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So are you confused by #CDUVorsitz #CDU and the battle to succeed AKK (as party leader) and Merkel (as CDU-CSU candidate for Chancellor of 🇩🇪)?

I'm here to help - in the only way I can - with a diagram!
For anyone who saw my #BrexitDiagram series in 2019, you know how this works

Plot out all the routes and the options, and put some probabilities on each of the routes, and work it all out
This is V1.0.0 of the CDU Leadership 2020 diagram. Please give me your feedback on this, and tell me what's right and wrong, and what's missing, and I will update it accordingly!
This first version puts the chances of each candidate becoming CDU Leader (Vorsitzender) at the 25 April Party Conference as:
@ArminLaschet 65.5%
@_FriedrichMerz 24%
@n_roettgen 10.5%
But that any of them become the CDU-CSU candidate to become Chancellor is not certain. Look further forward to the autumn and chances to be Chancellor candidate (Kanzlerkandidat):
@ArminLaschet 49%
@_FriedrichMerz 18%
@n_roettgen 8%
@Markus_Soeder 26% (CSU)
Thanks @gazhay for pushing me to do this!

High res PNG:
techpolitics.eu/downloads/cdul…

High res PDF:
techpolitics.eu/downloads/cdul…

.ods file of the calculations:
techpolitics.eu/downloads/cdul…

draw(dot)io XML:
techpolitics.eu/downloads/cdul…

/ends
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