A project of Climate Analytics (@CA_Latest) and NewClimate Institute (@newclimateinst).
Dec 9, 2023 • 7 tweets • 2 min read
ANALYSIS: what impact will the #COP28 announcements make on closing the emissions gap?
Few of them will do so meaningfully.
Many either lack the ambition, clarity, coverage or accountability needed to make a difference /🧵
[from the *actual* CAT] bit.ly/CAT_COP28_init…
Of the total emissions savings that cld be achieved:
* around a quarter already in govt NDCs/overlap w Glasgow
* a quarter additional, achievable
* and about half are unlikely to be achieved unless the initiative is improved.
Nov 14, 2023 • 7 tweets • 3 min read
Out now! 🚨 The latest #StateOfClimateAction 2023 report shows global efforts to limit warming to 1.5°C are failing across the board, with recent progress made on every indicator — except EVs — lagging significantly behind the pace and scale necessary. bit.ly/CAT_SoCA23
The report offers the world’s most comprehensive roadmap of how to close the global gap in climate action across sectors and can inform governments’ rapid response plan to the #GlobalStocktake at #COP28.
May 18, 2022 • 4 tweets • 3 min read
BLOG: The #EU's scramble to get off #Russian#FossilFuels highlights the perils of a fossil-based economy: fossil gas hardest to eliminate. We debunk the claim that #gas is a ‘bridge fuel’ & show global gas consumption must rapidly decline. bit.ly/CAT_PSR_Gasblog 🧵/2
Despite the clear message that gas demand shld already be in rapid decline, its use in many economies continues to increase. Since 2015, a total of 14 G20 countries have seen an upward trend in gas’s share of primary energy supply, w particularly steep rises in North America. /3
May 16, 2022 • 4 tweets • 3 min read
UPDATED COUNTRY ANALYSIS: Australia has made very little effort to increase #climate action & is refusing to increase the 2030 target it first submitted 7 years ago, in 2015. Its plans won't meet 2050 #NetZero target. We rate it "Highly Insufficient" bit.ly/CAT_AUS /2
For its policies & action, we rate Australia "Insufficient". While the govt insists it will overachieve its 2030 target, it didn't submit a stronger target to which it would be bound. Current policies result in 2030 emissions excl LULUCF 15% below 2005 bit.ly/CAT_AUS_polici… /3
Dec 2, 2021 • 6 tweets • 4 min read
Now that #COP26 is over, what kind of momentum do we need in 2022 to drive real emissions reductions and bring 1.5°C back from the edge? A 🧵 - and a blog bit.ly/CAT_postCOP26
Our new rating system allows us to look at who needs to do what. First, a major overhaul of #NDCs, a number of which fall short of what's fair & needed to be in line w 1.5˚C. Some didn't increase ambition at all: here's looking at you, Australia 🇦🇺 Brazil 🇧🇷 Mexico🇲🇽 Russia 🇷🇺 /2
Nov 9, 2021 • 8 tweets • 6 min read
CAT global update: Glasgow has a credibility gap between talk and action. If all govts met their 2030 targets, we would have 2.4˚C of warming in 2100. But right now, current policies put us at 2.7˚C. bit.ly/CAT_Global2021
A Thread 🧵
The 2030 #emissionsgap has only closed by 15-17% in the past year. Global GHG’s in 2030 will still be twice as high as what’s needed for 1.5˚C #COP26Glasgow
/3
Dec 1, 2020 • 4 tweets • 4 min read
BREAKING: If all governments were to meet their promised #NetZero targets, warming in 2100 would be 2.1˚C. Our new analysis - full report here bit.ly/CAT_Nov2020 THREAD 2/ Our estimates include 127 government net zero promises, totalling more than 63% of global emissions. Including China, the US (Biden's promise), Japan, South Korea. bit.ly/CAT_Nov2020
Sep 23, 2020 • 4 tweets • 5 min read
1/ Governments are largely not making #ClimateChange action central to their COVID-19 recovery packages, despite some signs of good intentions - our new briefing for #CWNY, released today bit.ly/CAT_CWNY_20202/ We've analysed the post-#COVID_19#recovery packages of 5 countries: #China, #EU27, #India, #SouthKorea and the #USA. Only two lean towards using the pandemic recovery to address the global #climate crisis: the EU27, and South Korea. First, we looked at overarching packages.
Aug 13, 2020 • 4 tweets • 5 min read
1/ Continuing our threads this week on our #ParisAgreement-compatible benchmarks report, we first turn to #transport and the share of #electricvehicles, hugely important for #decarbonising our economy. Read on...
2/ For all #transport in all countries, low carbon fuels (#electricity, #hydrogen or #biomass) need to be at ~15-20% by 2030, & toward 100% in 2050. While 2030 benchmarks vary, all converge to global decarbonised transport sector by 2050. See our report bit.ly/CAT_PSRsum
Aug 12, 2020 • 5 tweets • 6 min read
1/ Today's thread on our #ParisAgreement-compatible benchmarks report: all countries must decarbonise their #electricity sector by 2040, latest 2050. Emissions intensity must get to zero. #power#decarbonisation - see report here bit.ly/CAT_PSR12/ #Decarbonising the #power sector is key: without it, other sectors cannot do so. The 2030 benchmarks are also key - if countries are not on the right pathway by 2030, they cannot reach their 2050 goal. #renewablesbit.ly/CAT_PSR1
See our new #COP25Madrid update: little sign of government action in the face of the #climate crisis. Their policies still take us to 3˚C, twice the #ParisAgreement warming limit. briefing: bit.ly/CAT_COP25. Watch our pressconf here bit.ly/CAT_COP25Live [re-thread]
The emissions gap in 2100 really has not decreased a great deal. #COP25Madrid. Noting this is not steady state warming, but simply warming in 2100 bit.ly/CAT_COP25
Jun 19, 2019 • 5 tweets • 4 min read
Amid growing public concern and as #Climate climate impacts start to bite, governments must take bold action to address the rise in greenhouse gas emissions, but most of them are not - our latest update, released at #SB50Bonn today. bit.ly/CAT_SB50Bonn
Global progress is stalling. Last year, energy-related #CO2 emissions reached an historic high, with more than a third of emissions from coal, but the fastest-growing source is from natural gas, which grew 4.6% from 2017 to 2018. bit.ly/CAT_SB50Bonn#climate
Dec 11, 2018 • 6 tweets • 7 min read
With government #ParisAgreement commitments, global warming in 2100 will be 3.0˚C - twice the agreed 1.5˚C limit. With current policies, it’ll be higher, at 3.3˚C. We have just released our annual update at #COP24climateactiontracker.org/publications/w…
We have a new, optimistic scenario - the policies that have been promised and discussed but not yet implemented - this will get warming back to the #ParisAgreement#NDC level of 3.0˚C #COP24