Jeff Seldin Profile picture
Mar 14 27 tweets 17 min read
NEW: "Not a lot of specific changes or progress...almost of #Russia's advances remain stalled" per senior US defense official

Russian forces still about 15km from #Kyiv city center, slowly trying to flow in forces behind advanced elements

Convoy still assessed to be stuck
#Chernihiv "isolated" but #Ukraine putting up stiff defense, stalling #Russia|n advances, per senior US defense official
#Ukraine keeping #Russia's eastern advance at bay - Ukrainians holding town of #Brovary, per senior US defense official
#Kharkiv - #Russia forces on the outskirts but "no apparent progress on the ground" by the Russians, per senior US defense official

Says fighting there still intense & Russians using more long-range fires
NEW: 50-60 #Russian vehicles now moving toward #Izyum, bypassing #Kharkiv, per senior US defense official
#Mariupol remains isolated by the #Russia|ns, #Ukraine forces still purring up resistance, per senior US defense official

No significant #Russian movement toward #Mykolaiv - "They've not made any significant movement" - or #Odesa, per official
"This was an air-launched cruise missile strike...more than a cpl dozen cruise missiles" vs military base in #Yavoriv, per senior US defense official

Says missiles were launched from inside #Russia
#Russia#China military aid? "We're going to watch that very very closely" per senior US defense official

"We have seen China basically give tacit approval to what Russia is doing" per official, echoing comments by other US officials that there would be consequences for #Beijing
US not involved in any training at #Yavoriv #Ukraine base since Florida National Guard troops moved out weeks ago, per senior US defense official

Adds no US persons in an official gvt capacity were there AND that strikes will not impact aid deliveries to Ukraine
#Yavoriv was not a transfer site for any US, Western aid shipments to #Ukraine, per senior US defense official
Additional security assistance shipments delivered to #Ukraine over the weekend - part of original $350 mill US package, per senior US defense official

Working on just authorized package of $200 mil in security aid, official adds
No signs #Russia|n forces from elsewhere in Russia being brought to #Ukraine AND "we have not seen any attempt to replenish his stocks from elsewhere" per senior US defense official
Since start of conflict, #Moscow has launched +900 missiles at #Ukraine targets but "the #Russia|ns still have a lot of capability left.. they have an awful lot remaining" per senior US defense official
#Ukraine's use of #Turkish drones - still effective vs #Russia, per senior US defense official

"We assess they [Ukraine] still have a significant majority of their inventory left" official adds
#Ukraine forces "have effectively struck at #Russia|n logistic & sustainment capabilities" per senior US defense official

"They've been quite creative here...deliberately tying to impede & prevent the Russians ability to sustain themselves"
#Ukraine's #Yavoriv base "wasn't being used for security assistance purposes" per senior US defense official

Repeats no US gvt personnel there but does not have visibility into whether US citizens may have been their on their own
Cruise missile attack on #Yavoriv launched from #Russia|n airspace, per senior US defense official
#Russia Increasing number of long-range fires vs key #Ukraine cities, per senior US defense official

"They continue to want to encricle #Kharkiv They continue to want to encircle & isolate #Mariupol ... #Kyiv"
Most areas where #Russia|n advances have stalled, especially in north - "It is largely bcs of the #Ukrainian resistance" per senior US defense official
A no-fly-zone "would not stop" all of the air activity over #Ukraine, per senior US defense official

Earlier, the official said that a no-fly-zone would bot have stopped the #Russia|n cruise missile attack vs #Yovariv
Corrected typo: A no-fly-zone "would not stop" all of the air activity over #Ukraine, per senior US defense official

Earlier, the official said that a no-fly-zone would bot have stopped the #Russia|n cruise missile attack vs #Yavoriv
NEW: No signs of #Russia backing down or backing off in #Ukraine

"We want to see a cease fire. We want to see the violence stop" per senior US defense official "What we're seeing is still a very concerted #Russia|n effort...w/ever more violence...long-range fires"
#Ukraine using #drones "quite skillfully" per senior US defense official

"They have a significant majority of their inventory available to them" official adds
"The #Russia|ns have not achieved air superiority over all of #Ukraine" per sr US defense official "It shifts literally hour to hour...it is still contested airspace"

"They [Russia] certainly have more assets available to them...flying many more times per day" per official
"Clearly the #Ukrainians are causing #Russia|n casualties, both killed in action & wounded" per senior US defense official

But official says no US info on ho many Russian units degraded or destroyed by #Ukraine
STILL no indications #Belarus forces preparing to enter the war in #Ukraine, per senior US defense official
Cruise missile attack on #Yavoriv "has not changed our posture" in #Poland, per senior US defense official

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More from @jseldin

Mar 16
Happening now:#Russia's Vladimir Putin defends his decision to invade #Ukraine - conduct "special military operation"

Says the operation is going according to plan, claims Ukraine was going to have nuclear weapons
#Russia|n media outlets on Twitter carrying word of #Putin's comments... ImageImageImageImage
More: #Russia|n media quoting #Putin as labeling the West an "Empire of lies"

Says Putin compares sanctions vs Russia to anti-Semitism in Nazi Germany ImageImage
Read 6 tweets
Mar 16
Happening now: US Congress waiting to hear from #Ukraine President @ZelenskyyUa Image
Standing ovation from US lawmakers as @ZelenskyyUa appears onscreen Image
"I'm proud to greet you from #Ukraine, from our capital city of #Kyiv" per @ZelenskyyUa through a translator

"We have not even thought about it [giving up], not even for a second"
Read 15 tweets
Mar 15
NEW/UPDATE: #Russia ground forces making "limited to no progress ...in achieving their objectives" in #Ukraine, per a senior US defense official
#Kyiv "remains under bombardment by long range fires, w/civilian targets-to include residential areas-being struck w/increasing frequency" per senior US defense official

"But leading elements of Russian forces have not appreciably advanced on the city" per the official
Advanced #Russia|n forced approach #Kyiv from the NW still 15-20km from the city center

#Russia forces to the east of Kyiv still 20-30km from city center, per official
Read 9 tweets
Mar 15
HAPPENING NOW: @CENTCOM Cmdr Gen Kenneth "Frank" McKenzie & @USAfricaCommand Cmdr Gen Stephen Townsend testify before the Senate Armed Services Committee

Chairman @SenJackReed opens up talking abt #Iran missile strike in #Irbil #Iraq... Image
Intro remarks from ranking member @JimInhofe

"#Iran is the foremost threat" in the @CENTCOM region, he says

"Our partners increasingly doubt America's resolve" he adds, blaming what he calls "Pres. Biden's misguided policies" Image
"The threat posed by #Iran is graver than ever" @CENTCOM's Gen Kenneth "Frank" McKenzie warns in his opening remarks

"#Russia's invasion of #Ukraine moreover has violently demonstrated its willful disregard for int'l norms just have we have seen thru Russia's actions in #Syria Image
Read 58 tweets
Mar 14
#ISIS media campaign showing fighters pledging allegiance to new leader Abu al-Hassan al-Hashimi al-Qurashi is growing

Per @siteintelgroup new photo sets show fighters from:

#Syria
#Afghanistan
#Iraq (inclu. #Baghdad, #Saluhaddin)
#Libya
#Nigeria
#Pakistan

1/3
Cont. - #ISIS media campaign posting new photos showing fighters pledges to Abu al-Hassan

#Sahel (#BurkinaFaso #Mali #Niger)

Earlier photo releases showed fighters giving bay'ah from:

#ISWAP
#Somalia
#Yemen
#EastAsia (#Philippines, #Indonesia)
#Iraq (#Kirkuk, #Anbar)
#Syria
Per @JihadoScope, #ISIS has issued 18 photo sets to date showing fighters pledging allegiance to Abu al-Hassan:

#Iraq (4)
#Nigeria (3)
#Syria
#Somalia
#Indonesia or #Philippines (for East Asia)
#Yemen
#Afghanistan
#Sahel - #Cameroon / #BurkinaFaso / #Mali / #Niger
#Pakistan
Read 4 tweets
Mar 14
Happening now: @PentagonPresSec briefs the media from the Pentagon... Image
#Yavoriv strikes - "This was clearly a Russia|n airstrike"
per @PentagonPresSec, who says the missiles were launched from Russian jets

"We know that several structures were hit..." he says
Airstrikes vs #Yavoriv is 3rd major strikes by #Russia in western #Ukraine - "It certainly appears the Russians are broadening their target set" per @PentagonPresSec
Read 12 tweets

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