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THREAD: So where's the next big Coronavirus problem going to hit? Look out for:
1. India
2. Russia
3. Homeless and refugee communities
4. Germany
5. Iceland (i know it sound weird - but they have the highest known infection rate now, overtaking Italy). Reasoning follows ...
Why India's a problem: Only 500 people a day were being tested up to now - in a country of 1.3 billion with very uneven health infrastructure. Revised plans would test only 2 million. Social distancing v.v. hard to do in urban slums. icmr.nic.in/sites/default/…
Why #Russia's a problem: They reported only 147 cases, despite land border and close trading links with China. Throw in Russia’s coronavirus disinformation campaigns, and a claim to have tested 116,000 people for 147 positives is 🧐 themoscowtimes.com/2020/03/17/rus…
The homeless/refugee/slum problem: Hygiene and lack of health support. It's obvious and doesn't need much explanation here. Some refugee communities also highly mobile by necessity. Not clear when/where a dam wall breaks here, but when it does it will be messy.
Why Germany's a problem: Merkel doesn't get worked up for nothing but just described this as Germany's biggest challenge since the Nazis. Germany has an exceptionally low death rate so far (0.002% vs 8.2% for Italy) and the case load jumped 24% yesterday. Only way is down.
Why Iceland's a problem: The tiny island nation of 360,000 now has the highest infection intensity in the world. 250 cases means 70 cases per 100,000 people.
We've got round the clock #COVID19 #coronavirus coverage on politico.com and politico.eu
You can sign-up for nightly newsletter: politico.com/newsletters/po…
And my weekly Global Translations update here: politico.com/newsletters/gl…
Important to note, as always, that these numbers are known infections. Some countries look worse in relative terms because they have tested more. Others we can only guess at because they haven't tested or won't disclose. Treat this as a heads-up, not a scientfic bible 😇👍
ADDING IRAN: Researchers at Sharif University of Technology have produced a model showing the best case scenario there is 12,000 deaths. The worst case is 3.5 million dead by end May. Health advice is being ignored and sanctions complicate medical supplies dw.com/en/iran-faces-…
Tomorrow I'll host a virtual briefing on where we stand globally on coronavirus responses: Register here
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Ryan Heath
@PoliticoRyan
THREAD. After tracking coronavirus responses for 7 weeks now, and since you asked for it: here’s my list of ”best in class” responses from around the world to the various facets of the problem. #coronavirusoutbreak #COVID19.
* note: there’s no rigid criteria, it’s a list of what works, be that health, economic, social or sanity aspects of. This list can’t be complete (everything moves so fast) and you might read it after a new development ....
TESTING - SOUTH KOREA: Because they’ve mass tested. This showed:
- Democracies can beat the virus
- How transmissible #COVID19 is to and from young people with mild symptoms
- Importance of innovations like drive-thru testing. cnn.com/2020/03/02/asi…
Read 22 tweets
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Ryan Heath
@PoliticoRyan
1) Sacha Baron Cohen’s speech to the Anti-Defamation League - on reckless tech companies - is a must-read. Here’s best bit in following tweets.
2) “If a neo-Nazi comes goose-stepping into a restaurant and starts threatening other customers and saying he wants kill Jews, would the owner of the restaurant be required to serve him an elegant eight-course meal?  Of course not! ...
3) “The restaurant owner has every legal right and a moral obligation to kick the Nazi out, and so do these internet companies.”
Read 7 tweets
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Ryan Heath
@PoliticoRyan
1) I'm just going to say it: this debate about whether Warren would raise taxes to fund Medicare for All is redundant. It's obvious & besides the point. Of course that's how universal health care is funded. But refusing to say it is a case of reframing the issue, not avoiding it.
2) By using that tactic Warren denies people like me & her opponents the sugar hit, gotcha moment, where we can all say "taxes will go up." But any sentinent person realises that already, so why would she give her opponents the open goal, letting them frame the debate their way?
3) You wouldn't either, so really it's just smart politics. She can have that more detailed debate later in 2020 if she wins the nomination.
Read 8 tweets

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Dr. Safa Motesharrei
@SafaMote
@PoliticoRyan Dear @PoliticoRyan: Thank you for your nice analysis. I completely agree w India & homeless/refugee shelters (#1 & #3). But not so sure about #Russia, #Germany, & #Iceland. Rate of spread depends on PREVENTION/MITIGATION POLICIES in a community/country.
1/
@PoliticoRyan #Russia seems to have established very strict intervention measures, including mandatory quarantines and lockdowns. They are probably not truthful about their testing stats, but that has not much to do with the dynamics of disease spread.
2/
@PoliticoRyan For example, #China most probably underreported cases/deaths by at least 10×, but they succeeded in controlling the spread through strict nationwide prevention/mitigation measures.
3/
Read 10 tweets
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Rian Stone
@_Rian_Stone
#coronavirus self quarantine: Day 1

After I wake up I take a hot shower to keep the virus at bay, no longer masculine since I cannot take cold showers.

I stumble over my crate of alphagetti, my foot already feels the first suffering of this horrible virus.

check my phone ...
Through my high speed internet connection I see the horrors of the virus third hand.

Videos of people at the bar which some anonymous asshole tells me are millennials laughing at the virus, no one holds a newspaper with todays date.

I trust anon.
1 can of alphagetti (945/947 remain) in the microwave. I was so busy crushing it I never learned how the stovetop worked, it's probably a liberal conspiracy to take my taxes

I then frantically share all the panic anon takes on these random videos

we are the frontline protectors
Read 11 tweets
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Bob From Brockley 🥤
@bobfrombrockley
THREAD

A thread about #CoronaVirus conspiracy theories, how their sources and amplifiers so frequently promote other conspiracy theories, and why. Sorry it’s a bit long. I
First, a bit of background from @Otto_English in @BylineTimes bylinetimes.com/2020/03/10/the…
A lot of the #COVID19 conspiracy theories come from states, typically authoritian states whose weaknesses are exposed by the virus.

China, for example
Read 27 tweets
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Dank🧠
@synapse_doc
#coronavirus
Enveloped , single stranded RNA viruses.
Corona - crown like structure (as seen in image below)

Causes diseases in mammals like cats, bats, pigs, camels, cows and also in birds.

Almost all of these are eaten in #China
#Coronavirus strains known before latest epidemic :
1.Human coronavirus 229E (HCoV-229E)
2.Human coronavirus OC43 (HCoV-OC43)
3.SARS-CoV
4.Human coronavirus NL63 (HCoV-NL63, New Haven coronavirus)
5.Human coronavirus HKU1
6. Middle East respiratory syndrome coronavirus (MERS-CoV)
The new strain of #coronavirus is named -
#NovelCoronavirus (2019-nCoV),
a.k.a #WuhanPneumonia or #WuhanCoronavirus.

This new strain though initially spread from animals to humans, now the human to human transmission is suspected by chinese authorities.
Read 18 tweets
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Kavita Krishnan
@kavita_krishnan
#Thread on visit to #Muzaffarnagar, UP with @harsh_mander @natashabadhwar @JohnDayal @Sandeep_Saurav_ & many others.
In short: @UPPolice, PAC, RAF are the "rioters" - दंगाई - here, targeting & trashing Muslim homes (see video). Will try & post videos/pics as Internet allows
RAF was also involved in this destruction of Muslim homes singled out for being prosperous. One left his blue cap behind. Police, PAC, RAF doing this said, "Muslims will be thrown out of India, don't damage the floor or walls, after all, all this will one day belong to us"
Look at these images. Not a single plate or cup or shelf has been left whole. Each & every thing has been broken, under pretext of a "flag march" by PAC, RAF, police. In this home, there was only a woman with 3 children at night when the forces stormed in & trashed it.
Read 22 tweets
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Vijay
@scanman
#Thread Family Doctors (Primary Care) Vs Speciality Care in #India
A few weeks ago, in response to a different thread ( ) there was a comment from @spinesurgeon that we need family physicians. (1/31)
Another comment in that thread by @VaradhKrish referred to the issue of patients going directly to specialists, bypassing primary care doctors. (2/31)
The problem of patients going to specialists directly, rather than to primary care/family doctors first and then being referred by them to specialists is one that requires a more in-depth analysis. (3/31)
Read 36 tweets

Trending hashtags

#coronavirus #CoronaVirus #moscowmetro #drunjhistory #FikuryInqilab #COVID19 #gobidesert #Muzaffarnagar #indiedev #Jordan #OpenSkiesTreaty #Coronavirus #ClimateChange #Pakistan #Government #GameDev #SARS #Syria #WuhanLockDown #ClimateChangeIsReal #COVIDー19 #Mizoram #China #UNSC #Russia

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