"The greatest danger for the United States in this competition is the erosion of conventional deterrence..Absent a convincing deterrent, the [PRC] will be emboldened to take action to undermine the rules-based international order"

armed-services.senate.gov/imo/media/doc/…

bit.ly/AdmiralDavidson
ADM Davidson:

"In September 2020, #Cambodia razed a #US-built facility on #Ream Naval Base that served as the headquarters for the National Committee on Maritime Security, reportedly in order to make way for a #PRC #naval #base."

armed-services.senate.gov/hearings/21-03…

bit.ly/AdmiralDavidson
"The #PRC represents our greatest strategic threat. ..Beijing is growing increasingly confident & PRC leaders have demonstrated a willingness to accept friction to pursue a more expansive set of political, economic & security..particularly acute concerning #sovereignty #disputes"
"The #PRC maintains the #world’s #largest #naval #force, which has #tripled in size over the past two decades.

The #PLAN commissioned more than 25 major #ships in 2020 alone, including combatants, amphibious warfare ships, and two nuclear-powered ballistic missile submarines."
"PRC is pursuing a range of advanced weaponry, including electromagnetic railguns, hypersonic glide vehicles & land-attack & anti-ship supersonic cruise missiles

& the #PLA #RocketForce conducts more #ballistic #missile live-fires every year than the rest of the world combined."
"In August 2020 for example, the PRC conducted coordinated #DF21D #missile launches into the #SouthChinaSea..capable of attacking #aircraft #carriers in the western Pacific..demonstrates the PLA’s focus on countering any potential 3rd-party intervention during a regional crisis."
#Admiral Phil #Davidson on PRC Threats in #IndoPacific:

"The #PRC has adopted an increasingly assertive #military posture to exert pressure & expand its influence across the region. This is particularly stark concerning #Taiwan."

bit.ly/AdmiralDavidson

andrewerickson.com/2021/03/testim…
"The #PRC continues to #militarize the [#SouthChinaSea], deploying new equipment to its #artificial #outposts in 2020 & using forward airfields to support a growing level of #military operations by heavy transport, intelligence & anti-submarine aircraft."

bit.ly/AdmiralDavidson
"#PLA ships & aircraft maintain a consistent #SCS presence & are augmented by an #armada of #China #CoastGuard ships, fishing boats & other para-mil. forces that serve as force multipliers."

bit.ly/AdmiralDavidson

andrewerickson.com/2021/03/testim…

#PAFMM #MaritimeMilitia #LittleBlueMen
"#PRC ships & aircraft continue to harass & disrupt other nations’ commercial fishing & resource exploration & extraction activities, even when conducted in areas where #China cannot assert a lawful maritime claim within the respective countries’ exclusive economic zones (#EEZs)"
"#PRC #ships conducted presence operations in the contiguous waters around the Senkakus for a record 333 days in 2020, an increase of nearly 20% from 2019. In a reprise of its earlier #SCS maneuvering, in June 2020, Beijing unilaterally renamed 50 geographic features in the #ECS"
"Beijing utilizes loans, grants & monetary gifts to establish economic dependence, corruptly capture elite allegiance & in some cases, consolidate control..the naval base currently under redevelopment at Ream, Cambodia, is the latest example of the PRC’s global basing ambitions."
"CONCLUSIONS & IMPLICATIONS

The #greatest #danger for the United States is the #erosion of #conventional #deterrence. Without a valid & convincing conventional deterrent, the #PRC will be emboldened to take action in the region to supplant US interests."

bit.ly/AdmiralDavidson
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More from @AndrewSErickson

14 Mar
New set of major @ModJapan_en/@ModJapan_jp reports brims with exquisitely detailed graphics!

Key images compiled here: bit.ly/J-MOD

#Security Environment Surrounding #Japan [わが国を取り巻く安全保障環境]

andrewerickson.com/2021/03/japan-…

Topics: #China, #NorthKorea & #Russia
Report @ModJapan_en/@ModJapan_jp [1/3]:

#China’s Activities in #EastChinaSea, #Pacific Ocean & Sea of #Japan

[中国情勢(東シナ海・太平洋・日本海)]

mod.go.jp/e/d_act/sec_en…

mod.go.jp/j/approach/sur…

bit.ly/J-MOD

Check out the attached images... just a small sample!
Report @ModJapan_en/@ModJapan_jp [1B/3]:

#China’s Activities in the #SouthChinaSea (China’s development activities on the features & trends in related countries) [南シナ海情勢(中国による地形埋立・関係国の動向)]

mod.go.jp/e/d_act/sec_en…

mod.go.jp/j/approach/sur…

>>See images!
Read 5 tweets
16 Feb
Fmr Director for #Oceania & #IndoPacific #Security Alex Gray:

"As a senior allied government official once noted to me, a map of Imperial #Japan’s #Pacific islands bases in 1941 could almost perfectly overlay #Beijing’s areas of most intense economic & political activity today."
"the 5 #Micronesian states have traditionally been the most skeptical of #Beijing & eager to work w/ #Washington & its partners.

...#Palau, Federated States of #Micronesia, & #MarshallIslands are bound to the US through #CompactsofFreeAssociation"

thehill.com/opinion/intern…

#COFA
"The #Biden administration has an opportunity, working closely with Australia & New Zealand & other interested partners like #Taiwan, Japan, & France, to signal America’s unwavering support for a #PIF that represents the voices of all #Pacific #islanders"

thehill.com/opinion/intern…
Read 5 tweets
8 Jan
Let Law & Justice prevail!

#Washington, DC Metropolitan #Police Dept. @DCPoliceDept

Seeks info on #PersonsOfInterest in Unrest-Related Offenses on 6 January 2021 @ US #Capitol Grounds

mpdc.dc.gov/page/may-2020-…

mpdc.dc.gov/sites/default/…

Call 202-727-9099 or TEXT TIP LINE @ 50411
#PHOTO: PERSONS OF INTEREST 1 of 26

#Washington, #DC Metro #Police Department seeks #info on #POI in Unrest-Related Offenses on 6 January 2021 @ US #Capitol Grounds

Let #Law & #Justice prevail!

If you have info to share, call @DCPoliceDept 202-727-9099 or TEXT TIP LINE @ 50411 Image
#PHOTO: PERSONS OF INTEREST 2 of 26

#Washington, #DC Metro #Police Department seeks #info on #POI in Unrest-Related Offenses on 6 January 2021 @ US #Capitol Grounds

Let #Law & #Justice prevail!

If you have info to share, call @DCPoliceDept 202-727-9099 or TEXT TIP LINE @ 50411 Image
Read 7 tweets
7 Jan
"#FBI #Seeking #Information Related to #Violent #Activity at the U.S Capitol Building

tips.fbi.gov/digitalmedia/a…

The @FBI is seeking information that will assist in identifying individuals who are #actively #instigating #violence in Washington, DC."

1-800-CALL-FBI(1-800-225-5324) Image
"The #FBI is accepting #tips & #digital #media depicting rioting & violence in the U.S. #Capitol Building & surrounding area in #Washington, DC, on January 6, 2021."

tips.fbi.gov/digitalmedia/a…

If file > limit, please call 1-800-CALL-FBI (1-800-225-5324) for additional instructions Image
"If you have witnessed unlawful violent actions, we urge you to submit any information, photos, or videos that could be relevant at fbi.gov/USCapitol."

tips.fbi.gov/digitalmedia/a…

If file exceeds limit, please call 1-800-#CALL-#FBI (1-800-225-5324) for additional instructions Image
Read 7 tweets
5 Jan
Check out new report by @zacharyhaver:

#Sansha City in #China’s #SouthChinaSea Strategy: Building a System of Administrative Control”

bit.ly/SanshaCITY

Great @ChinaMaritime Report #12 continues #CMSI tradition @NavalWarCollege!

andrewerickson.com/2021/01/cmsi-c…

With>20 exhibits ImageImageImageImage
Back in 2017, @ChinaMaritime Studies Institute Director @peter_dutton approved my proposal for a #China #Maritime #Report series & invited @KennedyMaritime & me to contribute the inaugural report.

11 editions later, this series is better than ever!

@zacharyhaver's work = proof. ImageImageImageImage
#China established #SanshaCity in 2012 to administer most of its #territorial & #maritime claims in the #SouthChinaSea.

@zacharyhaver probes nearly a decade's developments there with insights & detail that will amaze & fascinate many.

digital-commons.usnwc.edu/cgi/viewconten…

#MustRead #MustSee ImageImageImageImage
Read 5 tweets
18 Dec 20
With his #JAMS @MC_UPress article on #SinoJapanese #War, it's time to update The #AndrewRhodes #Bookshelf!

bit.ly/AndyRhodes

@NavalWarCollege distinguished grad guides leaders through #IndoPacific w/ Geo-#History, #Strategy & Visual Communications

andrewerickson.com/2020/12/the-an…
And by "#Visual #Communications," I mean #MAPS—beautiful, self-crafted maps. That should have existed already, but didn't.

For fresh perspective from the innovative #cartography @RhodesCartogra1 creates, check out: thinkinginspace.info

Prepare to have your horizons expanded!
My favorite example:

@RhodesCartogra1's pathbreaking piece @NavalWarCollege won 2019 @thejointstaff #Strategic #Essay Competition's Strategic #Research Paper category.

Cogent geo-history-grounded insights for US strategy toward PRC.

Neatly summarized by his map (attached here)
Read 4 tweets

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