, 7 tweets, 4 min read Read on Twitter
Thanks for having me to speak #pflive19 & set out 5 predictions 🤣
1 Brexit opinion to be stable
2 Brexit identities to influence attitudes short-term
3 UK to become more socially but not econ liberal
4 Brit politics to be more European
5 Lab to be largest party if election 2mrw
Here are a few studies I cited. For all Brexit-related polling data see What UK Thinks whatukthinks.org/eu/ #pflive19
On polarisation and Brexit identities see, for example, this by Hobolt, Leeper & Tilley
On the drivers of the Brexit vote, left behind not seeing Brexit as a risk and two dominant motives being migration + sovereignty concerns, #pflive19 see amazon.co.uk/Brexit-Britain…
On how attitudes to immigration in Britain vary across generations see for example McLaren, Neundorf & Paterson theconversation.com/anti-immigrati…
On the 'pincer movement' facing both Labour & Conservatives amid Brexit and how 'rise of the others' is impacting them #pflive19 see matthewjgoodwin.org/uploads/6/4/0/…
On the UK-EU future relationship see onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.11…. I also enjoyed this on the constitutional implications of Brexit for the UK #pflive19 amazon.co.uk/Beyond-Brexit-…
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