We do 30 or 40 polls a week so have tons of data to work with to assess if the political climate is really shifting.
It's not.
It's basically been the same ever since the GOP health care debacle last summer. There might occasionally be a small blip one way or the other...
It's not.
It's basically been the same ever since the GOP health care debacle last summer. There might occasionally be a small blip one way or the other...
But basically Dems have a 10 point advantage or so nationally and that's been the same for close to a year now. It's natural for there to be an occasional individual survey where it's 15 or 16 points or only 3 or 4 points, but there's never been a real systemic shift from ~+10
Think the massive amount of data from special elections is a lot more instructive about what's likely to happen this fall than individual generic ballot polls- and certainly that would apply to any poll from us as well as anyone else. Not a knock on CNN
