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Rob Ford @robfordmancs
, 4 tweets, 1 min read Read on Twitter
One way we get to a no deal crisis:
Brexiteers and Leave voters oppose only deals that can be struck with the EU because they're seen as too soft.
Remainers and Lab MPs oppose the only feasible deals because they involve leaving and/or supporting Con govt.
NO DEAL! 1/?
Then the Q becomes: how long do these preference structures hold up under the pressure of an extreme political/legal/economic crisis? (which crash-out no deal would be) Who folds, and how quickly, and in favour of what?
I suspect remain voters plus soft Brexit voters quickly coalesce into a large and loud "please dear god make it stop" coalition Question is whether a similar coalition emerges in the Commons, and behind what, and with who in it?
Hard Brexiteers views seem IMO less likely to change as their preferences are entrenched, and they are probably more likely to blame Europe than revise their own preferences. Q is thus how quickly the large majority not in this camp coalesces around an alternative.
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