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Simon Usherwood
@Usherwood
, 4 tweets, 2 min read Read on Twitter
Updated Brexit Hardness infographic, following 1st round. Results don't shift the mean Hardness very much at all

@UKandEU @SurreyPolitics @UniSurreyNews
However, if we take votes of those remaining candidates for Round 2, then mean Hardness rating drops sharply to 1.34, due to removal of Leadsom and McVey. None of the remaining candidates now desire a no-deal outcome (although some are still close to that position)
This suggests whoever ends up winning, then things aren't going to change very much with policy from present, given the lack of EU leeway on major changes to WA
It's almost as if the problem wasn't the leadership, but the situation
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Simon Usherwood
@Usherwood
Sorry not be able to stay for rest of #STLCC2019, but thanks for the very warm welcome from @solentuni @osamasmkhan and the entire L&T community there.

A couple of thoughts:

1/
I was really struck by how many people asked afterwards about how I can feel comfortable sharing my weaknesses as a lecturer. I'm lucky I have the track-record to allow for latitude on failure, but all of us need to recognise that we're not going to get it right 1st time

2/
If you're starting out, then I'd say it's a matter of demonstrating that your efforts to change up your L&T practice are thoughtful and considered: seek out help beforehand, get managers to agree support and, if it does go wrong, show you're addressing that

3/
Read 9 tweets
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Simon Usherwood
@Usherwood
If I were Hunt - or anyone else wanted to clip Johnson's wings - I'd be quietly encouraging such discussion. But I'd probably be making a mistake

1/
It poses Johnson a dilemma: either he wasn't that confident he could beat any challenger, or he is slipped the kool-aid about how strong is he and so won't listen to anyone once in No.10

2/
The aim isn't to prove such gaming occurred but to suggest it's the kind of thing Johnson would do: a harbinger of What Is To Come

3/
Read 7 tweets
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Simon Usherwood
@Usherwood
So excited about updating my infographic that I woke up early.

Not excited enough to do it last night, though

Any way, some important points here

1/
@UKandEU @UniSurreyNews @SurreyPolitics
The MP voting is drifting to a less-extreme hardening of Brexit policy, as Raab exits the race, to join colleagues with the most radical positions. Stewart's improvement also pulls the weighted mean down

2/
However, the bigger development is the rising uncertainty on Johnson's position on extension. On the basis of last night's debate, I've moved him to a question mark: if that had been factored into the weighted mean, we'd be at 1.30 (ie a much bigger drop)

3/
Read 5 tweets

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