Jeff Seldin Profile picture
Jun 29 9 tweets 11 min read
Happening now: @NATO SecGen @jensstoltenberg news conference in #MadridNATO22

Says Madrid Summit reinforces an alliance and world view "based on norms & values instead of brute violence" Image
#Indo-pacific countries at #MadridNATO22 - "We appreciate very much the partnership with them" per @NATO's @jensstoltenberg, asked abt #China

China's coercive behavior "matters for every country concerned abt the freedom of navigation" & trade in the region
"It's #Russia that has walked away from this attempt to build more trust, more partnership" per @NATO's @jensstoltenberg

"Our relationship w/#Russia is at the lowest level since the #ColdWar but there is no doubt that the responsibility for that is Russia"
"We cannot be naive when it comes to #Russia" per @NATO's @jensstoltenberg

"They use force" for #Putin to create a sphere of influence, he says, necessitating an increased NATO military presence
"The reality is we have been preparing for this since 2014" per @NATO's @jensstoltenberg on the alliance's response to #Russia's belligerent behavior, citing start of Russian aggression in eastern #Ukraine
.@NATO's @jensstoltenberg spoke following meeting with partners, including the EU, #Georgia, #Finland & #Sweden, #Australia, #NewZealand #Japan #SouthKorea
"We now face an era of strategic competition" per @NATO's @jensstoltenberg

"We see a deepening strategic partnership btw #Moscow & #Beijing, & #China growing assertiveness & its coercive policies have consequences for the security of allies & our partners"
#China "bullying its neighbors & threatening #Taiwan" per @NATO's @jensstoltenberg

Stoltenberg also accuses #Beijing of "spreading #Russia|n lies & #disinformation"
"#China is not our adversary but we must be clear-eyed abt the challenges it represents" per @NATO's @jensstoltenberg

"We must continue to stand w/our partners to preserve the rules-based int'l order"

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More from @jseldin

Jul 1
NEW: #Russia's #SnakeIsland retreat - "We not believe there is any credence to what Russia is saying, that this is a gesture of good will" per a senior US defense official

Says it is more abt #Ukraine's efforts & use of weapons like #harpoon missiles
#Russia's #SnakeIsland retreat - "It does make it a lot easier to defend #Odesa & in the future to open up those sea lanes" per a senior US defense official
Fighting in the #Donbas is a "grinding war of attrition" per a senior US defense official

Says #Russia has not yet been able to take #Lysychansk or the nearby oil refinery
Read 26 tweets
Jun 29
Happening now: Most destabilizing factor in the world today - "There are so many" @ODNIgov Dir Avril Haines tells @SilveradoPolicy @Google Leadership & Service Forum
NEW: "The mismatch between what we perceive to be #Putin's even near-term military objectives & the fact that his military can't actually achieve them is a destabilizing factor" per @ODNIgov Dir Avril Haines "It has raised the potential for escalation"

#Russia-#Ukraine
Another destabilizing factor - "The way in which disruptive technologies are emerging in many respects, the kind of convergence of so many fields of science" per @ODNIgov’s Haines
Read 36 tweets
Jun 29
NEW: Negative views of #China "remain at or near historic highs" in 19 countries surveyed by @pewresearch

Negative views of #Beijing highest in:

#Japan 87%
#Australia 86%
#SouthKorea 80%
#Sweden 83%
US 82%
#Netherlands 75%
#Germany 74%
#Canada 74%
pewresearch.org/global/2022/06…
"Adults in #Greece, the #UnitedKingdom & the #UnitedStates have become significantly more critical of #China over the past year" per @pewresearch

"Unfavorable views of China have gone up by 21 percentage points in #Poland & Israel & 15 points in #Hungary..."
"#Belgium stands as the only country where fewer people hold an unfavorable view of #China this year than last year (61%, down from 67%)" per @pewresearch
Read 5 tweets
Jun 29
#Russia's "incremental" advance on #Lysychansk - Russian forces gained 2km on approach to the Lysychansk oil refinery, to the south of the town, per assessment by #Britain's @DefenceHQ
#Britain's @DefenceHQ warns of more civilian casualties from #Russia|n missile strikes as #Moscow's war in #Ukraine drags on

Cites "Russia’s shortage of more modern precision strike weapons & the professional shortcomings of their targeting planners"
#Britain's @DefenceHQ also notes #Russia's appetite for risk/civilian deaths in #Ukraine

"Russian planners highly likely remain willing to accept a high level of collateral damage when they perceive military necessity in striking a target”
Read 4 tweets
Jun 27
"The #Ukrainian fighter has demonstrated an ability to win in a level of adversity that is is just surprising in many cases" per sr US defense official
#Sievierodonetsk - "The small number of #Ukrainians that held the Russians at #Sievierodonetsk for as long as they did is really something I think we'll probably all study in the future" per sr US defense official
"When they [#Ukraine forces] chose to leave #Sievierodonetsk, they chose to do it of their own accord & to give that up in order to to move to better prepared locations for the continuing of that defense" per sr US defense official
Read 4 tweets
Jun 27
Day 124 of #Russia war in #Ukraine: 4 #HIMARS in Ukraine - "All indications are they are employing them very well" per senior US defense official

Says US working to get the additional 4 HIMARS in country, training wrapping up soon
#Russian missile strikes vs #Kyiv - "We're not quite sure abt the #Russian objective of the strikes", per senior US defense official

Says could be protest vs #G7 or due to introduction of #HIMARS to #Ukraine
Little #Russia|n movement out of #Severodonestk, per senior US defense official
Read 19 tweets

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