Looong extension ahoy!
A major headache for the EU
A major headache for the EU
Let's assume EUCO today doesn't talk extensions, because Johnson doesn't ask for one
That means if Saturday happens, and amendment succeeds, EU will be asked for 3mth extension, but knowing #EURef2 likely
2/
That means if Saturday happens, and amendment succeeds, EU will be asked for 3mth extension, but knowing #EURef2 likely
2/
Ref'm needs a good 9 months to sort primary legislation, designation, campaigning, dealing with outcome, etc.
@ConUnit_UCL reckon 6 months at breakneck: ucl.ac.uk/constitution-u…
3/
@ConUnit_UCL reckon 6 months at breakneck: ucl.ac.uk/constitution-u…
3/
@ConUnit_UCL So if you're the EU, what do you do?
Go with 31 Jan 2020, as requested, knowing full-well it's not enough?
Offer 9 mths (to end July)?
Offer 1yr, just in case?
4/
Go with 31 Jan 2020, as requested, knowing full-well it's not enough?
Offer 9 mths (to end July)?
Offer 1yr, just in case?
4/
@ConUnit_UCL If you go longer than Jan, risk that amendment doesn't translate into actual ref'm, so it becomes dead time
If you don't, then just another round of extension-requesting, maybe by another UK gvt
5/
If you don't, then just another round of extension-requesting, maybe by another UK gvt
5/
@ConUnit_UCL If you didn't know better, you'd assume the UK was doing this just to see how far it could wind up EUCO
/end
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