Thread by @TimInHonolulu

1. Why the Trump polls may be baloney. First, IMO membership in the @GOP is an admission be being a racist. Trump has proven that. Second, being a member of a hate group can be grounds to deny employment. You have no right to be a Nazi in the work-space. Third, when pollsters

2. call they will likely have the party data and know they are calling a GOP member but will generally confirm that. For people who are willing to risk their job for their #WhiteSupremacist party they will likely freely and openly identify as GOP.

3. Others who may vote GOP but may not want to risk the socioeconomic impact of being identified as an admitted white-supremacist are more likely to identify as an 'independent." So the people who respond as "GOP" will be skewed towards #MAGA #KKK and #Nazis and away from

4. moderate white suburbanites the key to Trump's 2016 win. The only way these polls are valid is to start reporting the data on who is identifying as GOP and how that relates to past data. If I'm right you will see a drop in the number of of people who identify as GOP

5. but an increase in the severity of the white-supremacist domination of that shrinking group. So Trump's polls look like he's doing better for GOP voters but that group is moving towards the customary fringe category that was, in the past, how we viewed Nazis and KKK.

6. The new Trump GOP is a hate group and its members will follow Der Fuhrer. But the group is smaller than the party of Reagan or even Bush43. And Catholics will have to end their affiliation with the GOP or watch their parish churches start to

7. become as popular as a Klan rally. 😎 @NateSilver538 @cornellbelcher @CatholicBishops @CatholicNewsSvc