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10-Year Forecasts for Major Asset Classes

Let's explore 10-year annualized forecasts for major asset classes using Vanguard's Capital Markets Model (VCMM).

A thread 🧵
#investing #stockmarket
While there’s no way of predicting the future, quantitative models can help us come up with a general idea of how different asset classes may perform in the future.

One example is Vanguard’s Capital Markets Model (VCMM Image
2/ Equity Returns: Vanguard predicts international equities to outperform U.S. equities in the next decade. Valuation-based expansion in U.S. equities may lead to lower returns, while international equities offer favorable valuations and higher dividend payouts.
Read 7 tweets
The Darvas Box Trading Strategy
A Detailed Thread 🔖 + 1 Book Give Away !

Rules For Giveaway :
Follow @JayneshKasliwal
🔄Retweet and
♥️ Like this Tweet
One Lucky Winner will be Selected
#StockMarket #darvasbox Image
About Darvas :
In the late 1950s, Nicolas Darvas was one half of the highest paid dance team in show business.
Darvas turned a $36,000 investment into more than $2.25 million in a three-year period.
It was on a two-year tour of the world that he initially developed his ‘Darvas Box’ method of screening stocks – a method of picking stocks based on the stock’s price and volume .

Read more About his life :…
Read 20 tweets
Investing and Wealth Creation:
📚 When it comes to investing, education is key. Take the time to research and analyze before making any investment decisions. Knowledge and understanding of the market can greatly increase your chances of success. #Investing #Education
🎲 Investing should not be treated as gambling. It requires careful planning, patience, and a long-term perspective. The potential gains you can see over time are exciting, but they come with disciplined and informed decision-making. #InvestingStrategy #Patience
📈 MRF, a leading Indian tire manufacturing company, has delivered an exceptional return over the past 23 years. Starting from Rs. 1200, the stock price has soared to Rs. 1,00,000, providing investors with nearly 100 times their initial investment. #Investment #MRF
Read 5 tweets
Face value of a share :
1/5: 📚 The face value of a share is the initial value assigned to a stock when it is issued. It represents the legal capital of the company and is typically a small fixed amount, such as rs 2 or rs 10 per share. #Finance #Stocks

2/5: 💼 The face value serves as a legal requirement and is used in accounting records to determine the company's capital structure and shareholder equity. It helps calculate the value per share and ownership percentages. #Accounting #Investing
3/5: ⚖️ While face value is important for legal and regulatory considerations, it does not directly impact the market value of a share. Market value is determined by factors like supply and demand, company performance, and investor sentiment. #MarketValue #Investment
Read 5 tweets
Narmada Gelatine - Super Special Situation

A change of management and promoter will empower the future growth

A thread 🧵

#investing #specialsituation #narmadagelatine #stockmarket
About Narmada Gelatine - A 200 crore market cap co-manufactures gelatine with decent fundamentals Image
Now, Pioneer Jellice India (one of the largest manufacturers of Gelatine in India) bought 75% stake in the company at INR 229 per share. Triggering Open offer at INR 303 per share

About acquirer : Image
Read 7 tweets
17 Trading Principle Of WD Gann That Would Change Your Trading Style.

Must Read!!

Like And Retweet For Better Reach

#Stockmarket #Investing
@nakulvibhor @kuttrapali26 @PAlearner @Stocktwit_IN @caniravkaria @rachitpjain @VijayThk @Rishikesh_ADX @chartmojo @Breakoutrade94 Image
1). If the high price for the entire week is achieved on Friday, expect higher prices next week.
2)If the low price for the entire week is achieved on Friday, expect a much lower price next week.
3). In a highly uptrending market weekly low is achieved on Tuesday.
4) When the price crosses the high of the last four weeks, it’s an advance indication of more higher prices.
5). When the price breached the low of the last four weeks, it’s an advance indication of more lower prices.
Read 11 tweets
Thread🧵 on GMI's key macro charts by Raoul Pal. @RaoulGMI #GlobalMacro
1/7 ISM is falling to 46.9, indicating short-term weakness. New orders point towards a drop closer to 45 in June. #GlobalEconomy Image
2/7 The GMI Financial Conditions Index suggests recovery, having already bottomed out and now rising. #FinancialConditions #EconomicTrends Image
Read 9 tweets
A recent post by John Authers @johnauthers raises some interesting questions about the US consumer market and #crypto industry. Let's look at some important points.
1/10 💵 Consumer discretionary stocks are outperforming staples, which is usually a sign of economic expansion. However, retail sales growth remains slow, causing some uncertainty. #Markets Image
2/10 📉 Surveys like those run by the University of Michigan and the Conference Board show that consumer expectations have waned since the start of the year. #ConsumerSentiment Image
Read 11 tweets
IKIO Lightening IPO Alert! 📢🚀

This IPO is making a buzz in the stock market.

A detailed thread on this IPO🧵⤵️

#StockMarket #IPOAlert Image
The company is coming up with fresh issues along with the OFS.

The borrowed funds will be utilised to repay debts and invest in its own subsidiary, IKIO solutions pvt. Ltd.

The details of the IPO are as follows⤵️ Image
IKIO Lighting is a leading manufacturer of LED lighting systems founded by Hardeep Singh & Sumeet Kaur in 2016.

They r committed to sustainability & provide low-energy LED lighting to assist India in meeting its sustainability targets.
Read 14 tweets
We spoke with S. Naren, CIO, ICICI Prudential AMC.

18 takeaways.

1. India best structural story with strong macros, challenge is to decide what kind of premium to pay

2. Big move since March on strong flows partly explained by Japanese CB printing a lot


3. We are in a lower/moderate return environment, no longer in zero rate regime

4. You can invest in debt & get 4-5%, even Japan will quit printing at some point

5. Since March, it appears that markets go up in a straight line, won't be like this


#stockmarket #stocks
6. We will move into a moderate return environment

7. Next 3-5 years we will see a fair amount of volatility, better to have products which can switch b/w equity & debt


#StockMarket #stocks
Read 8 tweets
⚠️In 2008, Q2 GDP came in at +2.3% signaling a soft landing! Recession averted!!! 🥳🍾👏

In reality, we were already in a recession but numbers lagged. Q3 GDP was -2.1% and Q4 was a staggering -8.5%

The stock markets ultimately crashed for -57% #stockmarket… Image
The problem with a lot of data is that it lags and government reporting is very poor at times.

PERFECT example. The BEA initially reported a GDP estimate of -3.8%

It later revised to -6.5%
That was later revised to -8.3%

The final GDP ended up 127% lower.
That's 127%... Image
In case anyone misunderstands the severity.
The BEA is the Bureau of Economic Analysis.

The GDP is "THE" economic number. It is the Gross Domestic Product. Akin to a company earnings only for a country.

They didn't miss by 10% or 15%. Their report was off by 127%
Read 3 tweets
Stocks In News | Hindustan Unilever releases its annual report. Here's what the co said about its financial performance

#HUL #StockMarket @HUL_News Image
Stocks In News | Urbanisation, increasing nuclear family structures and rising affluence bolstered growth of new demand spaces & premium segment says HUL on demand trends

#HUL #StockMarket @HUL_News Image
Stocks In News | Here's what HUL said on ONDC in its annual report. Take a look👇

#HUL #StockMarket #ONDC @HUL_News Image
Read 4 tweets
Earnings With ET NOW | Sun Pharma offers to acquire all Taro shares in cash

What is the rationale behind the move?

C Muralidharan, the CFO of the co, speaks on the offer, Q4 results, R&D spending and more

@Ajaya_buddy @_anishaj @SunPharma_Live
#OnETNOW | Here's what CS Muralidharan of Sun Pharma has to say on the co's offer to acquire remaining stake in Taro

@SunPharma_Live #SunPharma #Taro Image
#OnETNOW | CS Muralidharan of Sun Pharma speaks on pricing pressures in US, margins and Halol facility

@SunPharma_Live #SunPharma #Taro Image
Read 5 tweets
The CPR is a popular intraday indicator that traders use daily.

A thread 🧵 on CPR trading strategy.


Retweet ♻ if you find it useful

Course Worth: 20-25K

@Stocktwit_IN @kuttrapali26 @KommawarSwapnil @caniravkaria

#StockMarket #nifty #forex Image
📍What is CPR?

The Central Pivot Range is widely known as CPR. Traders can use it for intraday, swing, or positional trading

The CPR levels help traders to foresee the movements in stock prices & to predict the trend and also provide us with major support and resistance levels
📍How is CPR calculated?

The three levels of the CPR indicator and the formula for calculating them are listed below.

Pivot point = (High + Low + Close) / 3

Top Central Pivot Point (TC) = (Pivot – BC) + Pivot

Bottom Central Pivot Point (BC) = (High + Low) / 2
Read 22 tweets
“The momentum is clear, and positioning is increasingly one-sided. Longs outnumber shorts by more than 9 to 1,” said @Citi strategists led by Chris Montagu. “The few remaining shorts are all in loss, but a short squeeze is not likely to significantly impact markets.” $SPY $SPX Image
“Market participants have added $21 billion in new long positions on the S&P 500 futures, @Citi data showed. The weekly flow of new longs was one of the largest seen in recent years, it added.” @markets @Bloomberg $SPY $SPX…
What is your take (trade/positioning) on the S&P 500 major #StockMarket index? $SPY $SPX
Read 3 tweets
Tired of scanning 500+ stocks manually??

We have a one stop solution for you.

Here are 10 important scanners available for FREE.

𝗔 𝗧𝗵𝗿𝗲𝗮𝗱 🧵 𝗼𝗻 𝘀𝗰𝗮𝗻𝗻𝗲𝗿𝘀

Retweet ♻ if you find it useful.

@kuttrapali26 @KommawarSwapnil @caniravkaria

#StockMarket #Nifty
1) Position for short term…
2) 52 Week breakout scaner…
Read 17 tweets
SEBI's 40 page consultation paper reviewing expenses (TER) charged by MFs to investors is out.

10 points.

1. Currently things like transaction charges & GST fall outside the purview of base TER (total expense ratio)

2. SEBI wants these expenses within TER.

1/5 #StockMarket
(contd) .. In SEBI's own words, "it is desirable that TER reflects the maximum expense ratio that an investor may have to pay & hence it should be inclusive of all expenses permitted.."

3. SEBI is proposing new separate TER slabs for equity & non-equity AUM

2/5 #StockMarket
4. TERs have been proposed to be lifted from earlier levels. This does come as a relief as the impact would have been higher if SEBI allowed no change from current levels.

5. TER slabs should be at the level of the AMC & not at the scheme level

3/5 #StockMarket
Read 5 tweets
Rising volume in $XLK, $VTV, and good enough $SMH transparently prepared the ground for improving #ES market breadth – but the one factor that made me reconsider the requisites of the medium-term (bearish) outlook, was this.
2. Back when I took the MT bearish view (mid Mar), it was well justified as two significant #banks had fallen, $CS was getting back on the radar screen, #deposit outflows continued, and demand for the #Fed emergency programs was rising.
It was questionable whether $KRE and $XLF
3. would stabilize.
The incentives for #deposit outflows were still present (#Fed hadn‘t yielded to market pressures to ease, and still doesn‘t, short-term #yields kept solidly above 5%, #Fed balance sheet kept declining, #M2 and #margin debt shrinking while consumer #inflation
Read 17 tweets
#ES flirted with 4,115 again after that great intraday $HYG reversal portended downside #volatility when cyclicals didn‘t really point higher.
The day ended with a profound deterioration in market breadth and unappealing sectoral overview.
THREAD 👇 ImageImage
2. #tech upswing invited selling interest, while #value and especially $IWM turned strongly south.
#ES though had been relatively resilient given both #manufacturing and #retailsales hits, and today‘s data in #housing weren‘t slated to bring a disaster.
The figures are
3. obviously more optimistic than they would have otherwise been if the #housing market could clear itself by bringing in more supply, which isn‘t though a realistic expectation when #mortgage rates have been locked low in a different era of 2020-2021.
Read 6 tweets
In Technical Analysis, a candlestick pattern is a movement in prices shown graphically on a candlestick chart that some believe can predict a particular market movement.

A thread 🧵 with @Stocktwit_IN & @TradingView_IN

#TechnicalTrades #TradingView Image
History: Some of the earliest technical trading analysis was used to track prices of rice in the 18th century. Much of the credit for candlestick charting goes to Munehisa Homma (1724–1803), a rice merchant from Sakata, Japan who traded in the Ojima Rice market in Osaka
Formation of the candlestick: Candlesticks are graphical representations of price movements for a given period of time. They are commonly formed by the opening, high, low, and closing prices of a financial instrument.

#priceaction #StocksToTrade
Read 11 tweets
Here is this Week’s Market Wrap 'Politics Returns' written by @shyamsek

A Thread (1/n)

#stockmarket #investments #politics #personalfinance #marketwrap
The markets have intense spells when politics prevails over everything else in directing sentiment. Closer to every general election, this trend returns to haunt the markets. (2/n)

#markets #indiangovernment #elections
But, the ability of politics to drive sentiment is influenced by how much the outcome of the election will drive change. If change is likely to be significant and for the better, the markets can run up ahead of elections. (3/n)

#stockmarket #politics #investors
Read 10 tweets

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