What does Johnson do?
He has been mandate to seek an Article 50 extension. But will he do so? Would he sooner break the law, or resign, instead?
Resigning leads to a temporary administration, and then to a General Election later in the autumn
- chance of No Deal, for now at least ⬇️
- chance of a General Election ⬇️ a little, but still by far the most likely outcome
- chances of Brexit with a Deal ⬆️ a little
- chances of #PeoplesVote also ⬆️
All the files (.png, .pdf, .ods, .xml) as ever on my blog: