, 3 tweets, 1 min read
Had very clear indications Erdogan was not bluffing about attacking Kurds. We knew he viewed this as the best way to strengthen himself politically at home after recent embarrassing electoral defeats.

He overestimates his capabilities,but no ambiguity about his intentions. 1/3
I can see the appeal of argument that Syria isn’t somewhere we want to be anyway, so lets leave & let Erdogan & Kurds etc. figure it out.

But our national security interests in Syria are much broader than just Turks & Kurds & on each one we are significantly worse off now 2/3
ISIS killers will now escape & boost chances of a resurgence

One of few moderate pro-U.S. groups in region now allied with Assad & Putin

Syria’s future now controlled by Russia & Iran. A significant blow to Israel’s security & boost to Iran’s goal of regional dominance 3/3
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