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1. Science is prediction. A consensus without predictability isn't a scientific consensus, it's just a really bad assumption. Climate alarmists assume catastrophic warming within 12 years. Let's see how past predictions have panned out.
@AOC #GreenNewDeal #Pseudoscience
@AOC #GreenNewDeal #Pseudoscience
2. Failed climate prediction #1
1990 IPCC FAR: “The average increase of global mean temperature over the next century is estimated to be 0.3°C per decade (with an uncertainty range of 0.2°C – 0.5°C).”
Reality: Since 1990 the warming rate has been from 0.12 to 0.19°C per decade
1990 IPCC FAR: “The average increase of global mean temperature over the next century is estimated to be 0.3°C per decade (with an uncertainty range of 0.2°C – 0.5°C).”
Reality: Since 1990 the warming rate has been from 0.12 to 0.19°C per decade
3. Failed Climate prediction #2
1990 IPCC FAR: “Emissions of greenhouse gases will result in a likely increase in global mean temperature of about 1°C above the present value by 2025
Reality: From 1990 to 2017 the increase in temperatures has been 0.31 - 0.49°C
1990 IPCC FAR: “Emissions of greenhouse gases will result in a likely increase in global mean temperature of about 1°C above the present value by 2025
Reality: From 1990 to 2017 the increase in temperatures has been 0.31 - 0.49°C
4. Failed climate prediction #3
2004 Adam Watson, from the Centre for Ecology and Hydrology in Banchory, Aberdeenshire, said the Scottish skiing industry had no more than 20 years left.
Reality: 2014 had the snowiest Scottish mountains in 69 years
2004 Adam Watson, from the Centre for Ecology and Hydrology in Banchory, Aberdeenshire, said the Scottish skiing industry had no more than 20 years left.
Reality: 2014 had the snowiest Scottish mountains in 69 years
5. failed climate prediction #4
2007 IPCC AR4 predicts that by 2020, between 75 & 250 million people are to be exposed to drought due to climate change
Reality: Six years later, IPPC acknowledges that confidence is low for a global-scale observed trend in drought or dryness
2007 IPCC AR4 predicts that by 2020, between 75 & 250 million people are to be exposed to drought due to climate change
Reality: Six years later, IPPC acknowledges that confidence is low for a global-scale observed trend in drought or dryness
6. Failed climate prediction #5
M.Serreze (New Scientist 2008)
“North Pole could be ice-free in 2008 ”
Reality: 2019 still not ice-free.
M.Serreze (New Scientist 2008)
“North Pole could be ice-free in 2008 ”
Reality: 2019 still not ice-free.
7. Failed climate prediction #6
(USAToday 2009) “Gore: Polar ice cap may disappear by summer 2014.”
Reality: No disappearing ice caps.
(USAToday 2009) “Gore: Polar ice cap may disappear by summer 2014.”
Reality: No disappearing ice caps.
8. Failed climate prediction #7
2010 Dr. Morris Bender, from NOAA, and coauthors predict that “the U.S. Southeast and the Bahamas will be pounded by more very intense hurricanes in the coming decades
Reality: After 40 years of global warming no increase in hurricanes.
2010 Dr. Morris Bender, from NOAA, and coauthors predict that “the U.S. Southeast and the Bahamas will be pounded by more very intense hurricanes in the coming decades
Reality: After 40 years of global warming no increase in hurricanes.
9. Failed climate prediction #8
2001 IPCC TAR (AR3) said that fire frequency is expected to increase with human-induced climate change.
Reality: The global area of land burned each year declined by 24 percent between 1998 and 2015
2001 IPCC TAR (AR3) said that fire frequency is expected to increase with human-induced climate change.
Reality: The global area of land burned each year declined by 24 percent between 1998 and 2015
10. Failed climate prediction #9
(Guardian 2012) “Arctic expert predicts final collapse of sea ice within 4 years.”
Reality: Still no collapse.
(Guardian 2012) “Arctic expert predicts final collapse of sea ice within 4 years.”
Reality: Still no collapse.
11. Failed climate prediction #10
2007 Prof. Wieslaw Maslowski from Dept. Oceanography of the US Navy predicted an ice-free Arctic Ocean in summer 2013.
Reality: Max 14.54 million square kilometers 2018
2007 Prof. Wieslaw Maslowski from Dept. Oceanography of the US Navy predicted an ice-free Arctic Ocean in summer 2013.
Reality: Max 14.54 million square kilometers 2018
12. Failed climate prediction #11
2007 NASA climate scientist Jay Zwally predicted that the Arctic Ocean could be nearly ice-free at the end of summer in 2012.
Reality: He just is as wrong as everyone else who made similar predictions.
2007 NASA climate scientist Jay Zwally predicted that the Arctic Ocean could be nearly ice-free at the end of summer in 2012.
Reality: He just is as wrong as everyone else who made similar predictions.
13. Failed climate prediction #12
2012 Prof. Peter Wadhams, head of the polar ocean physics group at the University of Cambridge (UK), predicted a collapse of the Arctic ice sheet by 2015-2016.
Reality: 2007 & 2016 had the same record low sea ice minimum; no loss.
2012 Prof. Peter Wadhams, head of the polar ocean physics group at the University of Cambridge (UK), predicted a collapse of the Arctic ice sheet by 2015-2016.
Reality: 2007 & 2016 had the same record low sea ice minimum; no loss.
14. Failed climate prediction #13
2005 World Conservation Union Predicted 30 percent decline in the worldwide polar bear population over the next 35 to 50 years
Reality: Polar bear population increased from a 20,000-25,000 estimate in 2005 to a 22,000-31,000 estimate in 2015.
2005 World Conservation Union Predicted 30 percent decline in the worldwide polar bear population over the next 35 to 50 years
Reality: Polar bear population increased from a 20,000-25,000 estimate in 2005 to a 22,000-31,000 estimate in 2015.
15. Failed climate prediction #14
2007 IPCC AR4 says there is a very high likelihood that Himalayan glaciers will disappear by the year 2035
Reality: IPCC officials recanted the prediction in 2010 after it was revealed the source was not peer-reviewed.
2007 IPCC AR4 says there is a very high likelihood that Himalayan glaciers will disappear by the year 2035
Reality: IPCC officials recanted the prediction in 2010 after it was revealed the source was not peer-reviewed.
16. Failed climate prediction #15
1981 James Hansen, NASA scientist, predicted worldwide rise of 15 to 20 feet in the sea level
Reality: Since 1993 (24 years) we have totaled 72 mm (3 inches) of sea level rise
1981 James Hansen, NASA scientist, predicted worldwide rise of 15 to 20 feet in the sea level
Reality: Since 1993 (24 years) we have totaled 72 mm (3 inches) of sea level rise
17. Failed climate prediction #16
1989 Noel Brown (UNEP) Entire nations could be wiped off the face of the Earth by rising sea levels by the year 2000
Reality: Tide gauges at 12 locations in the South Pacific reported variable trends between -1 to +3 mm/year 1992-2010
1989 Noel Brown (UNEP) Entire nations could be wiped off the face of the Earth by rising sea levels by the year 2000
Reality: Tide gauges at 12 locations in the South Pacific reported variable trends between -1 to +3 mm/year 1992-2010
18. Failed climate prediction #17
1994 Columbia & Oxford researchers predicted food production was expected to decline in developing countries due to CO2 conditions.
Reality: FAO - food production in developing countries has been keeping pace with their population growth
1994 Columbia & Oxford researchers predicted food production was expected to decline in developing countries due to CO2 conditions.
Reality: FAO - food production in developing countries has been keeping pace with their population growth
19. Failed climate prediction #18
2008 UN Deputy secretary-general Srgjan Kerim, predicts between 50 million and 200 million environmental migrants by 2010
Reality: As of 2017 only one person has claimed climate change refugee status: Ioane Teitiota from Kiribati
2008 UN Deputy secretary-general Srgjan Kerim, predicts between 50 million and 200 million environmental migrants by 2010
Reality: As of 2017 only one person has claimed climate change refugee status: Ioane Teitiota from Kiribati
20. Failed climate prediction #19
1987 Dr. John Holdren, director of the Office of Science and Technology - climate-induced famines could kill as many as a billion people before the year 2020
Reality: 42% reduction in the number of hungry & undernourished from 1990-2014
1987 Dr. John Holdren, director of the Office of Science and Technology - climate-induced famines could kill as many as a billion people before the year 2020
Reality: 42% reduction in the number of hungry & undernourished from 1990-2014
21. Failed climate prediction #20
2006 NASA scientist James Hansen says the world has a 10-year window of opportunity to take decisive action on global warming and avert catastrophe.
Reality: Catastrophe still hasn't arrived.
2006 NASA scientist James Hansen says the world has a 10-year window of opportunity to take decisive action on global warming and avert catastrophe.
Reality: Catastrophe still hasn't arrived.
22. The truth is we've had 30 years of failed climate predictions, & the premise for a scientific consensus is based on nonsensical pseudoscientific hyperbole.
#NoNewGreenDeal
#NoNewGreenDeal
