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Heading to interview Chancellor after GDP figure release...

Expectation is that in Q3 (July-Sep) economy grew by about 0.4, therefore avoiding technical recession after -0.2 in Q2. But overall picture so far in 2019 sluggish... due to global trade/ Brexit/ low investment...
If negative (unlikely given monthly data) that’s a recession.

0.5 or under (assuming no revision to q2) would still be slowest two quarters since financial crisis 2009

Data has been bouncing around q a bit because of two rounds of ultimately unnecessary no deal stockpiling...
We’ll find out in 6 minutes!
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More from @faisalislam see all

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Faisal Islam
@faisalislam
Corbyn explicitly says he as PM would remain neutral in referendum between a basically soft Brexit, and Remain:
"I will adopt a neutral stance so I can credibly carry out the result"...
Blimey - that was quite the news drop in the middle of #BBCQT by Mr Corbyn trying to channel Harold Wilson - who didn’t campaign in the 1975 EEC referendum, which is often described as neutrality, but in the end he did write this letter to every household backing Yes:
To be clear - Corbyn didn’t mention Wilson himself - that was an audience member - but my point was he was channelling a similar position as Wilson - although ultimately Wilson did as PM back EEC
Read 4 tweets
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Faisal Islam
@faisalislam
LAbour manifesto launches promising a "Green Industrial Revolution", bringing energy as well as mail, rail and water into public ownership... national grid and "supply arms of Big Six"
LAbour plan £83 billion a year of extra revenue and extra spending per year by 2023/24

... labour.org.uk/wp-content/upl…
"investment blitz" promises Corbyn re capital spend - "investment as you've never seen before" he says
Read 12 tweets
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Faisal Islam
@faisalislam
Told that the measures in the Labour manifesto are Remain compliant, indeed consistent with either result of a new referendum. There were some doubts expressed in civil service about 2017 manifesto compatibility with EEA & EU, esp mail renationalisation...
some areas though where there it is a matter of legal judgement. Eg my thread yesterday on the foie gras ban. It is reasonable assume that it would be easier in Brexit situation, would be challenged if we were still in EU, but many legal experts saw as doable under Article 36
Ie I’d expect to see some policies that more assertively test boundaries of what is possible under EU law, something Labour leadership thinks previous Governments did not do...blog coming.

Public finances baseline matters too. Eg Lab could surely not assume Libdem “remain bonus”
Read 3 tweets

Related threads

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John O'Connell
@jdpoc
#Tories Election Cock-Up Chaos so far - a continuing series :

01 - #Tories admit and apologise for a doctored, misrepresentative video of Kier Starmer. Tory MPs like @JohnnyMercerUK leave it on their feed and actively continue to spread.
@JohnnyMercerUK #Tories Election Cock-Up Chaos so far - a continuing series :

02 - #Tories Boris #Johnson gets booed out of Addenbrooke Hospital by staff and patients alike, unmentioned by #BBC, who were right there.
@JohnnyMercerUK #Tories Election Cock-Up Chaos so far - a continuing series :

03 - #Tories MP Jacob Rees Mogg blames #Grenfell victims for their own deaths. It takes him four days before he's forced to retract and apologise.
Read 61 tweets
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mmatigari
@matigary
2019 Thread in 2018!🔥🔥
1/ This thread is about ZIM ECONOMY. KUTI TIONESANE.
This is why I agree with Strive Masiyiwa that Zim economy is weighed down by SANCTIONS.
@daddyhope @finley_198 @Busisa74 @Auzqn @ShingiMunyeza @garweh2011 @VusiNyamazana @nelsonchamisa @xandatoto
2/ In 2017, I did an analysis of Zim economy. I used a methodology my old prof developed - a useful tool now being adopted by IMF & World Bank (they hitherto developed harmful SAPs for developing nations). Am not sure why my old prof hasn't won the Nobel Prize yet. But he will.
3/ This is how Zim economy grew from 1960-2008. FACTS ONLY.

-$1bln: 1960
-$1.3bln: 1965 (UDI)
-$1.8bln: 1970
-$5.1bln: 1979 (End of Rhodesia)
-$6.6bln: 1980
-$5.6bln: 1985
-$8.7bln: 1990
-$6.8bln: 1999
-$6.6bln: 2000
-$6.78bln: 2001 (Sanctions) ↓
-$5.5bln: 2005
-$4.4bln: 2008
Read 56 tweets
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Christophe Barraud🛢
@C_Barraud
🇨🇳 #CHINA Q3 GDP Y/Y: 6.5% V 6.6%E (slowest growth since Q1 2009)
*NBS spokesman Mao Shengyong said that the international situation was bringing “downward pressure” on China.
*Link: bloom.bg/2RVX1ZA
🇫🇷 🇪🇺 🇨🇳 French tire maker Michelin warned of declining sales in Europe and #China in the second half of the year, dragging down shares of its competitors in the U.S. and Europe - Bloomberg
*Statement: bit.ly/2EujhqH
🇺🇸🇨🇳🇪🇺 In a volley of filings, the EU, #China and the U.S. this week escalated disputes over new U.S. metals tariffs, the European response to those levies, and Chinese intellectual property practices - Bloomberg
bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
Read 634 tweets
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Freedom & Justice
@eclectictalk
Q !UW.yye1fxo 03/10/18 (Sat) 10:28:28 b452a9 No.612722

Re_read re: Australia.
AUS donations to CF?
Why is this relevant?
More than you know.
This is BIG.
Q

#QAnon #Q #GreatAwakening @POTUS
Anon - POTUS tweet. spelling Xi Jinping has X instead of J.

Anon - ITS BEEN CORRECTED!

Q !UW.yye1fxo 03/10/18 (Sat) 10:29:06 b452a9 No.612728

11:11
Q

#QAnon #Q #GreatAwakening @POTUS
Q !UW.yye1fxo 03/10/18 (Sat) 10:33:37 b452a9 No.612782

Which conversation leaked?
POTUS & AUS?
Why that specific conversation?
Signal?
We (they) hear what you are saying?
Threat to AUS?
Why?
What do they know?
Trapped?
Forced?
Blood.
Q

#QAnon #Q #GreatAwakening @POTUS
Read 56 tweets
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DocRock1007 🇺🇸
@DocRock1007
1. Last night #Q was intimating that they knew thart @Snowden is in China. #Qanon (ICMI). "Eyes in the sky."
2. Today's #QAnon drop seems to suggest that AG Sessions DOJ action against California's criminal subversion of federal law is the second Boom. The North Korea denuclearization and potential reunification being the first Boom. The last boom will be "magical" -#Q
3. #QAnon #BOOM #Sessions: "I've appointed a person outside of Washington, many yrs in #DOJ to look at all the allegations that House members sent to us; & we’re conducting that investigation..we have a responsibility to insure the integrity of #FISA." theconservativetreehouse.com/2018/03/08/att…
Read 22 tweets

Trending hashtags

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