, 4 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
1. So what are Putin's medium and long term plans? Today we witnessed Putin humiliate Trump. It played well in Moscow but for Americans concerned over Trump's secret Russian dealings it's jarring and does nothing to advance Trump as anything but a threat to our Democracy.
2. Trump likes to meet with Putin to beg money to keep his family afloat about once a quarter. IMO today Trump gave Putin his PR read out and Putin told the participants in Trump's Deutsche Bank loans to fund him. Pretty sure that's how it works. So for medium term things will
3. be as in usual. But what will Putin do if he sees Trump's usefulness ending? I see Putin has four choices. One, he can just roll with it. Unlikely. Two, he can try to help Trump start a civil unrest. I give that a soft 20%. Third he could try to cut his loses and betray Trump
4. even if only by distancing himself from Trump. Putin's best option is to help Trump win again. Avoid crushing sanctions in 2021. That is most probably Putin's play. Putin has to make sure Trump wins. At any cost. @FBIWFO @SpeakerPelosi @SecretService
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