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Million calls still there between 17500 - 17700

With all the churning yesterday 15 million added at 17500 - 17700. Max at 17600, 6.5 million

No unwinding of calls

@optionurol
Nifty Puts

14 million puts between 17300 - 17500

3.5 million added between 17300 - 17500

6.8 million puts unwound from 17500 - 17800, Max 3.1 million at 17700

Result: Put Towers are big, and outnumber Call Towers

PCR: 0.65 (Between 17300 - 17800)

@optionurol
Read 7 tweets
A lot of #OpenInterest traders will look at the high #OI of today in Futures

The #Nifty F addition was 30458 contracts, a high for the series of Jan

The #Banknifty futures addition was 6265 contracts today, not a high but big.

A quick thread on why this is a half- truth.
The futures market of today is just a fraction of the Options market.

Any day the options market beats the Index Futures 100 times & easy.

So if you are only looking at Futures Open Interest , you are reading just 1/100 th of the market
The entire market is not just divided between 4 players

a) FII's
b) Pros's
c) Retail
d) DII's

but is also hedged completely

So a long F in NF is with a short call as a pair.
Another reason you should not focus only on Futures OI
Read 12 tweets
ARE WE AT DEC 2020 (ROCKET-LUNCH) LEVEL AGAIN?
🧵/1. Here in this 🧵we look at the market structure from #onchain & #FuturesMarket perspectives and compare it with Dec 2020, when the price was breaking above the 2018's (20K) ATH for second time!
🧵/2. First, looking at the Monthly-Realized Profit Oscillator, we can see, similar to Dec 2020, market is approximately realizing equal to 5% of the total #RealizedCap monthly. This means we have not witnessed the old coins realizing profit at a concerning rate yet ( >10%).
🧵/3. The #FuturesMarket also has the same sentiment that the market had in Dec 2020. The #FundingRate is rising gradually, and #OpenInterest momentum (30D-RSI) has dropped (after reaching a new ATH; 67K) to the same level we saw in Dec 2020; 20K>18K> 🌙(Dec 20) = 67K > 58K > ?
Read 5 tweets
1/10-Going through the 2nd week of the biggest corrections of this cycle (~ 50%), the ultimate questions in market are,
-Whether the cycle is over?
-How are the Exchange Flow conditions?
-What is the picture that on-chain metrics are giving about market in long-term?
🧵🔽
2/10- All-Exchanges Reserve has been declining since the beginning of this bull market. This trend was then upward on April 24th after prices dropped 64K > 50K [1A] = on-chain bearish sign.
3/10-Overall increasing level of bitcoin reserve on exchanges was due to Derivative-Exchanges (@Binance, @Bitrex )[1B]. The interesting point to notice here was the uninterrupted downtrend of bitcoin reserve on Spot-Exchanges (@Coinbase, @Kraken)[1C].
Read 26 tweets
Good open interest added both sides. Especially call OI is very high.
If market comes down I would like to sell 11750, 11700 PE.
If market goes up would like to sell calls 12050 and above.
(1/n) Image
Just one day Nifty has to do whatever it wants because Thursday we can get leverage and start adjustments.

Margin management is the main game here. Keep money for adjustments.
(2/2)
Read 3 tweets
I have received lot of queries on #OptionsTrading.
Specially on the trades that I take on expiry day where option prices move 10 times in last one hour. Let me tell you that this happens only 1 in 3-4 weeks.
Few pointers that I look at.
Expiry day trading in options few tips. I hope it will help others.
So what I look for is following 3 things.
1. Open Interest Build Up on expiry day
2. Trend of the market from start of the day
3. how to trade
3. Time when breakout or breakdown of critical levels happen
#OpenInterest Build Up
#Optionwriting has become very popular & there is heightened activity of the same on expiry day. This is clearly visible through OI buildup in specific strikes where OI goes up significantly & price goes down. Now these strikes become our boundaries
Read 10 tweets

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