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1. It's not reading tea leaves to assume Paul Manafort &/or people in his orbit will be read Miranda rights on Monday.
2. Aug17: Mueller convened two Grand Juries.
-Flynn: DOJ Eastern District of Virginia.
-Manafort: Washington DC.
3rd impaneled—DC—unused.
-Flynn: DOJ Eastern District of Virginia.
-Manafort: Washington DC.
3rd impaneled—DC—unused.
3. There are few (if any) signs Flynn case is ready for court beyond small-fry infractions (FARA, SF86 lies).
Manafort on the other hand...
Manafort on the other hand...
4. Known Manafort subpoenas.
a Jason Maloni, PR
b Melissa Laurenza, Atty
c Kilimnik
d Mercury PA
e Podesta Grp
f Manafort real estate agent
a Jason Maloni, PR
b Melissa Laurenza, Atty
c Kilimnik
d Mercury PA
e Podesta Grp
f Manafort real estate agent
5. Manafort wiretapped (FISA) in 2014 & again in July 2016. Counterintelligence can corroborate criminal evidence.
6. Jun17: Manafort's Ukraine go-between—Konstantin Kilimnik—spoke to FBI abt mtg w/ Manafort around GOP convention.
7. 26Jun17: FBI raided Manafort's home & told him he'd be indicted—common practice, not a scare tactic.
And definitely not an empty threat.
And definitely not an empty threat.
8. FBI raided Manafort storage unit early in 2017, likely related to the second FISA warrant, which ran to Jan17.
9. 13Oct17: News of Manafort's $60 million in business deals w/ Oleg Deripaska via LLC shells. He asked how to profit from campaign role.
10. Money laundering & tax evasion case against Manafort is easy (payments/receipts add up, or they don't).
11. Charging Manafort w/ financial crime doesn't sidestep Trump-Russia probe. Manafort & Trump share some investors.
12. That's only a portion of Mueller's FINANCIAL case on Manafort that I'm pulling from memory. There's more not in the public domain.
13. There's also non-financial shoes to drop on Trump-Russia collusion.
Rinat Akhmetshin gave hours of evidence to Grand Jury on 11Aug...
Rinat Akhmetshin gave hours of evidence to Grand Jury on 11Aug...
14. Even if Manafort played Candy Crush in Trump Jr mtg w/ Akhmetshin/Kushner/Veselnitskaya, flood gates are open.
15. New. Efforts to conceal wire transfers tied to Paul Manafort, wife Kathleen, Jeffrey Yohai, others.
Case files fell into Mueller's lap.
Case files fell into Mueller's lap.
