1. Here are two new stories about Republicans struggling with health care this election cycle
...via @AliceOllstein politico.com/story/2018/09/…
...via @adamcancryn politico.com/story/2018/09/…
...via @AliceOllstein politico.com/story/2018/09/…
...via @adamcancryn politico.com/story/2018/09/…
2. Meanwhile we know Dems are running lots of attack ads on health care -- via @sangerkatz nytimes.com/2018/09/17/ups…
And that pre-ex protections resonate with voters. Per @dylanlscott here resonance of pre-ex protections vox.com/policy-and-pol…
And that pre-ex protections resonate with voters. Per @dylanlscott here resonance of pre-ex protections vox.com/policy-and-pol…
3. Senate Republicans tried to find some political cover with a sham bill, as @JeffYoung explained huffingtonpost.com/entry/gop-pre-…
And GOP candidates are trying to run away from their records, via @Robillard (and me) huffingtonpost.com/entry/republic…
And GOP candidates are trying to run away from their records, via @Robillard (and me) huffingtonpost.com/entry/republic…
4. All of this follows a big shift in ad buys on the ACA, as @aterkel documented earlier this year huffingtonpost.com/entry/obamacar…
5. Yes, there's a theme here. The politics of health care have turned against the GOP in a big way.
You can see it in new @NavigatorPolls polling navigatorresearch.org/what-americans…
You can see it in new @NavigatorPolls polling navigatorresearch.org/what-americans…
6. You can also see it the @pewresearch polls on which party voters trust more on health care, going back to 2010. Cited here: huffingtonpost.com/entry/schuette…
(Thanks to @aedwardslevy for finding the series, apologies for my amateur graph.)
(Thanks to @aedwardslevy for finding the series, apologies for my amateur graph.)
7. Note that, in late 2010/early 2011, Republicans nearly closed their historic gap with Democrats on health care. In late 2013 they briefly reversed it. In 2017, they fell behind again. Gap today is actually bigger than it was before.
8. You kinda/sorta see similar trend in the @KaiserFamFound ACA favorable/unfavorable polling kff.org/report-section…
9. Public opinion on health care reflects many factors -- everything from first-hand experience with gov't programs to raw partisanship. Disentangling these factors is difficult.
10. But you can tell a credible story about Republicans picking up some public support on health care with enactment and full implementation of the ACA, then losing that support with repeal.
11. Another example -- this time, it's GOP candidates scrubbing their websites of Obamacare references. Good catch and reporting by @GideonResnick thedailybeast.com/suddenly-vulne…
13. Google searches show interest in health care increasing, via @pbump washingtonpost.com/politics/2018/…
14. @pbump also found Fox polling that looks an awful lot like the Pew polling cited upthread, only with a longer time horizon washingtonpost.com/politics/2018/…
