Only team to average fewer than 500 pass atts from 2015-17 (way down at 471). Second most QB runs in that span. Pass volume 🔼
McCaffrey: including playoff loss, 26.5 rush yds per game, only 2 rush TDs.
Still broke 20 PPR points in 6 games, in single-digits just 4 times, season low was 7.8 FP. RB receiving is gold.
Josh Gordon: 7.98 YPT on 42 targets with one-third of them graded uncatchable. (Kizer’s 146 uncatchable throws “led” the league. He only threw 476 passes.)
Ezekiel Elliott: League leader in rush yards per game two seasons in a row. Averages 104.6 in 25 career games.
(Alternate note: on/off splits more drastic for Tyron Smith than Zeke, but hard to fit in a tweet.)
Since Manny Sanders came to Denver in 2014, no third DEN passing option has eclipsed a 13% target share for the season.
In 13 games with Keenum, Diggs, Thielen all in the lineup, Rudolph was MIN’s third option at 15%.
Marvin Jones w/ or w/o Kenny Golladay. They earn targets in similar parts of the field - 15.2 aDOT vs. 14.8; next highest Lion: 10.3.
2017 red zone target share leaders:
1. Davante Adams - 37.1%
2. Jimmy Graham - 36.6%
Both had 10 TDs last year, boosting their fantasy finishes. Now they play on the same team.
Watson: 9.3% TD%. Talked about a lot but important for whole team. Game level factors also impacted his small sample:
2017: 487 pass attempts (3rd fewest)
Brissett: 2.9 deep balls per game (2nd fewest among QBs w/ 300+ atts)
527 rush attempts (most by any team since 2014), 4th-highest average differential (game script)
Alex Smith: Second-highest deep ball completion percentage in 2017
Team: Very difficult pass schedule any way you slice that (LAC twice, JAX, LAR, among others)
Keenan Allen: Five 30-plus PPR games in 25 games over last three seasons (plus 29.7 in another). Think what you want about him being a high-floor, low-ceiling player.
Robert Woods: WR18 in PPR PPG, still just 26 y/o, feels like a forgotten man bc he missed four games last year.
Vacated targets and air yards most notable. Stills PPR WR26 last year, going later this year.
But, also, league-low 360 rush attempts last year is notable.
In 12 seasons since Brees/Payton came to NO, top 5 in RB targets every year, led league 7 times, led league in both 2016 & 2017.
Also, TDs last year: 23 rush, 23 receiving (had at least double the pass TDs vs rush for 7 consecutive prior years; Brees 🔼)
What happened to Amari’s downfield catch rate last year? Positive regression coming, right?
One of only two teams (NYG the other) where no back broke a 60% snap share more than once.
imo, Ajayi’s touches trended up late bc their game scripts did. Don’t see huge upside for him bc of committee.
I worry about opportunity for secondary pieces. Brown and Bell combined to miss 3.5 games last year, but PIT was still extremely concentrated.
% of skill pos. PPR pts accounted for by top two PPR scorers:
Chris Thompson: 7.8 yards per touch (tops among RBs with 50+ touches)
Also, TDs on 5.8% of touches (6th among RBs w/ 50+)
(He's also older than you prob realize. Rookie in 2013. Wasn't like a young gun breaking out.)