British Cabinet prepares for emotion-driven meltdown at Chequers followed by meaningless fudge - otherwise Cabinet splits and government falls. And the result for the British people - zero credibility in Brexit talks 1/~
2/ Cabinet chaos as Brexit truth-time approaches. The key differences: customs “partnership” vs delusional tech fix to Irish border; align to single market vs aggressive trade competition w EU…
3/ Plus: Brexit hardliners are still convinced the EU will fold if they just take the entire thing to the wire of 18 October. Again delusional + weakens turns weak negotiating position into zero negotiating position...
4/ Who really loses? We do: tens of thousands of high-skilled jobs being risked - Airbus, Siemens, BWM - as Tories trade these for the *possibility* of, again delusional, post-Brexit jobs from new investors (yes, they are that delusional!)
5/ There is little UK citizens can do unless the Tory rebels get some backbone - but they won't. Avoiding a Labour (+SNP/Plaid/Green) govt is more important than 10ks of jobs, billions of investment...
6/ So between Chequers and 18 Oct EUCO the #1 strategy must be to defeat the Tories in parliament, triggering an election. Corbyn is playing a blinder, once you look past the FBPE-bile...
7/ Corbyn relentlessly exposed May at PMQs on the "no deal" delusion: this turns out to be exactly what her cabinet are trying to force her to do: threaten no deal until 18 October. Then...
8/ Corbyn's appearance on GEB again a blinder: reassured Brexit voters that bringing down Tory government does not mean stopping Brexit (also that it means a PM who cares about football and not about fox hunting)...
9/ The absence of Tory rebels means there is no anti-Brexit centrist party waiting to be born; the Libdems exist, true, but they're anti-war and anti-authoritarian so Campbell, Blair, Mandelson et al would get no joy...
10/ The only rational course of action is to squeeze - via parliamentary and extra-parliamentary pressure - the delusional Tory cabinet until it pops, May is replaced and snap election follows.
11/ Second vote, which I support in principle, needs to be on a deal that parliament has approved. Principle of parliamentary sovereignty, as fought for by Miller et al, demands that...
12/ If parliament can't approve Brexit deal emerging from 18/10 (and it can't) there has to be a general election. This, incidentally, is why summer is last chance for neoliberal weasels inside Labour to launch their neo-Blairite party.
13/ Labour's offer makes sense. To pro-Brexit socialists, working class voters etc: we will obey the referendum result but mitigate the impact, leaving UK in a customs union and single market-style deal...
14/ To 3 million European citizens in UK: we will honour the pledge of right to stay, work and be welcomed in a global facing Britain... To anti-Brexit voters: UK will remain close to EU on trade, defence, security + welfare state...
15/ The Cabinet is leaving this country denuded of power and influence; even Trump doesn't give a shit about UK anymore... and finally....
16/ To DUP: the people of Britain will remember for decades what your shitty sectarian party of religious bigots, homophobes and misogynists did to this country. Once May falls, the cookie jar will be closed for the remainder of the 21st century...
