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New @OpiniumResearch poll has Brexit party top GE voting intentions after YouGov had LibDems top. Polls inform voters' intentions as much as they measure them. Those two say: "other party than Con/Lab can win next General Election so you can choose them without wasting your vote"
This "informational" effect of the two polls this week is even more worrying for Labour and Tories than the "measurement" element. It will further unleash voters' frustration towards them by harming their claim on useful/strategic voting.
We wrote before #EP2019 polls shouldn't be read as "predictions" of vote.This is even more valid for those polls and the next GE. Yet,they could potentially start a dynamic where BrexitP and LibDem vote might be perceived as the strategic choices of Remainers and Leavers.
This could prove catastrophic for Tories and Labour regardless of whether they change their Brexit stance as both have, quite simply, annoyed many voters and lost much credibility in their eyes. "Change" will be a tempting option to many voters if it is seen as a realistic one.
