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Serious Q re. #CDUVorsitz - Laschet is running, wants to be both party leader *and* Chancellor candidate. Merz’s ego so large he wants both roles too. Röttgen is the long shot but I presume wants both too. Where does that leave Söder?
A reminder of what happened in 2002 when Merkel (CDU) stood aside for Stoiber (CSU) de.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wolfratsh…

Merz won’t do that. Laschet won’t do that. I doubt Röttgen would. Has Söder realistically got any choice but to stand aside?
Or does the CSU play a longer game, tries to postpone the Chancellor question until the autumn at least? If Merz or Laschet were tanking in the opinion polls...?

/ends
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#CDUVorsitz

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Jon Worth
@jonworth
There is one person who makes this #CDUVorsitz CDU party leadership election so fascinating:

Friedrich Merz
To be clear: this thread is not about who I want to win, nor who even is most likely to win.

Instead it is about what Merz tells us about German politics, the CDU, and the state of the race to succeed Merkel.
First, how is Merz even in this race to be CDU party leader anyway?

His political career is a peculiar one. He was a MEP 1994-1999, then in the Bundestag from 1999. He was chair of the CDU-CSU Parliamentary Group (Fraktion) 2000-2002, when Merkel ousted him from that post.
Read 23 tweets
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Jon Worth
@jonworth
Und jetzt auch auf deutsch!

Wer wird #CDUVorsitz gewinnen? Und wer wird Kanzlerkandidat?

Ich habe ein Diagramm dafür gebastelt
Ist wie mit meinem #BrexitDiagram - ich versuche alle mögliche Optionen zu skizzieren und ich habe jeder Option Wahrscheinlichkeiten gegeben
#CDUVorsitz Wahrscheinlichkeiten
@ArminLaschet 65.5%
@_FriedrichMerz 24%
@n_roettgen 10.5%

Kanzlerkandidat Wahrscheinlichkeiten
@ArminLaschet 49%
@_FriedrichMerz 18%
@n_roettgen 8%
@Markus_Soeder 26% (CSU)
Read 4 tweets
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Jon Worth
@jonworth
So are you confused by #CDUVorsitz #CDU and the battle to succeed AKK (as party leader) and Merkel (as CDU-CSU candidate for Chancellor of 🇩🇪)?

I'm here to help - in the only way I can - with a diagram!
For anyone who saw my #BrexitDiagram series in 2019, you know how this works

Plot out all the routes and the options, and put some probabilities on each of the routes, and work it all out
This is V1.0.0 of the CDU Leadership 2020 diagram. Please give me your feedback on this, and tell me what's right and wrong, and what's missing, and I will update it accordingly!
Read 6 tweets

Related threads

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Das Hauptstadtstudio
@DLF_Berlin
Jetzt in der #BPK: Vorstellung Kandidatur @ArminLaschet, flankiert von @jensspahn. Spahn beginnt mit Diktum von der "größten Krise in der Geschichte der CDU". Und: "Ich will nicht, dass Angela Merkel die letzte Bundeskanzlerin der CDU Deutschlands gewesen ist." #CDUVorsitz
@ArminLaschet @jensspahn #Spahn fordert "weltoffenen Patriotismus". Es könne nur einen Parteivorsitzenden geben, deshalb unterstütze er Armin #Laschet - obwohl er sich selbst Gedanken über eine Kandidatur gemacht habe.
@ArminLaschet @jensspahn #Laschet sinngemäß: Gesellschaft driftet trotz relativ guter Lage auseinander. Abbauen von Ängsten und Aggression "eine der großen Aufgaben, vor der wir stehen." Goutiert Unterstützung durch #Spahn: "Waren in den vergangenen Jahren nicht immer einer Meinung." #CDUVorsitz
Read 9 tweets
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DocRock1007 🇺🇸
@DocRock1007
1. #QAnon
"Think depopulation.
The Silent War continues…"
#Q
2. #QAnon Good news. #Q has Renegade and Evergreen in the [target] boxes, referred to as the Secret Service's cf to their chosen names.
"Define Renegade [Hussein USSS code name].
Standard definition.
Define Evergreen [HRC USSS code name]
Non-standard defintion."
Lines are drawn.
3. #QAnon The 8kun admin, (@CodeMonkeyZ) said DDoS attacks on it started Feb 9, 2020, followed by several media #Q hit pieces Feb 10.

"Attacks have been coming in all day. Very sophisticated and expensive attacks; the person paying for the attack likely has deep pockets." Why?
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(((❌40Head❌⭐⭐⭐❌)))
@40_head
1. My deepest dig. I believe I've found the meaning behind many of #Q's latest drops, establish what recent events are all about and why they're happening. You must understand, this is NOT a game. We are at war. They've killed to stop what's happening.

2. We see in #QDrop #3570 that the meaning of [C] and [D] has been cleared up. [C]oats before [D]eclas. But, the rest of the drop may still be a mystery. I hope I can help.
"The month of AUGUST is traditionally very HOT.
You have more than you know.
Q"
3. Each year congress takes several extended breaks. Right now they're out for the August break and will return September 9th. Something most people don't understand is that these people are protected from arrest for most crimes while they're in session.

Read 69 tweets
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PatriotTxMOM-SuzyQ #FreeFLYNN⭐️⭐️⭐️
@2christian
32 days since last post. Mirror? 23? Pain??? @POTUS 4 10 20 DJT

A BREAK in the DAM
Their party just fractured!
The flood is coming.
Emails, videos, audio. pics, etc
FBI accidentally deletes texts?
No Such Agency accidentally releases IT ALL>
Shall we play a game?
Q
Former HUD Assistant IG Indicted for Concealing Procurement Fraud Scheme Julian Castro was HUD Secretary during some of this time
Sec_y = SECRETARY CASTRO?????

These ppl are sick! NOW U KNOW WHY HE IS RUNNING FOR @POTUS, HE THINKS IT WILL PROTECT HIM

justice.gov/opa/pr/former-…
Read 798 tweets
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Emily Mansfield
@erm3114
A short thread on the significance of the #CDU election tomorrow in #Germany to determine #Merkel's successor as party leader [1/8]
The two front-runners are Annegret Kramp-Karrenbauer (AKK), the continuity candidate, and Friedrich Merz, who wants to take the party back towards the right. Jens Spahn, a younger right-wing contender, stands less of a chance [2/8]
Polls are of limited use in predicting who will win. Most are of CDU supporters, but the party leader will be chosen by a set of 1,001 CDU delegates in Hamburg. #AKK leads among supporters but #Merz may have the edge among the delegates [3/8]
Read 8 tweets
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Bob From Brockley
@bobfrombrockley
This is a thread on the Labour candidate selection for the upcoming #LewishamEast by-election (written by an embarrassingly inactive Lewisham Deptford party member)
Before getting to the candidates, a huge thank you to @Heidi_LDN for her years of excellent service to our community, as a Deptford councillor, Lewisham MP, battler to save Lewisham Hospital from Tory cuts, and Shadow Cabinet member.
So far, I believe five local candidates have put themselves forward for #LewishamEast Here they are, in alphabetical order:
Read 36 tweets

Trending hashtags

#DarkToLight #POTUS #BezosWaPoClownPost #JPMorganChase #IranCentralBank #PedoGateIsReal #CDU #EpsteinArrested #CEMEX #SnakePass #MAGA #MakeAmericaGratefulAgain #Epstein #PatriotsUnited #Brexit #Mueller #Declass #Persia #Russian #Röttgen #FactsMatter #DECLAS #ClintonFoundation #SheepNoMore #DeepState

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