The No Deal defeat for the Government doesn’t stop a No deal happening. Legally, a No Deal will happen automatically if a deal isn’t agreed by the Brexit date.
But, this Thread on why, this defeat does how we can get out of the mess May has got us stuck in...
(1/8)
But, this Thread on why, this defeat does how we can get out of the mess May has got us stuck in...
(1/8)
The defat CONFIRMS there is a majority against No Deal in the Commons. So what if a No Deal happens anyway if May’s deal is defeated?
(2/8)
(2/8)
It shows the way out, the steps would be:
1) May’s deal is defeated (as seems certain)
2) May’s doesn’t quit as PM and carries on bringing back her botched deal for more defeats.
3) A No Deal looks certain.
4) Labour call a vote of No Confidence.
(3/8)
1) May’s deal is defeated (as seems certain)
2) May’s doesn’t quit as PM and carries on bringing back her botched deal for more defeats.
3) A No Deal looks certain.
4) Labour call a vote of No Confidence.
(3/8)
This will be the moment of truth for the Tory MPs who aren’t No Deal Hard Brexiters, party or country? Vote with Labour, if Labour win the vote, at a minimum May must go taking her red lines with her. Or, vote with May and take the country to a suicide No Deal Brexit.
(4/8)
(4/8)
5 a) Labour win the vote, May quits and a new Tory leader is immediately appointed who can command a Commons majority. They can renegotiate with the EU as this is a significant change + their mandate is no to a No Deal.
(5/8)
(5/8)
5 b) Labour win, May or a new Tory leader isn’t able to build a majority within 14 days so a General Election has to take place. The most likely outcome is a Labour win with a mandate for their deal, ie a customs union with the EU.
(6/8)
(6/8)
6 a) Labour renegotiates with the EU and gets a new deal that is backed by the Commons. Done.
6 b) Labour fails to renegotiate a new deal OR the deal it negotiates is rejected by the Commons. Labour would then call for a 2nd Referendum as a deal of any sort doesn’t look possible.
6 b) Labour fails to renegotiate a new deal OR the deal it negotiates is rejected by the Commons. Labour would then call for a 2nd Referendum as a deal of any sort doesn’t look possible.
So, bottom line, assuming as is likely May’s deal fails in the Commons:
- MPs who don’t want a No Deal should be ready to back a Labour vote of No Confidence.
- So should MPs who want a Second Referendum
- So should MPs who want a practical Brexit
(8/8)
- MPs who don’t want a No Deal should be ready to back a Labour vote of No Confidence.
- So should MPs who want a Second Referendum
- So should MPs who want a practical Brexit
(8/8)
The above Thread in a more readable, more easily shareable format of a blog post..
medium.com/@Devutopia/whe…
medium.com/@Devutopia/whe…
