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, 7 tweets, 6 min read
"Under a secretive deal signed last month with a provincial government in the [#SolomonIslands], a Beijing-based company with close ties to the CCP has secured exclusive development rights for the entire island [of #Tulagi] & its surroundings."

nytimes.com/2019/10/16/wor…
"The island of #Tulagi served as a South Pacific headquarters for Britain then Japan, and during #WorldWarII, its natural deepwater harbor made it a military gem. Now, #China is moving in with plans to effectively take control."

nytimes.com/2019/10/16/wor…
"Even compared to previous #Chinese development deals in nearby countries — including a wharf in #Vanuatu, whose terms were not publicly released for years — the #Tulagi agreement is remarkable for both its scope and lack of public input."

nytimes.com/2019/10/16/wor…
"The renewable 75-year lease was granted to the China Sam Enterprise Group, a conglomerate founded in 1985 as a state-owned enterprise, according to corporate records."

nytimes.com/2019/10/16/wor…
"A copy of the '#strategic cooperation agreement,' obtained by @nytimes & verified by two people with knowledge of the deal, reveals both the immediate ambitions of #ChinaSam & the potential — just as in #Vanuatu — for infrastructure that could share civilian and #military uses."
@nytimes "Sept. 22...agreement includes provisions for a fishery base, an ops center & 'the building or enhancement of the airport.' Though there are no confirmed oil or gas reserves in the Solomons, the agreement also notes that #ChinaSam is interested in building an oil & gas terminal."
@nytimes "These are just the explicit possibilities. The document also states that the government will lease all of #Tulagi & the surrounding islands in the province for the development of 'a special economic zone or any other industry that is suitable for any development.'"

Sounds fishy
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#SolomonIslands #Tulagi #WorldWarII #China #Chinese #Vanuatu #strategic #ChinaSam #military

More from @AndrewSErickson see all

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Andrew Erickson 艾立信
@AndrewSErickson
ADM #HarryHarris:
#PLARF "controls the 'largest & most diverse #missile force in the world, with an inventory of more than 2,000 ballistic & cruise missiles.'

...if #China were a signatory [to #INF #Treaty], 95% of its #missiles would be in violation"

andrewerickson.com/2019/08/u-s-en…
My take: #Russia wouldn’t fully honor #INF. #China wouldn’t join INF. Unilateral constraint was a losing proposition: China developed the world’s foremost force of #missiles precisely within the ranges that INF would prohibit. So this increasingly antiquated treaty had no future.
1 post-INF option for US—reach agreements w allies/partners to allow rapid introduction of missiles in various contingencies to support their defense. Even if peacetime politics precluded permanent deployment, more concerning scenarios could tip balance in favor of local support.
Read 4 tweets
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Andrew Erickson 艾立信
@AndrewSErickson
“Andrew Erickson, a maritime militia expert @NavalWarCollege, recently called for the US to “deal with China’s sea forces holistically” & state clearly that it expected China’s #Navy, #CoastGuard & #MaritimeMilitia to follow international rules.” ft.com/content/ab4b16… #PAFMM
“He added that the US had to ‘accept some friction and force Beijing to choose between de-escalating — the preferred US outcome — or to move up against a US red line that China would prefer to avoid’.” amp.ft.com/content/ab4b16…
"The US navy has been conducting FONOPS..sends warships through disputed waters to prevent a claimant from denying others access in violation of int'l law. Analysts have long pushed for a more effective US response to counter China’s mix of mil, paramil & econ coercive measures."
Read 16 tweets
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Andrew Erickson 艾立信
@AndrewSErickson
Mark Valencia—Adjunct Senior Scholar, National Institute for #SouthChinaSea Studies, Haikou, China—uses Xinhua-like language to accuse @GregPoling @CSIS @AsiaMTI of "Beating the drum for the narrative of the Chinese '#MaritimeMilitia' threat" in #IPPReview
ippreview.com/index.php/Blog…
Valencia cited my piece with @KennedyMaritime in @ForeignAffairs, but that's a 2016 publication.

The latest is here: andrewerickson.com/2019/01/the-ch… & apdf-magazine.com/maritime-numbe….

Instead of piling on @GregPoling, let's "Seek Truth from (Many) Facts" regarding #China's #MaritimeMilitia.
And while we're at it, can those in the know give us the full scoop on #IPPReview?

"operated by International Public Policy Pte. Ltd., a Singapore-registered company which is independent of any organization"

ippreview.com/index.php/Inde…

Wording sounds rather abstract & mysterious..
Read 12 tweets

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Secret Deal for #Chinese Naval Outpost in #Cambodia Raises #US Fears of Beijing’s Ambitions - Use of Ream naval base would help China’s military project power across a broad swath of Southeast Asia wsj.com/articles/secre…
China has signed a secret agreement allowing its armed forces to use a Cambodian navy base near here, as Beijing works to boost its ability to project military power around the globe, according to U.S. and allied officials familiar with the matter.
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Each title has its own specifics.
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Last month a friend asked me "what's the best resource you've read thus far on human decision-making?" 1/
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Christophe Barraud🛢
@C_Barraud
🇨🇳 #CHINA Q3 GDP Y/Y: 6.5% V 6.6%E (slowest growth since Q1 2009)
*NBS spokesman Mao Shengyong said that the international situation was bringing “downward pressure” on China.
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bloomberg.com/news/articles/…
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