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1/ With the 2020 U.S. presidential election on the horizon, Paul Starr asks in our May issue if the changes brought about by the Trump administration and today’s Republican Party will become entrenched for the long-term. theatlantic.com/magazine/archi…
2/ Starr writes that if Trump wins a second term, which is much more likely than many people might think, his presidency “would go from an aberration to a turning point in American history.”
3/ Trump’s reelection would put off a national commitment to decarbonization until at least the second half of the 2020s, while encouraging other countries to do nothing as well. And change that is delayed becomes more economically and politically difficult.
4/ In addition, as the U.S. and Russia abandon their commitment to arms control, and Trump’s “America first” approach causes other countries to question the durability of U.S. security guarantees, the stage is being set for more states to go nuclear.
5/ Finally, a second Trump term means he would probably have the opportunity to replace two more Supreme Court justices: Ruth Bader Ginsburg and Stephen Breyer.
6/ Read Starr for more on how climate change, the risk of a renewed global arms race, and control of the Supreme Court illustrate the historic significance of the 2020 elections: theatlantic.com/magazine/archi…
