Thread by @Starbright489

Mar. 1:
1/ #Russia Near #Fiscal #Collapse

#Putin's #Money for the #War may run out in the summer - @Forbes. A few important figures:

🔸#Russia is approaching a #Fiscal #Collapse
..continued

2/
#UkraineRussiaWar #Ukraine .@ZelenskyyUa .@DmytroKuleba
t.me/Crimeanwind/23…

Mar. 1:
2/ #Russia Near #Fiscal #Collapse

Report by #Telegram @CrimeanWind
See for yourself:

- In 2022, #Russia's #Monthly check for the #War averaged $9.5 billion, @Forbes.

- In 2023, #Putin increased ..continued

3/
#UkraineRussiaWar #Ukraine #Budget
t.me/Crimeanwind/23…

Mar. 1:
3/ #Russia Near #Fiscal #Collapse

.. increased the #Defense #Budget to about $12 billion a #Month.

The #Cost of the #War in tandem with a record drop in #Oil & #Gas #Revenues will empty the ..continued

4/
#UkraineRussiaWar #Ukraine #Money #War
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Mar. 1:
4/ #Russia Near #Fiscal #Collapse

..empty the #Treasury. Here are the data on the execution of the #Budget of the #RussianFederation in January of this year:

- #Expenses (together with the military)..continued

5/
#UkraineRussiaWar #Ukraine #War
t.me/Crimeanwind/23…

Mar. 1:
5/ #Russia Near #Fiscal #Collapse

..military) amounted to $ 41 billion;
- #Revenues - $18 billion;

🔸The #Budget deficit is $23 billion.

- Now the #Hole is being patched at the #Expense of the ..continued

6/
#UkraineRussiaWar #Ukraine #Revenue
t.me/Crimeanwind/23…

Mar. 1:
6/ #Russia Near #Fiscal #Collapse

.#Expense of the #ReserveFund (the so-called #NationalWealthFund), which has about $91 billion left.
- @Forbes predicts that at such a pace already approximately..continued

7/
#UkraineRussiaWar #Ukraine #Deficit
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Mar. 1:
7/ #Russia Near #Fiscal #Collapse

..approximately in June-July, the #ReserveFund of the #RussianFederation will dry up, & then the #Kremlin will have to choose between public sector #Salaries..continued

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#UkraineRussiaWar #Ukraine #Financial
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Mar. 1:
8/ #Russia Near #Fiscal #Collapse

..#Salaries & #War.

🔸The #Economic scenario has its variations:
- #Optimists pay attention to new #Sanctions that will bite the rashist economy. For example, ..continued

9/
#UkraineRussiaWar #Ukraine #Deficit
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Mar. 1:
9/ #Russia Near #Fiscal #Collapse

..For example, since February 5, the #European #Embargo on #Russian #OilProducts has been in effect. According to #CREA, #Russia will additionally #Lose about..continued

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#UkraineRussiaWar #Ukraine #Sanctions
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Mar. 1:
10/ #Russia Near #Fiscal #Collapse

..#Lose about €3.6 billion per #Month. If the #Kremlin does not change anything, the stabilizer may come even earlier.
- #Pessimists recall the @Citibank ..continued

11/
#UkraineRussiaWar #Ukraine #Financial
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Mar. 1:
11/ #Russia Near #Fiscal #Collapse

..@Citibank prophecy, according to which the #Kremlin will run out of #Money for the #War only after 2.5 years. This scenario is calculated on the basis of a..continued

12/
#UkraineRussiaWar #Ukraine #Financial
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Mar. 1:
12/ #Russia Near #Fiscal #Collapse

.. basis of a moderate #Budget #Deficit. And the analysis was published at the end of January, even before the #Russian #Ministry of #Finance reported on the ..continued

13/
#UkraineRussiaWar #Ukraine #Expenses
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Mar. 1:
13/ #Russia Near #Fiscal #Collapse

..reported on the largest #Drop in #Revenue since the 2008 crisis.

🔸We understand that many experts & "economic astrologers" have long turned on their stop ..continued

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#UkraineRussiaWar #Ukraine #Expenses
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Mar. 1:
14/ #Russia Near #Fiscal #Collapse

..stopwatches, promising "just about" a complete economic stabilization of #Russia. But…
- For the 1st time, specific figures are placed under such forecasts..continued

15/
#UkraineRussiaWar #Ukraine #Expenses
t.me/Crimeanwind/23…

Mar. 1:
15/ #Russia Near #Fiscal #Collapse

..forecasts.
- In any case, the #Russian #Budget #Crisis has already begun in December-January. #Russia spends more than it earns, & until #Sanctions are lifted ..continued

16/
#UkraineRussiaWar #Ukraine #Costs
t.me/Crimeanwind/23…

Mar. 1:
16/ #Russia Near #Fiscal #Collapse

..lifted, the situation will not change. And as soon as the #RussianFederation runs out of the #ReserveFund, #Putin will either have to let go of #Inflation, or curtail the #War.

#UkraineRussiaWar #Ukraine #War
t.me/Crimeanwind/23…