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Elijah J. Magnier @ejmalrai
, 4 tweets, 4 min read Read on Twitter
Meetings held between #Russia and militants representative in #Daraa today where #Damascus central government's conditions were presented to avoid further military operation. Most anti-gov forces are happy to surrender. More (good) news in the next 24-48 hours.#Syria.
Soon "Twitter journalists", "Divan analysts" and other similar will be jobless since only two forces remain occupying Syrian territories in the north, mushroomed in the 7 years of war: #USA and #Turkey.

Those in south #Syria who have collaborated with #Israel, will find the doors closed and won't be adopted by Tel Aviv, similar to the South Lebanese Army in the year 2000 (Israel withdraw from Lebanon). No one wants losers. Proxies become a heavy burden.

#UN approved (#USA #Russia agreed) the renewal of #UNDOF forces on the demarcation line between the occupied Golan Heights and #Syria - #Israel. The UN asked all militants to pull out oil the area. This means: militants, your time is over, leave.

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#Russia #Daraa #Damascus #Syria #USA #Turkey #Israel #UN #UNDOF

More from @ejmalrai see all

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Ex-Nusra (#AQ rebranded HTS) walked into its own death by taking a large territory in #Idlib and its surrounding. The defeat of large groups like Ahrar and Souqourv al-Sham (who showed little resistance) and the elimination of Zinki group will have deadly consequences on AQ.+
No doubt #Turkey asked Ahrar et al to stand down & avoid fighting (for now). It means #Ankara would be happy to see the end of its presence in #Idlib on the long term. For this, Erdogan needs to see a very large battle taking place first in the north between these groups and #AQ
Erdogan & Putin will have a meeting soon to discuss the #Kurds and #AQ in #Idlib. I expect hot spring in Idlib and a large offensive against Hayat Tahrir al-Sham. Abu Mohammad al Joulani's ambition (from ex-ISIS emir to AQ Emir to ruler of Idlib) is helping to end this phenomena.
Read 6 tweets
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I can only see positiveness in the expansion of al-Qaeda in #Syria. The more cities and villages it controls, the faster it will lose.

#AQ in Syria is trying to earn the heart and minds of the locals but it is trying to full up their pockets. This group has learned nothing.
Today I am very confident & much more positive that #Turkey will not occupy north of #Syria and will not stay in the territory it occupies today for ever.

@RT_Erdogan is confirming his strategic relationship with #Russia & #Iran is more precious than #USA
#AQ was planning long ago to expand its control. #Turkey rejected Joulani's wishes for very long. By accepting or closing an eye on the ex-#ISIS Emir, i.e. Abu Mohammad al-Joulani, #Turkey has found the best way to liberate itself from al-Qaeda's burden.
Read 4 tweets
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Hay'yan, Anadan & Haritan under Jihadists of Hay'at Tahrir al-Sham Led by Abu Mohammad al-Joulani, the ex #ISIS officer, the ex-al Qaeda in the Levant and the actual leader of a large number of foreign fighters.

Joulani is taking position opposite #SAA.

google.com/maps/place/Hra…
Rural and the city of #Idlib, the rural area of #idlib, #Aleppo & #Hama are under Jihadists control. Is it time for the Syrian army, supported by #Russia to stop the jihadists advance if #Turkey is incapable of doing the job it has promised at #Astana?

#Turkey is embarrassed by Jihadists overwhelming control of most of the #Astana area of control. Joulani is forcing his place on #Ankara unless the Turkish army moves in to defeat him, or to steps aside and allows the #Syrian army to do the job.
Read 6 tweets

Related threads

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Russia’s arrest of American Paul Whelan on spy charges seems a convenient lever to end admitted agent Maria Butina’s cooperation. Just last week Putin hinted w/ this denial: “we will not arrest innocent people simply to exchange them for someone else later”nyti.ms/2CIEbzD
CNN reports more on Paul #Whelan, American arrested in #Russia for allegedly "carrying out an act of espionage"
-born in Canada
-lives in Michigan
-ex US Marine
-works in corporate security
-was in Moscow to attend friend's wedding
-didn't show bc FSB arrested him
(family source)
Russia's FSB arrested former Marine Paul Whelan Dec 28. State Dept? Crickets. Pompeo's in Brazil praising an authoritarian while the world's most aggressive authoritarian VV Putin has essentially kidnapped a US citizen. Putin's dream was to emasculate GosDep. Mission Accomplished
Read 17 tweets
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Russian blockade of Kerch Strait near Crimea, backed up by Russian military helicopters, cuts off Ukraine from Sea of Azov in Black Sea naval standoff haaretz.com/world-news/rus…
#Russia accused of firing on and capturing 3 of #Ukraine's ships in naval standoff following Russia's blockade of the Kerch Strait aljazeera.com/news/2018/11/u…
With Russia escalating its war against Ukraine & Trump and Putin slated to rendezvous at the G20 this week, re-upping this thread on the humiliating Helsinki summit.

The odds of this US admin defending Ukraine's sovereignty and security is nil.
Read 9 tweets
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Russia arrests at least 839 peaceful protesters including young children for opposing Putin's pension overhaul which raises the age of retirement and increases the wealth gap between the working class and corrupt Russian oligarchs. cnn.it/2QhJ2wf
Scenes from Moscow, Saint Petersburg, Kazan and other cities as Putin's security forces attack and arrest peaceful protesters at Pension Reform Protests.
‘They are beating everyone up,’ shocked @novaya_gazeta reporter tweets from the ongoing crackdown on a peaceful Moscow rally against Putin’s unjust pension reform in #Russia.
Read 5 tweets
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Another one: Russia-backed Separatist Leader Zakharchenko Killed in Bombing in Donetsk Cafe - Bloomberg bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Being supported by the Kremlin is actually a bad thing—NOT a good thing. Assassinated Donetsk leader Alexander Zakharchenko joins 13 other Russia-backed militants murdered in occupied Ukraine. @EuromaidanPress has a handy infographic and details here 👇euromaidanpress.com/2017/03/15/mys…
#Russia is already using #Zakharchenko assassination to undermine Minsk peace process, blaming #Ukraine, of course. Notice Rand Paul's new Russian Duma pal Kosachev said Zakharcheno death "could have a particularly negative impact on the implementation of the Minsk Agreements."
Read 5 tweets
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Thread on #Daraa offensive, will be updating daily news, #SAA advances, losses & the mood surrounding it.
1.#SAA continues advance in North West Sweida & North East #Daraa after several days of heavy bombardment.
2. Breaking : #SAA now in control of Howsh Hamada in North East #Daraa after fierce clashes.
Read 40 tweets
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THREAD:
#Russia's Chief of Staff Gen. Gerasimov spoke at closed mil conference outlining #Moscow's vision for contemporaty world geopolitics.Here're key take-aways:
1.#US strive for global leadership leads to "total inter-state rivalry"
2.#US efforts to counter any attempt to challenge unipolar world w any means incl military largely define political situation in the world.It contradicts views of many states, incl #Russia which finds [US] dictation unacceptable & is for just "world order"
3.The basis for rising inter-state rivalry r non-mil means:pol,econ, info yet they constantly backed up by force/threats to use it.Rivalry now spans all areas:diplomacy,culture, sports,science.#US,allies use force in violation of interntl law o rby interpreting it 2 its own needs
Read 11 tweets

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