Assessing government action against the Paris Agreement's 1.5˚C warming limit. Climate Analytics (@CA_Latest); NewClimate Institute (@newclimateinst)
Of the total emissions savings that cld be achieved:
Despite the clear message that gas demand shld already be in rapid decline, its use in many economies continues to increase. Since 2015, a total of 14 G20 countries have seen an upward trend in gas’s share of primary energy supply, w particularly steep rises in North America. /3 
For its policies & action, we rate Australia "Insufficient". While the govt insists it will overachieve its 2030 target, it didn't submit a stronger target to which it would be bound. Current policies result in 2030 emissions excl LULUCF 15% below 2005
Our new rating system allows us to look at who needs to do what. First, a major overhaul of #NDCs, a number of which fall short of what's fair & needed to be in line w 1.5˚C. Some didn't increase ambition at all: here's looking at you, Australia 🇦🇺 Brazil 🇧🇷 Mexico🇲🇽 Russia 🇷🇺 /2
The 2030 #emissionsgap has only closed by 15-17% in the past year. Global GHG’s in 2030 will still be twice as high as what’s needed for 1.5˚C 
2/ Our estimates include 127 government net zero promises, totalling more than 63% of global emissions. Including China, the US (Biden's promise), Japan, South Korea. bit.ly/CAT_Nov2020 
2/ We've analysed the post-#COVID_19 #recovery packages of 5 countries: #China, #EU27, #India, #SouthKorea and the #USA. Only two lean towards using the pandemic recovery to address the global #climate crisis: the EU27, and South Korea. First, we looked at overarching packages. 
2/ #Decarbonising the #power sector is key: without it, other sectors cannot do so. The 2030 benchmarks are also key - if countries are not on the right pathway by 2030, they cannot reach their 2050 goal. #renewables bit.ly/CAT_PSR1
2/ We've derived 2030 & 2050 sectoral benchmarks for seven countries: #Brazil, #China, #EU, #India, #Indonesia, #SouthAfrica, the #US, taking into account each country's technical, infrastructure & economic circumstances #decarbonisation. Summary report: bit.ly/CAT_PSRsum
The emissions gap in 2100 really has not decreased a great deal. #COP25Madrid. Noting this is not steady state warming, but simply warming in 2100 bit.ly/CAT_COP25 
Global progress is stalling. Last year, energy-related #CO2 emissions reached an historic high, with more than a third of emissions from coal, but the fastest-growing source is from natural gas, which grew 4.6% from 2017 to 2018. bit.ly/CAT_SB50Bonn #climate 
We have a new, optimistic scenario - the policies that have been promised and discussed but not yet implemented - this will get warming back to the #ParisAgreement #NDC level of 3.0˚C #COP24 