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Edwin Hayward @uk_domain_names
, 3 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
New research shows Theresa May's version of Brexit that she's handing out knighthoods to get through parliament will cost the UK £100 billion A YEAR by 2030. Now, say they're out by a factor of 10. That's still a loss equal to our EU budget contribution!
bbc.co.uk/news/business-…
Repeat after me:
- There is no Easter Bunny
- There is no Tooth Fairy
- There is no Santa Claus
- There is no Brexit Dividend
Here's my response to Theresa May's deceitful, deliberately misleading open Brexit letter, plus a tonne of information about what Brexit really means in terms of lost jobs and investment, economic impact etc.
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More from @uk_domain_names see all

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This is a radio ad the Government has started running as part of its no deal Brexit preparations...

It directs people to a nice website with warm and fuzzy graphics...

And as soon as you go deeper, you're thrown into the opaque preparedness notices.
euexit.campaign.gov.uk
That's like flying a sky banner saying "Roll up. Learn the secrets of the Universe" then handing people a copy of Stephen Hawking's "A Brief History of Time".

Utterly, utterly bonkers. And as much use as a bun at a bear fight.
(If you missed the link to the "helpful" website further up this thread, here it is again...)

euexit.campaign.gov.uk
Read 3 tweets
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A few thoughts on alternatives to Brexit...
- Bring in proportional representation
- Cancel HS2 and spend the tens of £billions on improving *regional* rail and other transport links
- Turn the HOL into an entirely elected second chamber (its oversight function is useful)
- Recognise the merit of a booming economy in London and the SE. Celebrate it and nurture it. Then milk the cash cow and spread that delicious cream across the whole of the UK.
- Foster an entrepreneurial mentality that rewards a "British Dream" (parallels to the American Dream)
- End the culture of secrecy in Government, except in cases of genuine national security. Transparency and accountability at every level. Shine a bright light into the darkest corners.
- Set up a "regional sifting committee" to vet all large infrastructure projects to ensure that
Read 7 tweets
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Government is trying to foist the blame for any Brexit chaos in the adult social care sector off on local authorities and directors of adult social care facilities. This from the letter sent to them on 21 December last year... (Full letter at link below.)
gov.uk/government/pub…
More from the letter:
" Many of these issues will have either a direct or indirect impact on councils and it is also possible that they will have a financial consequence for providers."
More from the letter (doubling down on the "legal" bit):
"I encourage you to work closely with your adult social care providers, in line with your legal market shaping duties, to assure yourself that any impact on providers can be managed locally."
Read 3 tweets

Related threads

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1) where's the democratic outrage?
Watching today's PMQs I cannot believe this story isn't the headline everywhere, on every news program & newspaper

The UK Prime minister is blackmailing the country with her #Brexit deal, and we're letting it happen

theguardian.com/commentisfree/…
2) repeatedly in PMQs the PM was asked "will you rule out the chaos of No Deal" & her only response was "if you dont like it, vote for my deal"

No discussion, no other options. Deal held back deliberately for no reason other than to scare MPs & the country into submission
3) this is outrageous, it's a complete contempt of democratic principles. By a PM who has the absolute thinnest mandate possible.

Never elected in her own party, lost majority in a GE, propped up with a cash bribe to the DUP, with a deal that's universally hated.
Read 9 tweets
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Another #Brexit #thread
1/ Here's the thing about the Theresa May — Jean-Claude Juncker spat over whether May was vague or not at the #EUCO summit table about her Brexit demands. It’s a sideshow because the undeniable reality is that Westminster-at-large is vague.
2/ Westminister is undeniably vague via there being no majority for any type of Brexit, yet an absolute insistence from the British government and opposition leader that nevertheless a hard-ish take back control Brexit must happen.
3/ That cul-de-sac is Theresa May's fault. Other leaders might have called Jeremy Corbyn, Nicola Strugeon, Carwyn Jones and Arlene Foster round a single table and told them they weren't leaving until a tolerable version of Brexit could be agreed or, per above, tolerated
Read 14 tweets
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#Brexit White Paper is finally out

Thread

assets.publishing.service.gov.uk/government/upl…
1. The full U.K. solution to the Irish border will be rejected by the EU
2. A ‘common rulebook for goods’ - the EU could do two things: A) reject as cherry-picking parts of the single market or B) start discussing how much of this is doable under an FTA.
There’s a good chance it would be B, but it will have to be tweaked significantly
Read 5 tweets
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"#Brexit and EU agencies", our extensive look into third country relationships of the 36 EU agencies and how the UK might fit in.

swp-berlin.org/fileadmin/cont…

Albeit largely technical, agencies will have huge implications on Brexit.

Five points stand out in particular:
First, Agencies matter. Like the customs union, they are a technical aspect of the EU, that works and was thus hardly discussed in the UK before #Brexit.
But they are important for single market, but also justice and home affairs.

UK gov thus has already asked to continue participation in selected agencies, in particular in sectors important to the UK economy, like aviation, chemicals or pharma.
Read 10 tweets
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#New PA cong. map increases D chance of winning the House majority by 4%. They only need a 6.8% generic ballot margin now (down from 7.7) to be favored.

Diff. will be closer to 10% in Nov when uncertainty from polls is ⬇️. Redraw is a very big deal.

One major reason the new PA map is such a big gain for Democrats is that it solidifies, not just tips, PA districts in Philly burbs. Also creates one additional vulnerable R district. (Easily seen in this map made by @JMilesColeman)
My forecasting model will have new PA map in the near future. This is not just a simple switch; it’s a coding redesign, restructuring of input, & drawing new geographic files. Takes a while (for me, a student).

In the meantime, just add 3-4% to the model: bit.ly/2018_house
Read 4 tweets
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#Brexit as a concept is increasingly drifting from having anything whatsoever to do with the mechanics of leaving the EU. It is now primarily a culture war and both sides will totally ignore the details except for when they are temporarily convenient.
The consequence of this is that our future relationship with the EU will be just as readily ignored as our activities as a member. They said Brexit would make us isolated, self absorbed and insular but it seems that was always the case and there are no signs of that changing.
As ever the details will be delegated to officials and civil servants while our establishment politics drifts further into its cycle of decline, unable to usefully influence external events making us entirely passive and reactive to events rather than self-interestedly engaged.
Read 17 tweets

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