Thread by @BigManBakar

The Review : GW 6 - A thread

Greetings everyone. With a power packed Premier League weekend full of goals just gone by, there is plenty of food for thought for FPL managers to ponder over. So,without holding you any longer, I present to you the latest edition of The Review: #FPL

1) It is only fitting that I start this week with Sergio Aguero. The City forward recorded an unreal tally of 4 big chances this week, with 2 big chances created to his credit as well. Without exaggeration, it is safe to say that had he and his team mates been more clinical...

...Aguero could have possibly recorded one of the biggest ever hauls in a single GW in the history of FPL. His xGi (expected goal involvement) was the highest recorded in a single match this season...

...and he has also now recorded the highest number of big chances of all players in the game over the season.

2) No defender has recorded more shots inside the box and big chances over the season as Man City’s Nicolas Otamendi, and that is despite missing a game in GW 1.The fact that City are short of defensive alternatives and have a good run of fixtures to follow means that Otamendi...

...could be an enticing option at an affordable price looking forward. It’s worth mentioning that with Fernandinho partnering him, Otamendi becomes a good candidate for bonus as well as he has less contenders to compete with should City keep a clean sheet.

3) A total of 16 chances created by West Ham over GW 5 and 6 (avg = 8 per game) is some way off their tally of 28 chances created recorded in GW 3 and 4 (avg = 14 per game). This sharp decline in creativity might be partly down to Lanzini’s injury, who was West Ham’s top...

...chance creator in the first four GW’s. The correlation to draw here is that this seems to have had an adverse effect on Haller’s numbers, who is now averaging just a single shot inside the box over the past two GW’s with no big chance to his credit.

4) Sheffield United’s John Lundstram - the man, the myth, the legend is only second to Trent for big chances created this season while he also sits joint top with Otamendi for big chances. It is important not to be blinded...

...by his price tag, because that can lead to misleading conclusions. Very much like Doherty last season, he is definitely worth playing in your first 11 when his fixtures improve.

5) Chelsea’s attack continues to impress, with Lampard’s men now standing second only to Man City for the highest xG (expected goals scored) over the past four GW’s. The main beneficiaries in terms of output in the coming weeks are likely to be Tammy Abraham and Mason Mount...

... The former is averaging at least 2 big chances per game over the past two GW’s while the latter is not only averaging 1 big chance per game over the same period, but also stands as Chelsea’s top chance creator this season.

6) Second only to Mount for Chelsea’s chances created this season is forgotten man Cesar Azpilicueta, who already has two assists to his name this season yet seems to have gone under the radar. The Chelsea defender is 3rd highest for chances created, big chances created...

...and penalty area touches of all defenders over the season. Furthermore, no one in the Chelsea starting lineup barring Mount and Abraham have recorded as many penalty area touches over the season as him.

7) Interestingly, Southampton are second only to Man City and Liverpool for highest xG (expected goals scored) over the season. However, as highlighted last week, most of their big chances have fallen to Che Adams and his profligacy in front of goal...

... has meant that his team are one of the most underperforming teams in terms of xG. Once things start going their way, Southampton may no longer be treated as a favorable fixture for defenders as was the case earlier last year.

8) Callum Wilson, or the statistical nightmare as I call him, continues to be inscrutable to decode. The fact that 18 other forwards have had more shots inside the box than him over the season yet Aguero is the only one to have had more big chances than him sums him up...

...His shot volume is so low yet number of big chances are so high that when computed, nearly 85% of his total shots amount to big chances. I have never seen numbers so incomprehensible - just 1 of his shots this season wasn’t a big chance!

Numbers taken from UnderStat and @FFScout . A big thank you to everyone for taking the time out to read and best of luck for GW 7 - may our arrows be green!