"They use force" for #Putin to create a sphere of influence, he says, necessitating an increased NATO military presence
"The reality is we have been preparing for this since 2014" per @NATO's @jensstoltenberg on the alliance's response to #Russia's belligerent behavior, citing start of Russian aggression in eastern #Ukraine
"We see a deepening strategic partnership btw #Moscow & #Beijing, & #China growing assertiveness & its coercive policies have consequences for the security of allies & our partners"
NEW: #Russia's #SnakeIsland retreat - "We not believe there is any credence to what Russia is saying, that this is a gesture of good will" per a senior US defense official
Says it is more abt #Ukraine's efforts & use of weapons like #harpoon missiles
#Russia's #SnakeIsland retreat - "It does make it a lot easier to defend #Odesa & in the future to open up those sea lanes" per a senior US defense official
Fighting in the #Donbas is a "grinding war of attrition" per a senior US defense official
Says #Russia has not yet been able to take #Lysychansk or the nearby oil refinery
Happening now: Most destabilizing factor in the world today - "There are so many" @ODNIgov Dir Avril Haines tells @SilveradoPolicy@Google Leadership & Service Forum
NEW: "The mismatch between what we perceive to be #Putin's even near-term military objectives & the fact that his military can't actually achieve them is a destabilizing factor" per @ODNIgov Dir Avril Haines "It has raised the potential for escalation"
Another destabilizing factor - "The way in which disruptive technologies are emerging in many respects, the kind of convergence of so many fields of science" per @ODNIgov’s Haines
"Unfavorable views of China have gone up by 21 percentage points in #Poland & Israel & 15 points in #Hungary..."
"#Belgium stands as the only country where fewer people hold an unfavorable view of #China this year than last year (61%, down from 67%)" per @pewresearch
#Russia's "incremental" advance on #Lysychansk - Russian forces gained 2km on approach to the Lysychansk oil refinery, to the south of the town, per assessment by #Britain's @DefenceHQ
"The #Ukrainian fighter has demonstrated an ability to win in a level of adversity that is is just surprising in many cases" per sr US defense official
#Sievierodonetsk - "The small number of #Ukrainians that held the Russians at #Sievierodonetsk for as long as they did is really something I think we'll probably all study in the future" per sr US defense official
"When they [#Ukraine forces] chose to leave #Sievierodonetsk, they chose to do it of their own accord & to give that up in order to to move to better prepared locations for the continuing of that defense" per sr US defense official