land-attack & anti-ship supersonic cruise missiles
"In August 2020 for example, the PRC conducted coordinated #DF21D#missile launches into the #SouthChinaSea..capable of attacking #aircraft#carriers in the western Pacific..demonstrates the PLA’s focus on countering any potential 3rd-party intervention during a regional crisis."
"The #PRC has adopted an increasingly assertive #military posture to exert pressure & expand its influence across the region. This is particularly stark concerning #Taiwan."
"The #PRC continues to #militarize the [#SouthChinaSea], deploying new equipment to its #artificial#outposts in 2020 & using forward airfields to support a growing level of #military operations by heavy transport, intelligence & anti-submarine aircraft."
"#PLA ships & aircraft maintain a consistent #SCS presence & are augmented by an #armada of #China#CoastGuard ships, fishing boats & other para-mil. forces that serve as force multipliers."
"#PRC ships & aircraft continue to harass & disrupt other nations’ commercial fishing & resource exploration & extraction activities, even when conducted in areas where #China cannot assert a lawful maritime claim within the respective countries’ exclusive economic zones (#EEZs)"
"#PRC#ships conducted presence operations in the contiguous waters around the Senkakus for a record 333 days in 2020, an increase of nearly 20% from 2019. In a reprise of its earlier #SCS maneuvering, in June 2020, Beijing unilaterally renamed 50 geographic features in the #ECS"
"Beijing utilizes loans, grants & monetary gifts to establish economic dependence, corruptly capture elite allegiance & in some cases, consolidate control..the naval base currently under redevelopment at Ream, Cambodia, is the latest example of the PRC’s global basing ambitions."
"CONCLUSIONS & IMPLICATIONS
The #greatest#danger for the United States is the #erosion of #conventional#deterrence. Without a valid & convincing conventional deterrent, the #PRC will be emboldened to take action in the region to supplant US interests."
"As a senior allied government official once noted to me, a map of Imperial #Japan’s #Pacific islands bases in 1941 could almost perfectly overlay #Beijing’s areas of most intense economic & political activity today."
"the 5 #Micronesian states have traditionally been the most skeptical of #Beijing & eager to work w/ #Washington & its partners.
"The #Biden administration has an opportunity, working closely with Australia & New Zealand & other interested partners like #Taiwan, Japan, & France, to signal America’s unwavering support for a #PIF that represents the voices of all #Pacific#islanders"
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