Humanity needs surplus energy to cope with real uncertainty. Disaster comes unheralded "like a thief in the night".
apimagesblog.com/blog/2020/1/14…
apimagesblog.com/blog/2020/1/14…
Necessary: must happen, cannot not happen
Contingent: could happen or not, possible
Impossible: cannot happen, could not have happened
In the 20th century political leaders believed the space of contingency was shrinking. Complex systems demonstrated the opposite.
Contingent: could happen or not, possible
Impossible: cannot happen, could not have happened
In the 20th century political leaders believed the space of contingency was shrinking. Complex systems demonstrated the opposite.
The era of the Five Year Plan is over. The job of political systems is no longer to define "what will happen" but to understand "what just happened".
